Massachusetts at Ball State - 2015 Matchup Preview

Massachusetts Minutemen at Ball State Cardinals

Saturday, October 31st 2015 (1:00 PM EDT)
Ball State -4 (67.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Ball State 20 - Massachusetts: 10 (Mid-American)

Minutemen (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 11 - 39 (9 - 43 on Road)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BALL 3rd straight Home Game
BALL is playing their 9th straight game
UMASS is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: UMASS: 18 - BALL: 30 (48)
BALL Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
UMASS Travel: 684 miles

Cardinals (3 - 9) (4 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 16 - 30 (24 - 22 @ Home)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UMASS Players
BALL Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Massachusetts's 2015 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12	Massachusetts at Colorado	+16.0	61.5	L 14 - 48	O	N
Sat 9/19	Massachusetts vs Temple	+9.0	55.0	L 23 - 25	U	Y
Sat 9/26	Massachusetts at Notre Dame	+28.5	61.5	L 27 - 62	O	N
Sat 10/3	Massachusetts vs Florida International	-2.5	56.0	W 24 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/10	Massachusetts at Bowling Green	+13.5	78.5	L 38 - 62	O	N
Sat 10/17	Massachusetts vs Kent State	-5.0	55.5	L 10 - 15	U	N
Sat 10/24	Massachusetts vs Toledo	+9.5	61.0	L 35 - 51	O	N
Sat 10/31	Massachusetts at Ball State	+4.0	67.5	L 10 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/7	Massachusetts vs Akron	-1.5	54.0	L 13 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/14	Massachusetts at Eastern Michigan	-7.5	68.5	W 28 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/21	Massachusetts vs Miami (OH)	-9.0	54.5	L 13 - 20	U	N
Fri 11/27	Massachusetts at Buffalo	+6.0	55.0	W 31 - 26	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Massachusetts's Schedule

Ball State's 2015 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/3	Ball State vs VMI	-23.5
Sat 9/12	Ball State at Texas A&M	+26.0	64.5	L 23 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/19	Ball State at Eastern Michigan	-6.0	61.5	W 28 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/26	Ball State at Northwestern	+18.0	48.5	L 19 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/3	Ball State vs Toledo	+9.5	54.5	L 10 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/10	Ball State at Northern Illinois	+10.5	54.5	L 41 - 59	O	N
Sat 10/17	Ball State vs Georgia State	-16.5	63.0	L 19 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/24	Ball State vs Central Michigan	+6.0	56.0	L 21 - 23	U	Y
Sat 10/31	Ball State vs Massachusetts	-4.0	67.5	W 20 - 10	U	Y
Thu 11/5	Ball State at Western Michigan	+13.5	62.0	L 7 - 54	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/17	Ball State at Ohio	+7.0	56.0	L 31 - 48	O	N
Tue 11/24	Ball State vs Bowling Green	+20.5	74.0	L 10 - 48	U	N

Important Stats (2014)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UMASS	.16	42%	11.1	44%	2.96	109	40%	312	3.47	.19	45%	38.6	44%	44%	4.02	51.4	1.9	1.5
BALL	.12	43%	15.8	41%	2.62	153	43%	216	3.75	.17	46%	29.8	46%	45%	3.32	39.1	1.3	2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UMASS		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BALL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2014

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UMASS Offense	12	11.1	9.3	41.6%	3.47	1.9	22	421	109	312	3.4	40%	59%	44%	40%	2%	.16
BALL Defense	12	29.8	21.6	46.1%	3.32	2	-	-	-	-	-	52%	46%	46%	45%	2%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UMASS Defense	12	38.6	42.5	45.3%	4.02	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	44%	44%	2%	.19
BALL Offense	12	15.8	24.4	43.2%	3.75	1.3	20	369	153	216	4.1	50%	47%	41%	43%	3%	.12

Additional Stats 2014

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Massachusetts	12	27:16	22.3	36%	53%	6.1	51.4	1.9	1.5	0	0	2	28.4
Ball State	12	29:49	20.3	38%	85%	4.2	39.1	1.3	2	0	0	0	29.8

Run Game Stats (2015)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UMASS Offense	12	40%	44%	32.3	109.3	3.4	16	.03	2.96	70%	0%	0.87
BALL Defense	12	52%	46%	-	-	-	-	.12	3.08	76%	0%	0.95

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UMASS Defense	12	50%	44%	-	-	-	-	.14	3.01	64%	0%	1.04
BALL Offense	12	50%	41%	37.3	153.4	4.1	16	.02	2.62	69%	0%	0.86

Pass Game Stats (2015)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UMASS Offense	12	59%	40%	22.4	41	311.8	7.6	13.9	27	13	.28	1.8	37%	32%	.34	2%	2
BALL Defense	12	46%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.24	1.4	29%	33%	.28	2%	1.6

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UMASS Defense	12	49%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.26	1.5	29%	37%	.43	2%	1.9
BALL Offense	12	47%	43%	19.3	34.1	215.8	6.3	11.2	19	7	.25	1.4	30%	32%	.26	3%	1.7

Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: NR
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: NR
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Massachusetts's 2015 Expected Record: -
Massachusetts's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: Ball State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: Ball State:

Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Ball State's Offense Rating: NR
Ball State's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Ball State's 2015 Expected Record: -
Ball State's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 11.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 9.3
Defense: 38.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 42.5

Massachusetts's 2015 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Ball State 30
Massachusetts 18

Projected Total Points: 48

Ball State Scoring
Offense: 15.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.4
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.6

Ball State's 2015 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2015	10/31	Ball State	20	Massachusetts	10	Ball State -4	Ball State	67.5	Under
2014	11/12	Massachusetts	24	Ball State	10	UMass -3	Massachusetts	65.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Ball State	1	1	0 Overs
Massachusetts	1	1	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	2 - 0	2 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0	0 - 2

(#) UMASS at (#) BALL

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UMASS	BALL
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#116	#107
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Massachusetts Injury Report

Ball State Injury Report

Massachusetts on Offense


CategoryCat	UMASS Off	BALL Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Massachusetts Run Game


CategoryCat	UMASS Off	BALL Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Massachusetts Pass Game


CategoryCat	UMASS Off	BALL Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Ball State on Offense


CategoryCat	BALL Off	UMASS Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ball State Run Game


CategoryCat	BALL Off	UMASS Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Ball State Pass Game


CategoryCat	BALL Off	UMASS Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
BALL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

UMASS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scheumann Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 9
Ball State -4.0 (67.5)
Ball State won vs Massachusetts this year (20-10)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

UMASS's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Massachusetts's Full Roster

UMASS's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

BALL's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Ball State's Full Roster

BALL's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD