New Mexico at Nevada - 2015 Matchup Preview
New Mexico logo   New Mexico Lobos at Nevada Wolf Pack  Nevada logo
Saturday, October 10th 2015 (7:00 PM EDT)
Nevada -6 (53.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Nevada 35 - New Mexico: 17  (Mountain West)

 
Lobos (7 - 6) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (28 - 26 on Road)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NEV 2nd straight Home Game
NEV is playing their 6th straight game
UNM is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: UNM: 27 - NEV: 22 (49)
NEV Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
UNM Travel: 787 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Wolf Pack (7 - 6) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 18 - 28 (20 - 25 @ Home)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
New Mexico's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 New Mexico vs Mississippi Valley State-42.0
Sat 9/12 New Mexico vs Tulsa-3.071.5L 21 - 40UN
Fri 9/18 New Mexico at Arizona State+24.063.5L 10 - 34UY
Sat 9/26 New Mexico at Wyoming-2.558.5W 38 - 28OY
Sat 10/3 New Mexico vs New Mexico State-14.065.5W 38 - 29ON
Sat 10/10 New Mexico at Nevada+6.053.5L 17 - 35UN
Sat 10/17 New Mexico vs Hawai'i-3.551.5W 28 - 27ON
Sat 10/24 New Mexico at San José State+7.556.0L 21 - 31UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7 New Mexico vs Utah State+14.557.5W 14 - 13UY
Sat 11/14 New Mexico at Boise State+29.557.0W 31 - 24UY
Sat 11/21 New Mexico vs Colorado State+2.056.5L 21 - 28UN
Sat 11/28 New Mexico vs Air Force+10.553.5W 47 - 35OY
Sat 12/19 New Mexico vs Arizona+11.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico's Schedule
Nevada's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/3 Nevada vs UC Davis-23.5
Sat 9/12 Nevada vs Arizona+10.563.0L 20 - 44ON
Sat 9/19 Nevada at Texas A&M+25.064.0L 27 - 44OY
Sat 9/26 Nevada at Buffalo+3.053.5W 24 - 21UY
Sat 10/3 Nevada vs UNLV-11.557.0L 17 - 23UN
Sat 10/10 Nevada vs New Mexico-6.053.5W 35 - 17UY
Sat 10/17 Nevada at Wyoming-7.055.5L 21 - 28UN
Sat 10/24 Nevada vs Hawai'i-6.554.0W 30 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/5 Nevada at Fresno State-3.554.0W 30 - 16UY
Sat 11/14 Nevada vs San José State-1.052.5W 37 - 34OY
Sat 11/21 Nevada at Utah State+14.054.5L 27 - 31OY
Sat 11/28 Nevada at San Diego State+14.048.5L 14 - 31UN
Tue 12/29 Nevada vs Colorado State+3.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Nevada's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNM.2241%27.143%3.0231031%893.14.2847%22.348%45%3.840.81.51.6
NEV.1543%17.642%3.0120542%1923.99.1547%27.547%46%3.249.71.22.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NEV0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNM Offense1227.127.541.1%3.141.517400310896.478%22%43%31%2%.22
NEV Defense1327.525.247.2%3.22.1 - - - - - 46%53%47%46%2%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNM Defense1222.326.347.1%3.81.6 - - - - - 57%42%48%45%2%.28
NEV Offense1317.619.742.7%3.991.2213982051924.854%44%42%42%2%.15

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
New Mexico1229:5517.137%40%4.340.81.51.600327.7
Nevada1332:3021.141%59%5.649.71.22.100330.2
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNM Offense1278%43%48.8310.46.434.243.0266%0%1.33
NEV Defense1346%47% - - - - .133.2270%0%0.86
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNM Defense1257%48% - - - - .253.1386%0%1.11
NEV Offense1354%42%43.1205.54.827.133.0173%0%0.99

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNM Offense1222%31%6.312.489.17.214.176.192.232%27%.242%2.1
NEV Defense1353%46% - - - - - - 13.181.330%34%.222%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNM Defense1242%45% - - - - - - 11.331.730%41%.492%1.9
NEV Offense1344%42%18.431.2192.26.210.51811.191.531%32%.292%1.8

New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: NR
New Mexico's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
New Mexico's 2015 Expected Record: -
New Mexico's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico:    Nevada: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico:    Nevada:




Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Nevada's Offense Rating: NR
Nevada's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #99
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Nevada's 2015 Expected Record: -
Nevada's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.5
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.3

New Mexico's 2015 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
New Mexico 27
Nevada 22

Projected Total Points: 49
Nevada Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.7
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.2

Nevada's 2015 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/18New Mexico24Nevada22New Mexico -14Nevada49.5Under
202310/28Nevada34New Mexico24New Mexico -1.0Nevada50.0Over
202011/14New Mexico20Nevada27Nevada -17.5New Mexico62.5Under
201911/02Nevada21New Mexico10Nevada -3.5Nevada58.0Under
201611/05New Mexico35Nevada26New Mexico -11Nevada58.5Over
201510/10Nevada35New Mexico17Nevada -6Nevada53.5Under
201211/17New Mexico24Nevada31
201110/15Nevada49New Mexico7
200712/22New Mexico23Nevada0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Nevada652 Overs
New Mexico314 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 24 - 22 - 22 - 0
Road Teams2 - 72 - 40 - 22 - 2

(#) UNM at (#) NEV
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUNMNEV
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #108 #99
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
New Mexico on Offense
CategoryCat
UNM OffNEV Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
New Mexico Run Game
CategoryCat
UNM OffNEV Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
New Mexico Pass Game
CategoryCat
UNM OffNEV Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Nevada on Offense
CategoryCatNEV OffUNM Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Nevada Run Game
CategoryCat
NEV OffUNM Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Nevada Pass Game
CategoryCatNEV OffUNM Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NEV 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

UNM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Mackay Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 6
Nevada -6.0 (53.5)
Nevada won vs New Mexico this year (35-17)

Previous Matchups
New Mexico beat Nevada last year (24-22)
Nevada beat New Mexico in 2023 (34-24)

  
UNM's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UNM's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

NEV's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Nevada's Full Roster

NEV's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD