
Miami Hurricanes at North Carolina Tar Heels 
Saturday, November 14th 2015 (3:30 PM EST)
North Carolina -12.5 (68.5) (0) Open: 0.0
North Carolina 59 - Miami: 21 (ACC)
Hurricanes (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 15 (26 - 15 on Road)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 15 (26 - 15 on Road)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UNC 2nd straight Home Game
UNC is playing their 5th straight game
MIAMI is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: MIAMI: 27 - UNC: 18 (45)
UNC Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
MIAMI Travel: 691 miles
UNC is playing their 5th straight game
MIAMI is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: MIAMI: 27 - UNC: 18 (45)
UNC Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
MIAMI Travel: 691 miles
Tar Heels (11 - 3) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 19 - 25 (21 - 26 @ Home)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 19 - 25 (21 - 26 @ Home)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
| Miami's 2015 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 9/5 | Miami vs Bethune-Cookman | -39.0 | |||||
| Fri 9/11 | Miami at Florida Atlantic | -16.5 | 56.0 | W 44 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/19 | Miami vs Nebraska | -4.5 | 59.5 | W 36 - 33 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Thu 10/1 | Miami at Cincinnati | -5.0 | 70.0 | L 23 - 34 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/10 | Miami at Florida State | +9.0 | 54.0 | L 24 - 29 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/17 | Miami vs Virginia Tech | -7.0 | 51.5 | W 30 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/24 | Miami vs Clemson | +3.5 | 56.0 | L 0 - 58 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/31 | Miami at Duke | +8.0 | 51.5 | W 30 - 27 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/7 | Miami vs Virginia | -7.5 | 53.0 | W 27 - 21 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/14 | Miami at North Carolina | +12.5 | 68.5 | L 21 - 59 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/21 | Miami vs Georgia Tech | -1.0 | 56.5 | W 38 - 21 | O | Y | |
| Fri 11/27 | Miami at Pittsburgh | +7.0 | 54.5 | W 29 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Sat 12/26 | Miami vs Washington State | +1.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for Miami's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
| North Carolina's 2015 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 9/3 | North Carolina vs South Carolina | +3.5 | 62.0 | L 13 - 17 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/12 | North Carolina vs North Carolina A&T | -35.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/19 | North Carolina vs Illinois | -7.0 | 63.0 | W 48 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/26 | North Carolina vs Delaware | -42.0 | |||||
| Sat 10/3 | North Carolina at Georgia Tech | +10.5 | 61.5 | W 38 - 31 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/17 | North Carolina vs Wake Forest | -14.0 | 53.5 | W 50 - 14 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/24 | North Carolina vs Virginia | -12.0 | 58.0 | W 26 - 13 | U | Y | |
| Thu 10/29 | North Carolina at Pittsburgh | -2.5 | 59.0 | W 26 - 19 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/7 | North Carolina vs Duke | -8.0 | 59.5 | W 66 - 31 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/14 | North Carolina vs Miami | -12.5 | 68.5 | W 59 - 21 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/21 | North Carolina at Virginia Tech | -7.5 | 61.0 | W 30 - 27 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/28 | North Carolina at NC State | -6.0 | 65.0 | W 45 - 34 | O | Y | |
| Sat 12/5 | North Carolina vs Clemson | +6.5 | 67.5 | L 37 - 45 | O | N | |
| Tue 12/29 | North Carolina vs Baylor | +3.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Important Stats (2014)
Overall Stats 2014
Additional Stats 2014
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIAMI | .24 | 45% | 30.9 | 46% | 3.1 | 180 | 42% | 250 | 3.73 | .1 | 41% | 14.8 | 45% | 35% | 3.33 | 63.6 | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| UNC | .18 | 46% | 19.3 | 49% | 3.14 | 152 | 43% | 278 | 3.91 | .27 | 49% | 24.5 | 51% | 45% | 4.27 | 63.2 | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIAMI | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| UNC | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Overall Stats 2014
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIAMI Offense | 13 | 30.9 | 26 | 44.7% | 3.73 | 1.8 | 20 | 430 | 180 | 250 | 5.3 | 49% | 49% | 46% | 42% | 2% | .24 |
| UNC Defense | 13 | 24.5 | 26 | 49.2% | 4.27 | 1.8 | - | - | - | - | - | 56% | 43% | 51% | 45% | 2% | .27 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIAMI Defense | 13 | 14.8 | 15 | 41.5% | 3.33 | 1.8 | - | - | - | - | - | 54% | 45% | 45% | 35% | 1% | .1 |
| UNC Offense | 13 | 19.3 | 21 | 46% | 3.91 | 1.8 | 24 | 430 | 152 | 278 | 4 | 47% | 52% | 49% | 43% | 2% | .18 |
Additional Stats 2014
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | 13 | 29:19 | 19.8 | 37% | 61% | 7.2 | 63.6 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 29.2 |
| North Carolina | 13 | 26:08 | 23.9 | 42% | 48% | 7.5 | 63.2 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 31.5 |
Run Game Stats (2015)
Pass Game Stats (2015)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIAMI Offense | 13 | 49% | 46% | 34.3 | 180.4 | 5.3 | 19 | .16 | 3.1 | 76% | 0% | 1.03 |
| UNC Defense | 13 | 56% | 51% | - | - | - | - | .19 | 3.23 | 80% | 0% | 0.93 |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIAMI Defense | 13 | 54% | 45% | - | - | - | - | .09 | 3.13 | 70% | 0% | 0.83 |
| UNC Offense | 13 | 47% | 49% | 38.2 | 151.8 | 4 | 26 | .19 | 3.14 | 70% | 0% | 0.89 |
Pass Game Stats (2015)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIAMI Offense | 13 | 49% | 42% | 17.5 | 30.1 | 249.9 | 8.3 | 14.3 | 26 | 12 | .34 | 1.8 | 31% | 37% | .35 | 2% | 1.8 |
| UNC Defense | 13 | 43% | 45% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 12 | .39 | 1.8 | 31% | 41% | .56 | 2% | 2 |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIAMI Defense | 13 | 45% | 35% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 10 | .14 | 1.6 | 31% | 30% | .26 | 1% | 2 |
| UNC Offense | 13 | 52% | 43% | 24.2 | 39.2 | 278 | 7.1 | 11.5 | 29 | 13 | .2 | 1.5 | 29% | 36% | .4 | 2% | 1.8 |
Miami's Power Ratings
Miami's Power Rating: NR
Miami's Offense Rating: NR
Miami's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Miami's 2015 Expected Record: -
Miami's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: NR
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Miami's Power Rating: NR
Miami's Offense Rating: NR
Miami's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Miami's 2015 Expected Record: -
Miami's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: NR
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Power Ratings Matchup
Miami: North Carolina: 2.5
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami: North Carolina:
Miami: North Carolina: 2.5
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami: North Carolina:
North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
North Carolina's 2015 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: NR
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
North Carolina's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
North Carolina's 2015 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: NR
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Miami Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 26
Defense: 14.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 15
Miami's 2015 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 26
Defense: 14.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 15
Miami's 2015 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Miami 27
North Carolina 18
Projected Total Points: 45
Miami 27
North Carolina 18
Projected Total Points: 45
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 21
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 26
North Carolina's 2015 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 21
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 26
North Carolina's 2015 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 10/14 | North Carolina | 41 | Miami | 31 | North Carolina -2.5 | North Carolina | 57.5 | Over |
| 2022 | 10/08 | Miami | 24 | North Carolina | 27 | Miami -4 | North Carolina | 67.5 | Under |
| 2021 | 10/16 | North Carolina | 45 | Miami | 42 | North Carolina -7.5 | Miami | 63.5 | Over |
| 2020 | 12/12 | Miami | 26 | North Carolina | 62 | Miami -3.0 | North Carolina | 72.5 | Over |
| 2019 | 09/07 | North Carolina | 28 | Miami | 25 | Miami -5 | North Carolina | 46.0 | Over |
| 2018 | 09/27 | Miami | 47 | North Carolina | 10 | Miami -17.5 | Miami | 56.0 | Over |
| 2017 | 10/28 | North Carolina | 19 | Miami | 24 | Miami -21 | North Carolina | 56.0 | Under |
| 2016 | 10/15 | Miami | 13 | North Carolina | 20 | Miami -7 | North Carolina | 67.0 | Under |
| 2015 | 11/14 | North Carolina | 59 | Miami | 21 | North Carolina -12.5 | North Carolina | 68.5 | Over |
| 2014 | 11/01 | Miami | 47 | North Carolina | 20 | Miami -11 | Miami | 0 | |
| 2013 | 10/17 | North Carolina | 23 | Miami | 27 | Miami -7.5 | North Carolina | 0 | |
| 2012 | 10/13 | Miami | 14 | North Carolina | 18 | ||||
| 2011 | 10/15 | North Carolina | 24 | Miami | 30 | ||||
| 2010 | 10/23 | Miami | 33 | North Carolina | 10 | ||||
| 2009 | 11/14 | North Carolina | 33 | Miami | 24 | ||||
| 2008 | 09/27 | Miami | 24 | North Carolina | 28 | ||||
| 2007 | 10/06 | North Carolina | 33 | Miami | 27 | ||||
| 2006 | 10/07 | Miami | 27 | North Carolina | 7 | ||||
| 2005 | 10/29 | Miami | 34 | North Carolina | 16 | ||||
| 2004 | 10/30 | North Carolina | 31 | Miami | 28 |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina | 12 | 8 | 6 Overs |
| Miami | 8 | 3 | 3 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 12 - 8 | 7 - 4 | 4 - 4 | 3 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 8 - 12 | 4 - 7 | 0 - 3 | 4 - 4 |
| Overall StatsOvr | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | MIAMI | UNC |
| Net PPPPPP | NR | NR |
| Power RatePwr | NR | NR |
| SP+SP+ | NR | NR |
| Perf GradeGrade | NR | NR |
| OffenseOff | NR | NR |
| DefenseDef | NR | NR |
| Spec TeamsST | NR | NR |
| TalentTal | #17 | #26 |
| Blue ChipsBC% | NR | NR |
| MIAMI Off | UNC Def | |
|---|---|---|
| PPPOffPPP | NR | NR |
| Perf GradePerf | NR | NR |
| SuccessSuc | NR | NR |
| ExplosiveExp | NR | NR |
| PPAPPA | NR | NR |
| PowerPwr | NR | NR |
| SP+SP+ | NR | NR |
| Pts POPPO | NR | NR |
| HavocHav | NR | NR |
| MIAMI Off | UNC Def | |
|---|---|---|
| Run GameRun | NR | NR |
| Run SuccessRSuc | NR | NR |
| Run ExplRExp | NR | NR |
| PPAExp | NR | NR | Run BlockR Blk | NR | - |
| OL YdsOLY | NR | NR |
| Stuff RateStuff | NR | NR |
| TackleTak | - | NR |
| MIAMI Off | UNC Def | |
|---|---|---|
| Pass GamePass | NR | NR |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | NR | NR |
| Pass ExplPExl | NR | NR |
| PPAExp | NR | NR |
| Pass Rush/BlockP Blk | NR | NR |
| F7 HavocF7 | NR | NR |
| DB HavocDB | NR | NR |
| CategoryCat | UNC Off | MIAMI Def |
|---|---|---|
| PPPDefPPP | NR | NR |
| Perf GradePerf | NR | NR |
| SuccessSuc | NR | NR |
| ExplosiveExp | NR | NR |
| PPAPPA | NR | NR |
| PowerPwr | NR | NR |
| SP+SP+ | NR | NR |
| Pts POPPO | NR | NR |
| HavocHav | NR | NR |
| UNC Off | MIAMI Def | |
|---|---|---|
| Run GameRun | NR | NR |
| Run SuccessRSuc | NR | NR |
| Run ExplRExp | NR | NR |
| PPAExp | NR | NR | Run BlockR Blk | NR | - |
| OL YdsOLY | NR | NR |
| Stuff RateStuff | NR | NR |
| TackleTak | - | NR |
| CategoryCat | UNC Off | MIAMI Def |
|---|---|---|
| Pass GamePass | NR | NR |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | NR | NR |
| Pass ExplPExl | NR | NR |
| PPAExp | NR | NR |
| Pass Block/RushP Blk | NR | NR |
| F7 HavocF7 | NR | NR |
| DB HavocDB | NR | NR |
Program Comparison
UNC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5
MIAMI 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5
UNC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5
MIAMI 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5
Weather Forecast
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
North Carolina -12.5 (68.5)
North Carolina won vs Miami this year (59-21)
Previous Matchups
North Carolina beat Miami in 2023 (41-31)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|