Nevada at Fresno State - 2015 Matchup Preview
Nevada logo   Nevada Wolf Pack at Fresno State Bulldogs  Fresno State logo
Thursday, November 5th 2015 (10:30 PM EST)
Nevada -3.5 (54.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Nevada 30 - Fresno State: 16  (Mountain West)

 
Wolf Pack (7 - 6) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 18 - 28 (16 - 30 on Road)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NEV coming off BYE
FRES coming off BYE
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: NEV: 17 - FRES: 28 (45)
NEV Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
NEV Travel: 189 miles
Bulldogs (3 - 9) (3 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 19 (27 - 15 @ Home)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Nevada's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/3 Nevada vs UC Davis-23.5
Sat 9/12 Nevada vs Arizona+10.563.0L 20 - 44ON
Sat 9/19 Nevada at Texas A&M+25.064.0L 27 - 44OY
Sat 9/26 Nevada at Buffalo+3.053.5W 24 - 21UY
Sat 10/3 Nevada vs UNLV-11.557.0L 17 - 23UN
Sat 10/10 Nevada vs New Mexico-6.053.5W 35 - 17UY
Sat 10/17 Nevada at Wyoming-7.055.5L 21 - 28UN
Sat 10/24 Nevada vs Hawai'i-6.554.0W 30 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/5 Nevada at Fresno State-3.554.0W 30 - 16UY
Sat 11/14 Nevada vs San José State-1.052.5W 37 - 34OY
Sat 11/21 Nevada at Utah State+14.054.5L 27 - 31OY
Sat 11/28 Nevada at San Diego State+14.048.5L 14 - 31UN
Tue 12/29 Nevada vs Colorado State+3.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Nevada's Schedule
Fresno State's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/3 Fresno State vs Abilene Christian-23.5
Sat 9/12 Fresno State at Ole Miss+23.056.0L 21 - 73ON
Sat 9/19 Fresno State vs Utah+15.553.0L 24 - 45ON
Sat 9/26 Fresno State at San José State+4.052.0L 23 - 49ON
Sat 10/3 Fresno State at San Diego State+9.551.5L 7 - 21UN
Sat 10/10 Fresno State vs Utah State+10.050.0L 14 - 56ON
Fri 10/16 Fresno State vs UNLV+5.549.0W 31 - 28OY
Sat 10/24 Fresno State at Air Force+17.054.0L 14 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/5 Fresno State vs Nevada+3.554.0L 16 - 30UN
Sat 11/14 Fresno State at Hawai'i+4.053.0W 42 - 14OY
Sat 11/21 Fresno State at BYU+24.557.0L 10 - 52ON
Sat 11/28 Fresno State vs Colorado State+8.560.5L 31 - 34OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NEV.1543%17.642%3.0120542%1923.99.1547%27.547%46%3.249.71.22.1
FRES.0938%25.841%2.8218234%2243.28.2341%18.839%42%3.84391.91.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NEV0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
FRES0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NEV Offense1317.615.542.7%3.991.2213982051924.854%44%42%42%2%.15
FRES Defense1418.815.341.4%3.841.5 - - - - - 55%43%39%42%2%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NEV Defense1327.529.847.2%3.22.1 - - - - - 46%53%47%46%2%.15
FRES Offense1425.826.538%3.281.9214061822244.549%50%41%34%2%.09

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Nevada1332:3021.141%59%5.649.71.22.100330.2
Fresno State1428:3121.137%47%4.2391.91.500228.8
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NEV Offense1354%42%43.1205.54.827.133.0173%0%0.99
FRES Defense1455%39% - - - - .092.9171%0%0.95
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NEV Defense1346%47% - - - - .133.2270%0%0.86
FRES Offense1449%41%40.4182.44.522.132.8276%0%1.09

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NEV Offense1344%42%18.431.2192.26.210.51811.191.531%32%.292%1.8
FRES Defense1443%42% - - - - - - 10.44231%35%.422%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NEV Defense1353%46% - - - - - - 13.181.330%34%.222%1.6
FRES Offense1450%34%21.437.9223.75.910.52521.051.636%30%.192%1.8

Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: NR
Nevada's Offense Rating: NR
Nevada's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #99
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Nevada's 2015 Expected Record: -
Nevada's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Nevada:    Fresno State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Nevada:    Fresno State:




Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Fresno State's Offense Rating: NR
Fresno State's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Fresno State's 2015 Expected Record: -
Fresno State's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Nevada Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.5
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.8

Nevada's 2015 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Fresno State 28
Nevada 17

Projected Total Points: 45
Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.5
Defense: 18.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.3

Fresno State's 2015 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 3
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/04Fresno State20Nevada17Fresno State -12.5Nevada45.5Under
202410/18Nevada21Fresno State24Fresno State -3NA50.0Under
202309/30Fresno State27Nevada9Fresno State -25.5Nevada50.5Under
202211/19Nevada14Fresno State41Fresno State -22.5Fresno State54.0Over
202110/23Fresno State34Nevada32Fresno State -3.5Nevada64.5Over
202012/05Nevada37Fresno State26Nevada -6.5Nevada59.0Over
201911/23Fresno State28Nevada35Fresno State -13.5Nevada51.5Over
201810/06Nevada3Fresno State21Fresno State -15Fresno State59.0Under
201709/30Fresno State41Nevada21Fresno State -7.5Fresno State59.5Over
201610/08Nevada27Fresno State22Nevada -11.5Fresno State54.0Under
201511/05Fresno State16Nevada30Nevada -3.5Nevada54.0Under
201411/22Nevada20Fresno State40Nevada -6.5Fresno State0
201311/02Fresno State41Nevada23Fresno State -23Nevada0
201211/10Nevada36Fresno State52
201110/22Nevada45Fresno State38
201011/13Fresno State34Nevada35
200911/14Nevada52Fresno State14
200811/07Fresno State28Nevada41
200710/06Nevada41Fresno State49
200609/01Fresno State28Nevada19
200511/26Nevada38Fresno State35
200411/20Fresno State54Nevada17
200311/08Nevada10Fresno State27
200111/17Nevada14Fresno State61
200010/13Fresno State58Nevada21
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Fresno State1655 Overs
Nevada976 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 122 - 102 - 70 - 3
Road Teams12 - 1310 - 23 - 07 - 2

(#) NEV at (#) FRES
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNEVFRES
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #99 #88
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Nevada on Offense
CategoryCat
NEV OffFRES Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Nevada Run Game
CategoryCat
NEV OffFRES Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Nevada Pass Game
CategoryCat
NEV OffFRES Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Fresno State on Offense
CategoryCatFRES OffNEV Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Fresno State Run Game
CategoryCat
FRES OffNEV Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Fresno State Pass Game
CategoryCatFRES OffNEV Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
FRES 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

NEV 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bulldog Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 10
Nevada 3.5 (54.0)
Nevada won at Fresno State this year (30-16)

Previous Matchups
Fresno State beat Nevada last year (20-17)
Fresno State beat Nevada in 2024 (24-21)
Fresno State beat Nevada in 2023 (27-9)

  
NEV's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Nevada's Full Roster

NEV's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

FRES's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Fresno State's Full Roster

FRES's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD