Virginia at North Carolina - 2015 Matchup Preview
Virginia logo   Virginia Cavaliers at North Carolina Tar Heels  North Carolina logo
Saturday, October 24th 2015 (3:30 PM EDT)
North Carolina -12 (58.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
North Carolina 26 - Virginia: 13  (ACC)

 
Cavaliers (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (29 - 23 on Road)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UNC 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: UVA: 28 - UNC: 21 (49)
UNC Win prob: 79% | Cover: 45%
UVA Travel: 150 miles
Tar Heels (11 - 3) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 19 - 25 (21 - 26 @ Home)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Virginia's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Virginia at UCLA+14.553.0L 16 - 34UN
Sat 9/12 Virginia vs Notre Dame+11.547.0L 27 - 34OY
Sat 9/19 Virginia vs William & Mary-24.0
Fri 9/25 Virginia vs Boise State+4.048.5L 14 - 56ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10 Virginia at Pittsburgh+10.045.0L 19 - 26UY
Sat 10/17 Virginia vs Syracuse-8.551.0W 44 - 38ON
Sat 10/24 Virginia at North Carolina+12.058.0L 13 - 26UN
Sat 10/31 Virginia vs Georgia Tech+2.551.5W 27 - 21UY
Sat 11/7 Virginia at Miami+7.553.0L 21 - 27UY
Sat 11/14 Virginia at Louisville+8.548.0L 31 - 38OY
Sat 11/21 Virginia vs Duke-2.553.5W 42 - 34OY
Sat 11/28 Virginia vs Virginia Tech+3.548.0L 20 - 23UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule
North Carolina's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/3 North Carolina vs South Carolina+3.562.0L 13 - 17UN
Sat 9/12 North Carolina vs North Carolina A&T-35.5
Sat 9/19 North Carolina vs Illinois-7.063.0W 48 - 14UY
Sat 9/26 North Carolina vs Delaware-42.0
Sat 10/3 North Carolina at Georgia Tech+10.561.5W 38 - 31OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17 North Carolina vs Wake Forest-14.053.5W 50 - 14OY
Sat 10/24 North Carolina vs Virginia-12.058.0W 26 - 13UY
Thu 10/29 North Carolina at Pittsburgh-2.559.0W 26 - 19UY
Sat 11/7 North Carolina vs Duke-8.059.5W 66 - 31OY
Sat 11/14 North Carolina vs Miami-12.568.5W 59 - 21OY
Sat 11/21 North Carolina at Virginia Tech-7.561.0W 30 - 27UN
Sat 11/28 North Carolina at NC State-6.065.0W 45 - 34OY
Sat 12/5 North Carolina vs Clemson+6.567.5L 37 - 45ON
Tue 12/29 North Carolina vs Baylor+3.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UVA.0540%30.838%2.5613838%2363.06.0839%19.638%39%2.7857.822.4
UNC.1846%19.349%3.1415243%2783.91.2749%24.551%45%4.2763.21.81.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UVA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UVA Offense1230.828.639.5%3.062203741382363.747%50%38%38%2%.05
UNC Defense1324.52649.2%4.271.8 - - - - - 56%43%51%45%2%.27
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UVA Defense1219.623.239.3%2.782.4 - - - - - 47%51%38%39%2%.08
UNC Offense1319.32146%3.911.824430152278447%52%49%43%2%.18

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Virginia1232:0620.142%47%6.557.822.400333.8
North Carolina1326:0823.942%48%7.563.21.81.800331.5
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UVA Offense1247%38%37.6137.83.713-.042.5669%0%0.76
UNC Defense1356%51% - - - - .193.2380%0%0.93
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UVA Defense1247%38% - - - - -.052.4169%0%0.79
UNC Offense1347%49%38.2151.8426.193.1470%0%0.89

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UVA Offense1250%38%20.736236.46.611.41816.181.734%33%.212%1.8
UNC Defense1343%45% - - - - - - 12.391.831%41%.562%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UVA Defense1251%39% - - - - - - 15.211.735%30%.192%1.8
UNC Offense1352%43%24.239.22787.111.52913.21.529%36%.42%1.8

Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: NR
Virginia's Offense Rating: NR
Virginia's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Virginia's 2015 Expected Record: -
Virginia's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia:    North Carolina: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia:    North Carolina:




North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
North Carolina's 2015 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Virginia Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.2

Virginia's 2015 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Virginia 28
North Carolina 21

Projected Total Points: 49
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 21
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

North Carolina's 2015 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/25North Carolina16Virginia17Virginia -12.5North Carolina51.5Under
202410/26Virginia14North Carolina41Virginia -3.5North Carolina58.5Under
202310/21North Carolina27Virginia31North Carolina -24Virginia58.0Push
202211/05Virginia28North Carolina31North Carolina -7Virginia61.5Under
202109/18North Carolina59Virginia39North Carolina -7.5North Carolina67.0Over
202010/31Virginia44North Carolina41North Carolina -7.0Virginia0
201911/02North Carolina31Virginia38Virginia -1Virginia48.0Over
201810/27Virginia31North Carolina21Virginia -7.5Virginia51.0Over
201710/14North Carolina14Virginia20Virginia -3Virginia54.5Under
201610/22Virginia14North Carolina35North Carolina -9North Carolina68.5Under
201510/24North Carolina26Virginia13North Carolina -12North Carolina58.0Under
201410/25Virginia27North Carolina28Virginia -7.5North Carolina0
201311/09North Carolina45Virginia14North Carolina -14North Carolina0
201211/15Virginia13North Carolina37
201109/17North Carolina28Virginia17
201010/16Virginia10North Carolina44
200910/03North Carolina3Virginia16
200810/18Virginia16North Carolina13
200709/15North Carolina20Virginia22
200610/19Virginia23North Carolina0
200510/22North Carolina7Virginia5
200409/11Virginia56North Carolina24
200310/04North Carolina13Virginia38
200210/19Virginia37North Carolina27
200110/13North Carolina30Virginia24
200010/27Virginia17North Carolina6
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Carolina1273 Overs
Virginia1466 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 137 - 64 - 33 - 3
Road Teams13 - 136 - 73 - 33 - 4

(#) UVA at (#) UNC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUVAUNC
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #30 #26
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Virginia on Offense
CategoryCat
UVA OffUNC Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Virginia Run Game
CategoryCat
UVA OffUNC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Virginia Pass Game
CategoryCat
UVA OffUNC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
North Carolina on Offense
CategoryCatUNC OffUVA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
North Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
UNC OffUVA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
North Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCatUNC OffUVA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UNC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

UVA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 8
North Carolina -12.0 (58.0)
North Carolina won vs Virginia this year (26-13)

Previous Matchups
Virginia beat North Carolina last year (17-16)
North Carolina beat Virginia in 2024 (41-14)
Virginia beat North Carolina in 2023 (31-27)

  
UVA's OC ()
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UVA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UNC's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UNC's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD