Air Force at Michigan - 2017 Matchup Preview
Air Force logo   Air Force Falcons at Michigan Wolverines  Michigan logo
Saturday, September 16th 2017 (12:00 PM EDT)
Michigan -23 (53.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Michigan 29 - Air Force: 13

 
Falcons (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (32 - 33 on Road)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MICH 2nd straight Home Game
AFA coming off BYE
Our Line: -18  (SP+ MICH -31)
Projected Score: AFA: 24 - MICH: 30 (54)
MICH Win prob: 95% | Cover: 56%
AFA Travel: 1126 miles, 2 hrs behind
Wolverines (8 - 5) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 20 (29 - 13 @ Home)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Air Force's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Air Force vs VMI-35.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/16 Air Force at Michigan+23.053.0L 13 - 29UY
Sat 9/23 Air Force vs San Diego State+1.548.0L 24 - 28ON
Sat 9/30 Air Force at New Mexico-3.050.5L 38 - 56ON
Sat 10/7 Air Force at Navy+8.553.5L 45 - 48OY
Sat 10/14 Air Force vs UNLV-9.565.5W 34 - 30UN
Fri 10/20 Air Force at Nevada-6.565.0W 45 - 42ON
Sat 10/28 Air Force at Colorado State+9.568.5W 45 - 28OY
Sat 11/4 Air Force vs Army-6.554.5L 0 - 21UN
Sat 11/11 Air Force vs Wyoming-2.551.0L 14 - 28UN
Sat 11/18 Air Force at Boise State+17.560.5L 19 - 44ON
Sat 11/25 Air Force vs Utah State-2.557.5W 38 - 35OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Air Force's Schedule
Michigan's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Michigan vs Florida-4.545.5W 33 - 17OY
Sat 9/9 Michigan vs Cincinnati-32.550.5W 36 - 14UN
Sat 9/16 Michigan vs Air Force-23.053.0W 29 - 13UN
Sat 9/23 Michigan at Purdue-13.051.0W 28 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 Michigan vs Michigan State-12.540.0L 10 - 14UN
Sat 10/14 Michigan at Indiana-7.044.0W 27 - 20ON
Sat 10/21 Michigan at Penn State+7.542.5L 13 - 42ON
Sat 10/28 Michigan vs Rutgers-22.543.5W 35 - 14ON
Sat 11/4 Michigan vs Minnesota-16.039.5W 33 - 10OY
Sat 11/11 Michigan at Maryland-16.548.5W 35 - 10UY
Sat 11/18 Michigan at Wisconsin+6.540.5L 10 - 24UN
Sat 11/25 Michigan vs Ohio State+12.549.0L 20 - 31OY
Mon 1/1 Michigan vs South Carolina-9.042.5L 19 - 26ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AFA.2148%29.849%3.2331740%1353.8.1637%30.335%38%3.2752.41.31.8
MICH.1645%27.545%2.8121343%2124.36-31%20.434%26%245.60.91.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AFA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MICH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AFA Offense1329.832.248.5%3.81.323452317135580%18%49%40%11%.21
MICH Defense1320.413.331.2%21.5 - - - - - 52%47%34%26%24%-
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AFA Defense1330.332.837%3.271.8 - - - - - 49%50%35%38%19%.16
MICH Offense1327.529.245.1%4.360.9224252132124.855%43%45%43%16%.16

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Air Force1334:0323.251%53%5.252.41.31.85.52.3330.9
Michigan1333:0221.843%65%4.845.60.91.59.23.5534.8
Run Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AFA Offense1380%49%63.6317.4539.183.2374%9%0.85
MICH Defense1352%34% - - - - .031.9565%17%1.14
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AFA Defense1349%35% - - - - .022.3466%11%1.06
MICH Offense1355%45%44.2212.94.841.112.8172%10%0.92

Pass Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AFA Offense1318%40%5.211.5134.811.725.8148.472.425%35%.282%1.6
MICH Defense1347%26% - - - - - - 13-.031.740%24%.18%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AFA Defense1350%38% - - - - - - 15.3238%33%.388%2.3
MICH Offense1343%43%17.528.52127.512.1207.271.629%35%.335%1.8

Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: NR
Air Force's Offense Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #150
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Air Force's 2017 Expected Record: -
Air Force's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.0  #104
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8  #59
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.5  #121

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Air Force:    Michigan: 12.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Air Force: -11.0   Michigan: 19.6




Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 12.3 NR
Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Michigan's 2017 Expected Record: -
Michigan's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.6  #13
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1  #49
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 11.8  #5

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Air Force Scoring
Offense: 29.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.2
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Air Force's 2017 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Michigan 30
Air Force 24

Projected Total Points: 54
Michigan Scoring
Offense: 27.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.2
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.3

Michigan's 2017 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201709/16Michigan29Air Force13Michigan -23Air Force53.0Under
201209/08Michigan31Air Force25
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Michigan200 Overs
Air Force011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 21 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#) AFA at (#) MICH
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatAFAMICH
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #104 #13
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #150 #7
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Air Force on Offense
CategoryCat
AFA OffMICH Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #59 #5
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Air Force Run Game
CategoryCat
AFA OffMICH Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Air Force Pass Game
CategoryCat
AFA OffMICH Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Michigan on Offense
CategoryCatMICH OffAFA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #49 #121
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Michigan Run Game
CategoryCat
MICH OffAFA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Michigan Pass Game
CategoryCatMICH OffAFA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MICH 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

AFA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Michigan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 3
Michigan -23.0 (53.0)
Michigan won vs Air Force this year (29-13)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
AFA's OC ()
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MICH's DC ()
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