Texas State at Louisiana - 2017 Matchup Preview

Texas State Bobcats at Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

Thursday, October 12th 2017 (7:30 PM EDT)
Louisiana -14 (55.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Louisiana 24 - Texas State: 7 (Sun Belt)

Bobcats (2 - 10) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 37 - 29 (34 - 33 on Road)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

TXST is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -6.5 (SP+ ULL -8)
Projected Score: TXST: 32 - ULL: 30 (62)
ULL Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
TXST Travel: 353 miles

Ragin' Cajuns (5 - 7) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 29 (30 - 27 @ Home)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TXST Players
ULL Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Texas State's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Texas State vs Houston Christian	-17.0
Sat 9/9	Texas State at Colorado	+36.0	56.0	L 3 - 37	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Texas State vs App State	+21.5	48.5	L 13 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Texas State vs UTSA	+13.5	45.0	L 14 - 44	O	N
Sat 9/30	Texas State at Wyoming	+16.5	45.0	L 10 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/7	Texas State vs UL Monroe	+6.0	55.0	L 27 - 45	O	N
Thu 10/12	Texas State at Louisiana	+14.0	55.5	L 7 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Texas State at Coastal Carolina	+9.5	54.0	W 27 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Texas State vs New Mexico State	+9.5	57.0	L 35 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/11	Texas State vs Georgia State	+5.5	51.5	L 30 - 33	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Texas State at Arkansas State	+26.5	58.5	L 12 - 30	U	Y
Fri 11/24	Texas State at Troy	+23.5	53.5	L 9 - 62	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas State's Schedule

Louisiana's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Louisiana vs SE Louisiana	-14.5
Sat 9/9	Louisiana at Tulsa	+14.0	59.0	L 42 - 66	O	N
Sat 9/16	Louisiana at Texas A&M	+24.0	64.0	L 21 - 45	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Louisiana vs UL Monroe	-4.0	60.0	L 50 - 56	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Louisiana at Idaho	+6.5	61.5	W 21 - 16	U	Y
Thu 10/12	Louisiana vs Texas State	-14.0	55.5	W 24 - 7	U	Y
Thu 10/19	Louisiana at Arkansas State	+12.0	66.5	L 3 - 47	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Louisiana at South Alabama	+6.0	51.5	W 19 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Louisiana at Ole Miss	+22.5	67.5	L 22 - 50	O	N
Sat 11/18	Louisiana vs New Mexico State	+3.5	65.0	W 47 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Louisiana vs Georgia Southern	-5.5	56.5	L 24 - 34	O	N
Sat 12/2	Louisiana at App State	+14.0	58.0	L 14 - 63	O	N

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TXST	.03	38%	36.5	35%	2.35	86	39%	220	2.95	.28	48%	29	45%	49%	4.63	57.3	2.1	0.8
ULL	.09	42%	26	45%	3.05	179	35%	178	3.06	.1	42%	29.2	37%	45%	3.16	55.5	1.3	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TXST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ULL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TXST Offense	12	36.5	34.2	37.5%	2.95	2.1	18	306	86	220	2.4	44%	55%	35%	39%	21%	.03
ULL Defense	13	29.2	27.2	42.2%	3.16	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	37%	45%	16%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TXST Defense	12	29	32.8	48.1%	4.63	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	56%	42%	45%	49%	12%	.28
ULL Offense	13	26	30.3	42.1%	3.06	1.3	20	356	179	178	4	57%	41%	45%	35%	17%	.09

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Texas State	12	26:43	17.7	31%	48%	6.8	57.3	2.1	0.8	5.3	0.8	1	28.1
Louisiana	13	29:41	19.6	37%	29%	7.2	55.5	1.3	1.4	6.2	1.9	1	28.9

Run Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TXST Offense	12	44%	35%	35.5	85.6	2.4	13	.02	2.35	62%	15%	1
ULL Defense	13	49%	37%	-	-	-	-	-.1	2.22	69%	11%	0.85

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TXST Defense	12	56%	45%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.1	70%	9%	0.99
ULL Offense	13	57%	45%	45.1	178.9	4	21	.08	3.05	63%	12%	0.86

Pass Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TXST Offense	12	55%	39%	21.4	34.6	219.9	6.4	10.3	14	17	.05	1.4	34%	28%	.12	6%	1.7
ULL Defense	13	49%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.31	1.5	34%	36%	.29	5%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TXST Defense	12	42%	49%	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	.48	1.6	32%	36%	.31	3%	1.6
ULL Offense	13	41%	35%	15.6	26.3	177.5	6.8	11.4	12	13	.11	1.6	32%	33%	.28	5%	1.6

Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: NR
Texas State's Offense Rating: NR
Texas State's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #123
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Texas State's 2017 Expected Record: -
Texas State's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -23.5 #124
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.7 #124
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.9 #109

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas State: Louisiana: -5.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas State: -23.5 Louisiana: -15.8

Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: -5.4 NR
Louisiana's Offense Rating: NR
Louisiana's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Louisiana's 2017 Expected Record: -
Louisiana's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.8 #114
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.5 #73
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 42.9 #126

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Texas State Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.2
Defense: 29 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Texas State's 2017 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Texas State 32
Louisiana 30

Projected Total Points: 62

Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.3
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Louisiana's 2017 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/08	Louisiana	42	Texas State	39	Texas State -3.5	Louisiana	62.5	Over
2024	10/29	Texas State	17	Louisiana	23	Texas State -4	Louisiana	60.5	Under
2023	10/07	Louisiana	34	Texas State	30	Louisiana -1	Louisiana	67.5	Under
2022	11/26	Texas State	13	Louisiana	41	Louisiana -5	Louisiana	44.0	Over
2021	10/30	Louisiana	45	Texas State	0	Louisiana -21	Louisiana	58.0	Under
2020	10/31	Texas State	34	Louisiana	44	Louisiana -17.0	Texas State	0
2019	11/02	Louisiana	31	Texas State	3	Louisiana -23	Louisiana	55.0	Under
2018	10/06	Texas State	27	Louisiana	42	Louisiana -3	Louisiana	57.5	Over
2017	10/12	Louisiana	24	Texas State	7	Louisiana -14	Louisiana	55.5	Under
2016	10/22	Texas State	3	Louisiana	27	Louisiana -11.5	Louisiana	65.0	Under
2015	10/10	Louisiana	49	Texas State	27	Louisiana -4	Louisiana	68.0	Over
2014	10/14	Texas State	10	Louisiana	34	Texas State -3	Louisiana	61.5	Under
2013	10/05	Louisiana	48	Texas State	24	Louisiana -10	Louisiana	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Louisiana	13	12	4 Overs
Texas State	0	1	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 6	8 - 5	6 - 2	2 - 3
Road Teams	6 - 7	5 - 8	3 - 2	2 - 6

(#) TXST at (#) ULL

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TXST	ULL
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#124	#114
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#123	#112
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Texas State Injury Report

Louisiana Injury Report

Texas State on Offense


CategoryCat	TXST Off	ULL Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#124	#126
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Texas State Run Game


CategoryCat	TXST Off	ULL Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Texas State Pass Game


CategoryCat	TXST Off	ULL Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Louisiana on Offense


CategoryCat	ULL Off	TXST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#73	#109
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Louisiana Run Game


CategoryCat	ULL Off	TXST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Louisiana Pass Game


CategoryCat	ULL Off	TXST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ULL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

TXST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Cajun Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 7
Louisiana -14.0 (55.5)
Louisiana won vs Texas State this year (24-7)

Previous Matchups
Louisiana beat Texas State last year (42-39)
Louisiana beat Texas State in 2024 (23-17)
Louisiana beat Texas State in 2023 (34-30)

TXST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Texas State's Full Roster

TXST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ULL's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Louisiana's Full Roster

ULL's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD