Ole Miss at California - 2017 Matchup Preview
Ole Miss logo (#17)Ole Miss Rebels at California Golden BearsCalifornia logo
Saturday, September 16th 2017 (10:30 PM EDT)
Ole Miss -7 (69.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
California 27 - Ole Miss: 16

 
Rebels (6 - 6) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 35 (22 - 40 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
CAL 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -4  (SP+ MISS -12.5)
Projected Score: MISS: 26 - CAL: 35 (61)
MISS Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
MISS Travel: 1833 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Golden Bears (5 - 7) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (33 - 23 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Ole Miss's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Ole Miss vs South Alabama-22.059.5W 47 - 27ON
Sat 9/9 Ole Miss vs UT Martin-33.5
Sat 9/16 Ole Miss at California-7.069.5L 16 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30 Ole Miss at Alabama+30.056.0L 3 - 66ON
Sat 10/7 Ole Miss at Auburn+21.555.5L 23 - 44OY
Sat 10/14 Ole Miss vs Vanderbilt-3.556.5W 57 - 35OY
Sat 10/21 Ole Miss vs LSU+6.559.0L 24 - 40ON
Sat 10/28 Ole Miss vs Arkansas-2.562.0L 37 - 38ON
Sat 11/4 Ole Miss at Kentucky+3.563.5W 37 - 34OY
Sat 11/11 Ole Miss vs Louisiana-22.567.5W 50 - 22OY
Sat 11/18 Ole Miss vs Texas A&M+3.070.0L 24 - 31UN
Thu 11/23 Ole Miss at Mississippi State+14.064.5W 31 - 28UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule
California's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 California at North Carolina+12.557.5W 35 - 30OY
Sat 9/9 California vs Weber State-25.5
Sat 9/16 California vs Ole Miss+7.069.5W 27 - 16UY
Sat 9/23 California vs USC+17.063.0L 20 - 30UY
Sat 9/30 California at Oregon+17.066.5L 24 - 45ON
Sat 10/7 California at Washington+28.555.5L 7 - 38UN
Fri 10/13 California vs Washington State+16.554.5W 37 - 3UY
Sat 10/21 California vs Arizona+4.566.5L 44 - 45OY
Sat 10/28 California at Colorado+3.555.5L 28 - 44ON
Sat 11/4 California vs Oregon State-7.054.0W 37 - 23OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18 California at Stanford+14.056.5L 14 - 17UY
Fri 11/24 California at UCLA+7.066.5L 27 - 30UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for California's Schedule
Important Stats (2017)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MISS.2547%32.847%3.1713444%3283.65.2246%34.646%42%3.8962.41.51.1
CAL.1443%27.844%2.8112640%2593.24.1847%28.448%44%3.2454.81.71.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MISS#4 (.34)47% (19)44% (76)3.02 (72)16451% (3)3174 (58)#6 (.04)35% (3)35% (6)36% (13)2.98 (8)68.50.91.6
CAL#79 (.17)42% (88)40% (104)2.68 (120)12243% (57)2593.07 (125)#48 (.14)40% (52)41% (53)40% (67)3.23 (20)59.70.81.7



Overall Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MISS Offense1232.82246.7%3.651.5214621343284.340%57%47%44%17%.25
CAL Defense1228.422.847.1%3.241.9 - - - - - 51%47%48%44%15%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MISS Defense1234.639.845.6%3.891.1 - - - - - 57%41%46%42%14%.22
CAL Offense1227.83343%3.241.7223851262593.642%56%44%40%17%.14

Additional Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ole Miss1225:1221.338%40%7.662.41.51.16.32.4130.1
California1229:2922.140%68%6.554.81.71.95.62.3130
Run Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MISS Offense1240%47%30.8133.94.319.233.1768%10%1.03
CAL Defense1251%48% - - - - .143.0688%10%0.85
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MISS Defense1257%46% - - - - .223.278%9%1.05
CAL Offense1242%44%34.7125.63.617.092.8165%11%0.96

Pass Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MISS Offense1257%44%23.436.2328.49.1142813.31.728%35%.357%1.9
CAL Defense1247%44% - - - - - - 14.251.530%35%.246%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MISS Defense1241%42% - - - - - - 8.271.627%37%.355%1.8
CAL Offense1256%40%23.239.7258.96.511.21912.181.635%39%.396%1.7

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ole Miss's 2017 Expected Record: -
Ole Miss's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.6  #26
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.9  #10
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.8  #76

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss:    California: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: 11.6   California: -1.0




California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: 2 NR
California's Offense Rating: NR
California's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
California's 2017 Expected Record: -
California's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0  #74
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7  #62
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.9  #81

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 32.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 22
Defense: 34.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 39.8

Ole Miss's 2017 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
California 35
Ole Miss 26

Total Points: 61

Based on Last 4 Games
California 35
Ole Miss 25

Total Points: 60

Based on Entire Season
California 34
Ole Miss 27

Total Points: 61
California Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 33
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.8

California's 2017 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201909/21Ole Miss20California28Ole Miss -3California43.0Over
201709/16California27Ole Miss16Ole Miss -7California69.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
California221 Overs
Ole Miss001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 11 - 0
Road Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 11 - 0

(#) MISS at (#) CAL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMISSCAL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #26 #74
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #17 #48
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Ole Miss on Offense
CategoryCat
MISS OffCAL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #10 #81
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ole Miss Run Game
CategoryCat
MISS OffCAL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Ole Miss Pass Game
CategoryCat
MISS OffCAL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
California on Offense
CategoryCatCAL OffMISS Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #62 #76
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
California Run Game
CategoryCat
CAL OffMISS Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
California Pass Game
CategoryCatCAL OffMISS Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
CAL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Top G5

MISS 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in California Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 62° - Wind: 11 mph
Rematch from Week 3
Ole Miss 7.0 (69.5)
California won vs Ole Miss this year (27-16)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
MISS's OC ()
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MISS's DC ()
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CAL's OC ()
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CAL's DC ()
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