Texas State at Colorado - 2017 Matchup Preview

Texas State Bobcats at Colorado Buffaloes

Saturday, September 9th 2017 (2:00 PM EDT)
Colorado -36 (56.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Colorado 37 - Texas State: 3

Bobcats (2 - 10) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 37 - 29 (34 - 33 on Road)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

COLO 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -15.5 (SP+ COLO -26)
Projected Score: TXST: 32 - COLO: 27 (59)
COLO Win prob: 97% | Cover: 58%
TXST Travel: 813 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Buffaloes (5 - 7) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 21 - 31 (24 - 27 @ Home)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TXST Players
COLO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Texas State's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Texas State vs Houston Christian	-17.0
Sat 9/9	Texas State at Colorado	+36.0	56.0	L 3 - 37	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Texas State vs App State	+21.5	48.5	L 13 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Texas State vs UTSA	+13.5	45.0	L 14 - 44	O	N
Sat 9/30	Texas State at Wyoming	+16.5	45.0	L 10 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/7	Texas State vs UL Monroe	+6.0	55.0	L 27 - 45	O	N
Thu 10/12	Texas State at Louisiana	+14.0	55.5	L 7 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Texas State at Coastal Carolina	+9.5	54.0	W 27 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Texas State vs New Mexico State	+9.5	57.0	L 35 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/11	Texas State vs Georgia State	+5.5	51.5	L 30 - 33	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Texas State at Arkansas State	+26.5	58.5	L 12 - 30	U	Y
Fri 11/24	Texas State at Troy	+23.5	53.5	L 9 - 62	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas State's Schedule

Colorado's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/1	Colorado vs Colorado State	-3.0	69.5	W 17 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Colorado vs Texas State	-36.0	56.0	W 37 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/16	Colorado vs Northern Colorado	-38.0
Sat 9/23	Colorado vs Washington	+11.0	54.5	L 10 - 37	U	N
Sat 9/30	Colorado at UCLA	+7.5	67.5	L 23 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Colorado vs Arizona	-7.0	58.5	L 42 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/14	Colorado at Oregon State	-9.5	56.0	W 36 - 33	O	N
Sat 10/21	Colorado at Washington State	+9.0	52.5	L 0 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/28	Colorado vs California	-3.5	55.5	W 44 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Colorado at Arizona State	+6.5	58.5	L 30 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/11	Colorado vs USC	+14.0	63.0	L 24 - 38	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/25	Colorado at Utah	+9.5	57.0	L 13 - 34	U	N

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TXST	.03	38%	36.5	35%	2.35	86	39%	220	2.95	.28	48%	29	45%	49%	4.63	57.3	2.1	0.8
COLO	.17	44%	20.9	44%	3.02	183	42%	255	3.48	.04	38%	30.5	40%	34%	2.74	47.2	1.4	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TXST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
COLO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TXST Offense	12	36.5	34.2	37.5%	2.95	2.1	18	306	86	220	2.4	44%	55%	35%	39%	21%	.03
COLO Defense	14	30.5	27	38.2%	2.74	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	46%	52%	40%	34%	18%	.04

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TXST Defense	12	29	32.8	48.1%	4.63	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	56%	42%	45%	49%	12%	.28
COLO Offense	14	20.9	23.9	44.1%	3.48	1.4	23	437	183	255	4	52%	46%	44%	42%	14%	.17

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Texas State	12	26:43	17.7	31%	48%	6.8	57.3	2.1	0.8	5.3	0.8	1	28.1
Colorado	14	30:55	23.3	44%	42%	5.4	47.2	1.4	1.9	4.9	2.6	2	28.8

Run Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TXST Offense	12	44%	35%	35.5	85.6	2.4	13	.02	2.35	62%	15%	1
COLO Defense	14	46%	40%	-	-	-	-	.04	3.09	72%	9%	0.74

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TXST Defense	12	56%	45%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.1	70%	9%	0.99
COLO Offense	14	52%	44%	45.4	182.6	4	30	.12	3.02	71%	9%	0.88

Pass Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TXST Offense	12	55%	39%	21.4	34.6	219.9	6.4	10.3	14	17	.05	1.4	34%	28%	.12	6%	1.7
COLO Defense	14	52%	34%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.06	1.7	35%	28%	.09	9%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TXST Defense	12	42%	49%	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	.48	1.6	32%	36%	.31	3%	1.6
COLO Offense	14	46%	42%	20.6	33.5	254.5	7.6	12.3	21	11	.26	1.6	31%	35%	.31	5%	1.6

Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: NR
Texas State's Offense Rating: NR
Texas State's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #123
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Texas State's 2017 Expected Record: -
Texas State's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -23.5 #124
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.7 #124
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.9 #109

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas State: Colorado: 3.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas State: -23.5 Colorado: 2.0

Colorado's Power Ratings
Colorado's Power Rating: 3.5 NR
Colorado's Offense Rating: NR
Colorado's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Colorado's 2017 Expected Record: -
Colorado's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.0 #64
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.3 #54
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #84

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Texas State Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.2
Defense: 29 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Texas State's 2017 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Texas State 32
Colorado 27

Projected Total Points: 59

Colorado Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.9
Defense: 30.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 27

Colorado's 2017 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2017	09/09	Colorado	37	Texas State	3	Colorado -36	Texas State	56.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Colorado	1	0	0 Overs
Texas State	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#) TXST at (#) COLO

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TXST	COLO
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#124	#64
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#123	#55
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Texas State Injury Report

Colorado Injury Report

Texas State on Offense


CategoryCat	TXST Off	COLO Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#124	#84
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Texas State Run Game


CategoryCat	TXST Off	COLO Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Texas State Pass Game


CategoryCat	TXST Off	COLO Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Colorado on Offense


CategoryCat	COLO Off	TXST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#54	#109
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Colorado Run Game


CategoryCat	COLO Off	TXST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Colorado Pass Game


CategoryCat	COLO Off	TXST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
COLO 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Top G5

TXST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Folsom Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 2
Colorado -36.0 (56.0)
Colorado won vs Texas State this year (37-3)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

TXST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Texas State's Full Roster

TXST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

COLO's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Colorado's Full Roster

COLO's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD