San Diego State at Air Force - 2017 Matchup Preview

San Diego State Aztecs at Air Force Falcons

Saturday, September 23rd 2017 (7:00 PM EDT)
San Diego State -1.5 (48.0) (0) Open: 0.0
San Diego State 28 - Air Force: 24 (Mountain West)

Aztecs (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 15 (18 - 18 on Road)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

SDSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -5.5 (SP+ SDSU -15.5)
Projected Score: SDSU: 26 - AFA: 23 (49)
SDSU Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
SDSU Travel: 809 miles, 1 hrs behind

Falcons (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (28 - 28 @ Home)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
SDSU Players
AFA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

San Diego State's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	San Diego State vs UC Davis	-35.0
Sat 9/9	San Diego State at Arizona State	+3.0	54.5	W 30 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/16	San Diego State vs Stanford	+9.0	48.5	W 20 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/23	San Diego State at Air Force	-1.5	48.0	W 28 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/30	San Diego State vs Northern Illinois	-9.5	47.5	W 34 - 28	O	N
Sat 10/7	San Diego State at UNLV	-9.5	56.5	W 41 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/14	San Diego State vs Boise State	-5.5	47.0	L 14 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/21	San Diego State vs Fresno State	-6.5	49.5	L 3 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/28	San Diego State at Hawai'i	-8.0	54.0	W 28 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/4	San Diego State at San José State	-24.0	50.5	W 52 - 7	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18	San Diego State vs Nevada	-17.5	56.0	W 42 - 23	O	Y
Fri 11/24	San Diego State vs New Mexico	-20.5	48.5	W 35 - 10	U	Y
Sat 12/23	San Diego State vs Army	-6.5	46.0	L 35 - 42	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for San Diego State's Schedule

Air Force's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Air Force vs VMI	-35.0
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/16	Air Force at Michigan	+23.0	53.0	L 13 - 29	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Air Force vs San Diego State	+1.5	48.0	L 24 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/30	Air Force at New Mexico	-3.0	50.5	L 38 - 56	O	N
Sat 10/7	Air Force at Navy	+8.5	53.5	L 45 - 48	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Air Force vs UNLV	-9.5	65.5	W 34 - 30	U	N
Fri 10/20	Air Force at Nevada	-6.5	65.0	W 45 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/28	Air Force at Colorado State	+9.5	68.5	W 45 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Air Force vs Army	-6.5	54.5	L 0 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/11	Air Force vs Wyoming	-2.5	51.0	L 14 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/18	Air Force at Boise State	+17.5	60.5	L 19 - 44	O	N
Sat 11/25	Air Force vs Utah State	-2.5	57.5	W 38 - 35	O	Y

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SDSU	.22	45%	26.4	44%	2.84	263	42%	145	3.91	.07	37%	15.4	37%	36%	3.26	60.2	1.1	2.1
AFA	.21	48%	29.8	49%	3.23	317	40%	135	3.8	.16	37%	30.3	35%	38%	3.27	52.4	1.3	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SDSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
AFA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SDSU Offense	14	26.4	18.2	45.1%	3.91	1.1	20	407	263	145	5.8	66%	31%	44%	42%	15%	.22
AFA Defense	13	30.3	27.8	37%	3.27	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	35%	38%	19%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SDSU Defense	14	15.4	18.3	37.1%	3.26	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	37%	36%	18%	.07
AFA Offense	13	29.8	27.5	48.5%	3.8	1.3	23	452	317	135	5	80%	18%	49%	40%	11%	.21

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
San Diego State	14	31:22	19.9	40%	46%	7	60.2	1.1	2.1	5.4	2.7	8	33.6
Air Force	13	34:03	23.2	51%	53%	5.2	52.4	1.3	1.8	5.5	2.3	3	30.9

Run Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SDSU Offense	14	66%	44%	45.4	262.9	5.8	34	.21	2.84	82%	12%	1.16
AFA Defense	13	49%	35%	-	-	-	-	.02	2.34	66%	11%	1.06

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SDSU Defense	14	48%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	2.5	76%	9%	0.82
AFA Offense	13	80%	49%	63.6	317.4	5	39	.18	3.23	74%	9%	0.85

Pass Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SDSU Offense	14	31%	42%	11.1	18.3	144.5	7.9	13.1	20	6	.28	1.6	31%	34%	.29	4%	1.6
AFA Defense	13	50%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.3	2	38%	33%	.38	8%	2.3

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SDSU Defense	14	51%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	27	.15	1.7	36%	28%	.19	9%	1.8
AFA Offense	13	18%	40%	5.2	11.5	134.8	11.7	25.8	14	8	.47	2.4	25%	35%	.28	2%	1.6

San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: NR
San Diego State's Offense Rating: NR
San Diego State's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
San Diego State's 2017 Expected Record: -
San Diego State's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 #54
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #67
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #45

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
San Diego State: Air Force: -3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
San Diego State: 4.5 Air Force: -11.0

Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: -3 NR
Air Force's Offense Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #150
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Air Force's 2017 Expected Record: -
Air Force's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.0 #104
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #59
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.5 #121

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.2
Defense: 15.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.3

San Diego State's 2017 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
San Diego State 26
Air Force 23

Projected Total Points: 49

Air Force Scoring
Offense: 29.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.5
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.8

Air Force's 2017 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/30	San Diego State	20	Air Force	31	Air Force -6.5	Air Force	43.5	Over
2023	09/30	Air Force	49	San Diego State	10	Air Force -10.5	Air Force	43.5	Over
2022	11/26	San Diego State	3	Air Force	13	Air Force -2	Air Force	43.5	Under
2021	10/23	Air Force	14	San Diego State	20	Air Force -3	San Diego State	38.5	Under
2018	10/12	San Diego State	21	Air Force	17	San Diego State -11	Air Force	43.5	Under
2017	09/23	Air Force	24	San Diego State	28	San Diego State -1.5	San Diego State	48.0	Over
2015	12/05	San Diego State	27	Air Force	24	San Diego State -3.5	Air Force	46.5	Over
2014	11/21	San Diego State	30	Air Force	14	San Diego State -2	San Diego State	0
2013	10/10	Air Force	20	San Diego State	27	San Diego State -3.5	San Diego State	0
2012	11/10	San Diego State	28	Air Force	9
2011	10/13	Air Force	27	San Diego State	41
2010	10/16	San Diego State	27	Air Force	25
2009	09/26	Air Force	26	San Diego State	14
2008	10/11	San Diego State	10	Air Force	35
2007	11/17	Air Force	55	San Diego State	23
2006	10/21	San Diego State	19	Air Force	12
2005	09/10	Air Force	41	San Diego State	29
2004	11/13	Air Force	31	San Diego State	37
2003	11/22	San Diego State	24	Air Force	3
2001	09/29	San Diego State	21	Air Force	45
2000	11/17	Air Force	45	San Diego State	24

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Air Force	9	5	4 Overs
San Diego State	12	4	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 9	2 - 7	2 - 3	0 - 4
Road Teams	9 - 12	7 - 2	4 - 0	3 - 2

(#) SDSU at (#) AFA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	SDSU	AFA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#54	#104
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#82	#150
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

San Diego State Injury Report

Air Force Injury Report

San Diego State on Offense


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	AFA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#67	#121
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

San Diego State Run Game


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	AFA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

San Diego State Pass Game


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	AFA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Air Force on Offense


CategoryCat	AFA Off	SDSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#59	#45
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Air Force Run Game


CategoryCat	AFA Off	SDSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Air Force Pass Game


CategoryCat	AFA Off	SDSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
AFA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

SDSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Falcon Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 4
San Diego State 1.5 (48.0)
San Diego State won at Air Force this year (28-24)

Previous Matchups
Air Force beat San Diego State in 2024 (31-20)
Air Force beat San Diego State in 2023 (49-10)

SDSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View San Diego State's Full Roster

SDSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

AFA's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Air Force's Full Roster

AFA's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD