Wake Forest at North Carolina - 2015 Matchup Preview

Wake Forest Demon Deacons at North Carolina Tar Heels

Saturday, October 17th 2015 (7:00 PM EDT)
North Carolina -14 (53.5) (0) Open: 0.0
North Carolina 50 - Wake Forest: 14 (ACC)

Demon Deacons (3 - 9) (6 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (25 - 27 on Road)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

WAKE 2nd straight Road Game
UNC coming off BYE
WAKE is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: WAKE: 26 - UNC: 23 (49)
UNC Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
WAKE Travel: 69 miles

Tar Heels (11 - 3) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 19 - 25 (21 - 26 @ Home)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WAKE Players
UNC Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Wake Forest's 2015 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/3	Wake Forest vs Elon	-23.5
Sat 9/12	Wake Forest at Syracuse	+5.5	41.5	L 17 - 30	O	N
Sat 9/19	Wake Forest at Army	-2.0	49.5	W 17 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/26	Wake Forest vs Indiana	+3.5	55.0	L 24 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/3	Wake Forest vs Florida State	+18.0	45.5	L 16 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/10	Wake Forest at Boston College	+9.0	35.5	W 3 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/17	Wake Forest at North Carolina	+14.0	53.5	L 14 - 50	O	N
Sat 10/24	Wake Forest vs NC State	+8.5	43.5	L 17 - 35	O	N
Fri 10/30	Wake Forest vs Louisville	+9.5	44.0	L 19 - 20	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14	Wake Forest at Notre Dame	+27.0	52.0	L 7 - 28	U	Y
Sat 11/21	Wake Forest at Clemson	+29.0	47.5	L 13 - 33	U	Y
Sat 11/28	Wake Forest vs Duke	+4.0	45.0	L 21 - 27	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wake Forest's Schedule

North Carolina's 2015 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/3	North Carolina vs South Carolina	+3.5	62.0	L 13 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/12	North Carolina vs North Carolina A&T	-35.5
Sat 9/19	North Carolina vs Illinois	-7.0	63.0	W 48 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/26	North Carolina vs Delaware	-42.0
Sat 10/3	North Carolina at Georgia Tech	+10.5	61.5	W 38 - 31	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17	North Carolina vs Wake Forest	-14.0	53.5	W 50 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/24	North Carolina vs Virginia	-12.0	58.0	W 26 - 13	U	Y
Thu 10/29	North Carolina at Pittsburgh	-2.5	59.0	W 26 - 19	U	Y
Sat 11/7	North Carolina vs Duke	-8.0	59.5	W 66 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/14	North Carolina vs Miami	-12.5	68.5	W 59 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/21	North Carolina at Virginia Tech	-7.5	61.0	W 30 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/28	North Carolina at NC State	-6.0	65.0	W 45 - 34	O	Y
Sat 12/5	North Carolina vs Clemson	+6.5	67.5	L 37 - 45	O	N
Tue 12/29	North Carolina vs Baylor	+3.5

Important Stats (2014)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WAKE	-.1	32%	28.1	24%	1.33	40	35%	176	2.35	.07	39%	22.1	38%	37%	2.6	47.8	1.8	1.6
UNC	.18	46%	19.3	49%	3.14	152	43%	278	3.91	.27	49%	24.5	51%	45%	4.27	63.2	1.8	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WAKE		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UNC		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2014

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WAKE Offense	12	28.1	24.8	32%	2.35	1.8	14	216	40	176	1.3	41%	57%	24%	35%	2%	-.1
UNC Defense	13	24.5	26	49.2%	4.27	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	51%	45%	2%	.27

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WAKE Defense	12	22.1	27.4	39.1%	2.6	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	54%	44%	38%	37%	2%	.07
UNC Offense	13	19.3	21	46%	3.91	1.8	24	430	152	278	4	47%	52%	49%	43%	2%	.18

Additional Stats 2014

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Wake Forest	12	29:43	14.3	28%	40%	5	47.8	1.8	1.6	0	0	2	31.1
North Carolina	13	26:08	23.9	42%	48%	7.5	63.2	1.8	1.8	0	0	3	31.5

Run Game Stats (2015)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WAKE Offense	12	41%	24%	31.9	39.9	1.3	4	-.22	1.33	58%	0%	0.88
UNC Defense	13	56%	51%	-	-	-	-	.19	3.23	80%	0%	0.93

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WAKE Defense	12	54%	38%	-	-	-	-	.04	2.65	73%	0%	1.07
UNC Offense	13	47%	49%	38.2	151.8	4	26	.19	3.14	70%	0%	0.89

Pass Game Stats (2015)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WAKE Offense	12	57%	35%	18.8	32.1	176.3	5.5	9.4	12	14	-.01	1.3	41%	24%	-.01	2%	1.6
UNC Defense	13	43%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.39	1.8	31%	41%	.56	2%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WAKE Defense	12	44%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.14	1.5	35%	29%	.09	2%	1.5
UNC Offense	13	52%	43%	24.2	39.2	278	7.1	11.5	29	13	.2	1.5	29%	36%	.4	2%	1.8

Wake Forest's Power Ratings
Wake Forest's Power Rating: NR
Wake Forest's Offense Rating: NR
Wake Forest's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Wake Forest's 2015 Expected Record: -
Wake Forest's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Wake Forest's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Wake Forest's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Wake Forest: North Carolina: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wake Forest: North Carolina:

North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
North Carolina's 2015 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Wake Forest Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.8
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.4

Wake Forest's 2015 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Wake Forest 26
North Carolina 23

Projected Total Points: 49

North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 21
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

North Carolina's 2015 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/15	Wake Forest	28	North Carolina	12	Wake Forest -3.5	Wake Forest	37.5	Over
2024	11/16	North Carolina	31	Wake Forest	24	North Carolina -10.5	Wake Forest	64.5	Under
2022	11/12	Wake Forest	34	North Carolina	36	Wake Forest -4.5	North Carolina	79.0	Under
2021	11/06	North Carolina	58	Wake Forest	55	North Carolina -2.5	North Carolina	78.0	Over
2020	11/14	North Carolina	59	Wake Forest	53	North Carolina -13	Wake Forest	70.5	Over
2019	09/13	Wake Forest	24	North Carolina	18	Wake Forest -3	Wake Forest	65.0	Under
2015	10/17	North Carolina	50	Wake Forest	14	North Carolina -14	North Carolina	53.5	Over
2012	09/08	Wake Forest	28	North Carolina	27
2011	10/29	North Carolina	49	Wake Forest	24
2007	10/27	Wake Forest	37	North Carolina	10
2006	10/28	North Carolina	17	Wake Forest	24
2004	11/13	Wake Forest	24	North Carolina	31
2003	11/08	North Carolina	42	Wake Forest	34
2002	10/26	Wake Forest	31	North Carolina	0
2001	11/10	North Carolina	31	Wake Forest	32
2000	09/08	Wake Forest	14	North Carolina	35

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
North Carolina	9	3	4 Overs
Wake Forest	7	4	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	11 - 5	4 - 3	4 - 3	0 - 0
Road Teams	5 - 11	3 - 4	0 - 0	3 - 4

(#) WAKE at (#) UNC

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WAKE	UNC
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#69	#26
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Wake Forest Injury Report

North Carolina Injury Report

Wake Forest on Offense


CategoryCat	WAKE Off	UNC Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Wake Forest Run Game


CategoryCat	WAKE Off	UNC Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Wake Forest Pass Game


CategoryCat	WAKE Off	UNC Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

North Carolina on Offense


CategoryCat	UNC Off	WAKE Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

North Carolina Run Game


CategoryCat	UNC Off	WAKE Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

North Carolina Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNC Off	WAKE Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UNC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

WAKE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 7
North Carolina -14.0 (53.5)
North Carolina won vs Wake Forest this year (50-14)

Previous Matchups
Wake Forest beat North Carolina last year (28-12)
North Carolina beat Wake Forest in 2024 (31-24)

WAKE's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Wake Forest's Full Roster

WAKE's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

UNC's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View North Carolina's Full Roster

UNC's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD