UNLV at Air Force - 2017 Matchup Preview
UNLV logo   UNLV Rebels at Air Force Falcons  Air Force logo
Saturday, October 14th 2017 (2:00 PM EDT)
Air Force -9.5 (65.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Air Force 34 - UNLV: 30  (Mountain West)

 
Rebels (5 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 28 (35 - 29 on Road)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
AFA is playing their 5th straight game
UNLV is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -4.5  (SP+ AFA -4)
Projected Score: UNLV: 32 - AFA: 29 (61)
AFA Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
UNLV Travel: 597 miles, 1 hrs behind
Falcons (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (28 - 28 @ Home)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UNLV's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 UNLV vs Howard-45.0
Sat 9/9 UNLV at Idaho+4.569.5W 44 - 16UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23 UNLV at Ohio State+40.067.5L 21 - 54OY
Sat 9/30 UNLV vs San José State-16.563.0W 41 - 13UY
Sat 10/7 UNLV vs San Diego State+9.556.5L 10 - 41UN
Sat 10/14 UNLV at Air Force+9.565.5L 30 - 34UY
Sat 10/21 UNLV vs Utah State-3.560.5L 28 - 52ON
Sat 10/28 UNLV at Fresno State+21.559.0W 26 - 16UY
Sat 11/4 UNLV vs Hawai'i-7.059.5W 31 - 23UY
Fri 11/10 UNLV vs BYU-1.049.5L 21 - 31ON
Fri 11/17 UNLV at New Mexico+3.055.5W 38 - 35OY
Sat 11/25 UNLV at Nevada+3.070.0L 16 - 23UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule
Air Force's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Air Force vs VMI-35.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/16 Air Force at Michigan+23.053.0L 13 - 29UY
Sat 9/23 Air Force vs San Diego State+1.548.0L 24 - 28ON
Sat 9/30 Air Force at New Mexico-3.050.5L 38 - 56ON
Sat 10/7 Air Force at Navy+8.553.5L 45 - 48OY
Sat 10/14 Air Force vs UNLV-9.565.5W 34 - 30UN
Fri 10/20 Air Force at Nevada-6.565.0W 45 - 42ON
Sat 10/28 Air Force at Colorado State+9.568.5W 45 - 28OY
Sat 11/4 Air Force vs Army-6.554.5L 0 - 21UN
Sat 11/11 Air Force vs Wyoming-2.551.0L 14 - 28UN
Sat 11/18 Air Force at Boise State+17.560.5L 19 - 44ON
Sat 11/25 Air Force vs Utah State-2.557.5W 38 - 35OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Air Force's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNLV.2242%34.144%3.0324237%1634.11.2746%2850%40%4.0551.21.11.2
AFA.2148%29.849%3.2331740%1353.8.1637%30.335%38%3.2752.41.31.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNLV0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
AFA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNLV Offense1234.134.742.1%4.111.1204042421635.661%37%44%37%15%.22
AFA Defense1330.327.837%3.271.8 - - - - - 49%50%35%38%19%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNLV Defense122829.345.7%4.051.2 - - - - - 51%48%50%40%17%.27
AFA Offense1329.827.548.5%3.81.323452317135580%18%49%40%11%.21

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UNLV1228:2619.738%56%5.651.21.11.25.41.7226.1
Air Force1334:0323.251%53%5.252.41.31.85.52.3330.9
Run Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNLV Offense1261%44%43.4241.55.628.243.0383%9%1.12
AFA Defense1349%35% - - - - .022.3466%11%1.06
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNLV Defense1251%50% - - - - .213.385%9%0.95
AFA Offense1380%49%63.6317.4539.183.2374%9%0.85

Pass Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNLV Offense1237%37%11.524.5162.96.714.21610.221.734%35%.376%1.7
AFA Defense1350%38% - - - - - - 15.3238%33%.388%2.3
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNLV Defense1248%40% - - - - - - 5.341.933%35%.397%1.9
AFA Offense1318%40%5.211.5134.811.725.8148.472.425%35%.282%1.6

UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: NR
UNLV's Offense Rating: NR
UNLV's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UNLV's 2017 Expected Record: -
UNLV's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.5  #112
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.2  #82
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.8  #118

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UNLV:    Air Force: -3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UNLV: -14.5   Air Force: -11.0




Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: -3 NR
Air Force's Offense Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #150
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Air Force's 2017 Expected Record: -
Air Force's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.0  #104
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8  #59
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.5  #121

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


UNLV Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.7
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.3

UNLV's 2017 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
UNLV 32
Air Force 29

Projected Total Points: 61
Air Force Scoring
Offense: 29.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.5
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.8

Air Force's 2017 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/11UNLV51Air Force48UNLV -7Air Force65.5Over
202311/18Air Force27UNLV31Air Force -2.5UNLV46.5Over
202210/15UNLV7Air Force42Air Force -10Air Force50.0Under
202111/26Air Force48UNLV14Air Force -18.5Air Force49.5Over
201810/19UNLV35Air Force41Air Force -9.5UNLV55.5Over
201710/14Air Force34UNLV30Air Force -9.5UNLV65.5Under
201411/08UNLV21Air Force48Air Force -4.5Air Force0
201311/21Air Force21UNLV41Air Force -1UNLV58.5Over
201209/22UNLV38Air Force35
201111/19Air Force45UNLV17
201011/18UNLV20Air Force35
200911/14Air Force45UNLV17
200810/18UNLV28Air Force29
200710/06Air Force31UNLV14
200611/24UNLV42Air Force39
200510/15Air Force42UNLV7
200409/18UNLV10Air Force27
200310/11Air Force24UNLV7
200111/17Air Force10UNLV34
200009/29UNLV34Air Force13
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Air Force1345 Overs
UNLV742 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 92 - 61 - 41 - 2
Road Teams9 - 116 - 22 - 14 - 1

(#) UNLV at (#) AFA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUNLVAFA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #112 #104
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #109 #150
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
UNLV on Offense
CategoryCat
UNLV OffAFA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #82 #121
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UNLV Run Game
CategoryCat
UNLV OffAFA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UNLV Pass Game
CategoryCat
UNLV OffAFA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Air Force on Offense
CategoryCatAFA OffUNLV Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #59 #118
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Air Force Run Game
CategoryCat
AFA OffUNLV Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Air Force Pass Game
CategoryCatAFA OffUNLV Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
AFA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

UNLV 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Falcon Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 7
Air Force -9.5 (65.5)
Air Force won vs UNLV this year (34-30)

Previous Matchups
UNLV beat Air Force last year (51-48)
UNLV beat Air Force in 2023 (31-27)

  
UNLV's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UNLV's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

AFA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Air Force's Full Roster

AFA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD