Texas State at Idaho - 2015 Matchup Preview

Texas State Bobcats at Idaho Vandals

Saturday, November 28th 2015 (5:00 PM EST)
Idaho -4.5 (65.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Idaho 38 - Texas State: 31 (Sun Belt)

Bobcats (3 - 9) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 37 - 29 (34 - 33 on Road)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

IDHO is playing their 7th straight game
TXST is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ -0)
IDHO Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%

Vandals (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 19 - 22 (19 - 22 @ Home)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TXST Players
IDHO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Texas State's 2015 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Texas State at Florida State	+37.0	60.0	L 16 - 59	O	N
Sat 9/12	Texas State vs Prairie View A&M	-28.0
Sat 9/19	Texas State vs Southern Miss	-2.0	67.0	L 50 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/26	Texas State at Houston	+16.5	73.0	L 14 - 59	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10	Texas State at Louisiana	+4.0	68.0	L 27 - 49	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24	Texas State vs South Alabama	-5.0	63.0	W 36 - 18	U	Y
Thu 10/29	Texas State at Georgia Southern	+18.5	65.0	L 13 - 37	U	N
Sat 11/7	Texas State vs New Mexico State	-13.0	69.0	L 21 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/14	Texas State vs Georgia State	-5.0	64.0	L 19 - 41	U	N
Thu 11/19	Texas State vs UL Monroe	-5.0	58.5	W 16 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/28	Texas State at Idaho	+4.5	65.5	L 31 - 38	O	N
Sat 12/5	Texas State at Arkansas State	+21.5	68.0	L 17 - 55	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas State's Schedule

Idaho's 2015 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/3	Idaho vs Ohio	+7.0	57.0	L 28 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/12	Idaho at USC	+43.5	66.5	L 9 - 59	O	N
Sat 9/19	Idaho vs Wofford	-4.0
Sat 9/26	Idaho vs Georgia Southern	+17.0	66.5	L 20 - 44	U	N
Sat 10/3	Idaho at Arkansas State	+20.5	60.0	L 35 - 49	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17	Idaho at Troy	+12.5	62.5	W 19 - 16	U	Y
Sat 10/24	Idaho vs UL Monroe	+3.5	57.0	W 27 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/31	Idaho at New Mexico State	-3.0	69.5	L 48 - 55	O	N
Sat 11/7	Idaho at South Alabama	+5.5	61.0	L 45 - 52	O	N
Sat 11/14	Idaho vs App State	+20.0	65.5	L 20 - 47	O	N
Sat 11/21	Idaho at Auburn	+32.5	63.5	L 34 - 56	O	Y
Sat 11/28	Idaho vs Texas State	-4.5	65.5	W 38 - 31	O	Y

Important Stats (2014)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TXST	.21	45%	36.5	47%	3.1	239	40%	226	4.1	.16	43%	29	44%	41%	3.19	59	1	1.6
IDHO		0%	19	0%	0	142	0%	274	0		0%	22	0%	0%	0	64.7	2.5	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TXST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
IDHO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2014

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TXST Offense	12	36.5	34.2	44.6%	4.1	1	23	464	239	226	5.3	55%	44%	47%	40%	2%	.21
IDHO Defense	11	22	22	0%	0	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TXST Defense	12	29	32.8	43.3%	3.19	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	44%	41%	2%	.16
IDHO Offense	11	19	19	0%	0	2.5	24	416	142	274	3.6	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%

Additional Stats 2014

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Texas State	12	28:17	23.2	39%	60%	6.3	59	1	1.6	0	0	2	30
Idaho	11	31:47	23.6	42%	57%	6.7	64.7	2.5	1.5	0	0	0	100

Run Game Stats (2015)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TXST Offense	12	55%	47%	44.8	238.5	5.3	29	.19	3.1	75%	0%	1
IDHO Defense	11	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TXST Defense	12	51%	44%	-	-	-	-	.17	3.22	76%	0%	0.96
IDHO Offense	11	0%	0%	39.9	141.6	3.6	22		0	0%	0%	0

Pass Game Stats (2015)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TXST Offense	12	44%	40%	20.8	31.8	225.9	7.1	10.8	22	7	.27	1.6	32%	37%	.49	2%	1.9
IDHO Defense	11	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8		0	0%	0%		0%	0

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TXST Defense	12	48%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.17	1.5	30%	30%	.21	2%	1.7
IDHO Offense	11	0%	0%	23.4	40.2	274.4	6.8	11.7	13	20		0	0%	0%		0%	0

Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: NR
Texas State's Offense Rating: NR
Texas State's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Texas State's 2015 Expected Record: -
Texas State's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas State: Idaho: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas State: Idaho:

Idaho's Power Ratings
Idaho's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Idaho's Offense Rating: NR
Idaho's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Idaho's 2015 Expected Record: -
Idaho's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Idaho's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Idaho's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Sky Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Texas State Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.2
Defense: 29 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Texas State's 2015 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 6 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 6 - 0

Projected Score
Texas State 29
Idaho 25

Projected Total Points: 54

Idaho Scoring
Offense: 19 PPG
Offense at Home: 19
Defense: 22 PPG
Defense at Home: 22

Idaho's 2015 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2016	11/12	Texas State	14	Idaho	47	Idaho -8	Idaho	62.0	Under
2015	11/28	Idaho	38	Texas State	31	Idaho -4.5	Idaho	65.5	Over
2014	10/04	Texas State	35	Idaho	30	Texas State -14.5	Idaho	0
2013	11/02	Idaho	21	Texas State	37	Texas State -13	Texas State	0
2012	10/13	Texas State	38	Idaho	7

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Idaho	2	3	1 Overs
Texas State	3	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 2	1 - 3	1 - 1	0 - 2
Road Teams	2 - 3	3 - 1	2 - 0	1 - 1

(#) TXST at (#) IDHO

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TXST	IDHO
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#103	#124
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Texas State Injury Report

Idaho Injury Report

Texas State on Offense


CategoryCat	TXST Off	IDHO Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Texas State Run Game


CategoryCat	TXST Off	IDHO Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Texas State Pass Game


CategoryCat	TXST Off	IDHO Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Idaho on Offense


CategoryCat	IDHO Off	TXST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Idaho Run Game


CategoryCat	IDHO Off	TXST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Idaho Pass Game


CategoryCat	IDHO Off	TXST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
IDHO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

TXST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kibbie Dome
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 13
Idaho -4.5 (65.5)
Idaho won vs Texas State this year (38-31)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

TXST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Texas State's Full Roster

TXST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

IDHO's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Idaho's Full Roster

IDHO's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD