Texas State at Florida State - 2015 Matchup Preview

Texas State Bobcats at Florida State Seminoles

Saturday, September 5th 2015 (9:03 PM EDT)
Florida State -37 (60.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Florida State 59 - Texas State: 16

Bobcats (3 - 9) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 37 - 29 (34 - 33 on Road)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: TXST: 27 - FSU: 35 (62)
FSU Win prob: 100% | Cover: 57%
TXST Travel: 814 miles, 1 hrs behind

Seminoles (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 22 (43 - 16 @ Home)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TXST Players
FSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Texas State's 2015 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Texas State at Florida State	+37.0	60.0	L 16 - 59	O	N
Sat 9/12	Texas State vs Prairie View A&M	-28.0
Sat 9/19	Texas State vs Southern Miss	-2.0	67.0	L 50 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/26	Texas State at Houston	+16.5	73.0	L 14 - 59	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10	Texas State at Louisiana	+4.0	68.0	L 27 - 49	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24	Texas State vs South Alabama	-5.0	63.0	W 36 - 18	U	Y
Thu 10/29	Texas State at Georgia Southern	+18.5	65.0	L 13 - 37	U	N
Sat 11/7	Texas State vs New Mexico State	-13.0	69.0	L 21 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/14	Texas State vs Georgia State	-5.0	64.0	L 19 - 41	U	N
Thu 11/19	Texas State vs UL Monroe	-5.0	58.5	W 16 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/28	Texas State at Idaho	+4.5	65.5	L 31 - 38	O	N
Sat 12/5	Texas State at Arkansas State	+21.5	68.0	L 17 - 55	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas State's Schedule

Florida State's 2015 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Florida State vs Texas State	-37.0	60.0	W 59 - 16	O	Y
Sat 9/12	Florida State vs South Florida	-29.0	53.5	W 34 - 14	U	N
Fri 9/18	Florida State at Boston College	-10.5	47.5	W 14 - 0	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3	Florida State at Wake Forest	-18.0	45.5	W 24 - 16	U	N
Sat 10/10	Florida State vs Miami	-9.0	54.0	W 29 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/17	Florida State vs Louisville	-9.0	47.0	W 41 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/24	Florida State at Georgia Tech	-6.5	56.0	L 16 - 22	U	N
Sat 10/31	Florida State vs Syracuse	-19.5	53.0	W 45 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/7	Florida State at Clemson	+12.0	54.5	L 13 - 23	U	Y
Sat 11/14	Florida State vs NC State	-10.5	55.0	W 34 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/21	Florida State vs Chattanooga	-30.5
Sat 11/28	Florida State at Florida	+3.0	44.0	W 27 - 2	U	Y
Thu 12/31	Florida State vs Houston	-6.5

Important Stats (2014)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TXST	.21	45%	36.5	47%	3.1	239	40%	226	4.1	.16	43%	29	44%	41%	3.19	59	1	1.6
FSU	.24	49%	33	43%	2.77	138	52%	303	3.88	.11	44%	22	43%	41%	3.41	47.7	2.3	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TXST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
FSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2014

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TXST Offense	12	36.5	34.2	44.6%	4.1	1	23	464	239	226	5.3	55%	44%	47%	40%	2%	.21
FSU Defense	14	22	16.1	43.5%	3.41	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	43%	41%	2%	.11

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TXST Defense	12	29	32.8	43.3%	3.19	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	44%	41%	2%	.16
FSU Offense	14	33	43.3	49.3%	3.88	2.3	23	441	138	303	4.3	43%	54%	43%	52%	3%	.24

Additional Stats 2014

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Texas State	12	28:17	23.2	39%	60%	6.3	59	1	1.6	0	0	2	30
Florida State	14	30:16	23	45%	0%	6.2	47.7	2.3	1.9	0	0	2	29.9

Run Game Stats (2015)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TXST Offense	12	55%	47%	44.8	238.5	5.3	29	.19	3.1	75%	0%	1
FSU Defense	14	53%	43%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.72	70%	0%	0.9

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TXST Defense	12	51%	44%	-	-	-	-	.17	3.22	76%	0%	0.96
FSU Offense	14	43%	43%	32.2	138.1	4.3	27	.08	2.77	72%	0%	0.89

Pass Game Stats (2015)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TXST Offense	12	44%	40%	20.8	31.8	225.9	7.1	10.8	22	7	.27	1.6	32%	37%	.49	2%	1.9
FSU Defense	14	45%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.17	1.6	32%	36%	.2	2%	1.5

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TXST Defense	12	48%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.17	1.5	30%	30%	.21	2%	1.7
FSU Offense	14	54%	52%	23.6	36.9	303.3	8.2	12.9	26	20	.39	1.4	30%	40%	.4	3%	1.7

Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: NR
Texas State's Offense Rating: NR
Texas State's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Texas State's 2015 Expected Record: -
Texas State's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas State: Florida State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas State: Florida State:

Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Florida State's Offense Rating: NR
Florida State's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Florida State's 2015 Expected Record: -
Florida State's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Texas State Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.2
Defense: 29 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Texas State's 2015 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 6 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 6 - 0

Projected Score
Florida State 35
Texas State 27

Projected Total Points: 62

Florida State Scoring
Offense: 33 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.3
Defense: 22 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.1

Florida State's 2015 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2015	09/05	Florida State	59	Texas State	16	Florida State -37	Florida State	60.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Florida State	1	1	1 Overs
Texas State	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#) TXST at (#) FSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TXST	FSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#103	#4
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Texas State Injury Report

Florida State Injury Report

Texas State on Offense


CategoryCat	TXST Off	FSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Texas State Run Game


CategoryCat	TXST Off	FSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Texas State Pass Game


CategoryCat	TXST Off	FSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Florida State on Offense


CategoryCat	FSU Off	TXST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Florida State Run Game


CategoryCat	FSU Off	TXST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Florida State Pass Game


CategoryCat	FSU Off	TXST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
FSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

TXST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Field at Doak Campbell Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Florida State -37.0 (60.0)
Florida State won vs Texas State this year (59-16)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

TXST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Texas State's Full Roster

TXST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

FSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Florida State's Full Roster

FSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD