Michigan at Penn State - 2015 Matchup Preview
Michigan logo   Michigan Wolverines at Penn State Nittany Lions  Penn State logo
Saturday, November 21st 2015 (12:00 PM EST)
Michigan -5 (43.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Michigan 28 - Penn State: 16  (Big Ten)

 
Wolverines (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 20 (26 - 24 on Road)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MICH 2nd straight Road Game
PSU coming off BYE
MICH is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: MICH: 22 - PSU: 28 (50)
MICH Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
MICH Travel: 321 miles
Nittany Lions (7 - 6) (5 - 6 - 2)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 21 (34 - 15 @ Home)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Michigan's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/3 Michigan at Utah+3.045.0L 17 - 24UN
Sat 9/12 Michigan vs Oregon State-14.046.0W 35 - 7UY
Sat 9/19 Michigan vs UNLV-34.050.0W 28 - 7UN
Sat 9/26 Michigan vs BYU-6.049.0W 31 - 0UY
Sat 10/3 Michigan at Maryland-12.045.0W 28 - 0UY
Sat 10/10 Michigan vs Northwestern-10.037.0W 38 - 0OY
Sat 10/17 Michigan vs Michigan State-7.042.5L 23 - 27ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31 Michigan at Minnesota-10.039.5W 29 - 26ON
Sat 11/7 Michigan vs Rutgers-21.549.0W 49 - 16OY
Sat 11/14 Michigan at Indiana-11.056.0W 48 - 41ON
Sat 11/21 Michigan at Penn State-5.043.0W 28 - 16OY
Sat 11/28 Michigan vs Ohio State+2.546.0L 13 - 42ON
Fri 1/1 Michigan vs Florida-4.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan's Schedule
Penn State's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Penn State at Temple-14.043.0L 10 - 27UN
Sat 9/12 Penn State vs Buffalo-16.547.5W 27 - 14UN
Sat 9/19 Penn State vs Rutgers-7.047.5W 28 - 3UY
Sat 9/26 Penn State vs San Diego State-12.040.0W 37 - 21OY
Sat 10/3 Penn State vs Army+7.544.0W 20 - 14UY
Sat 10/10 Penn State vs Indiana-8.052.0W 29 - 7UY
Sat 10/17 Penn State at Ohio State+17.549.0L 10 - 38UN
Sat 10/24 Penn State vs Maryland-7.546.5W 31 - 30ON
Sat 10/31 Penn State vs Illinois-4.044.5W 39 - 0UY
Sat 11/7 Penn State at Northwestern+2.041.0L 21 - 23OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21 Penn State vs Michigan+5.043.0L 16 - 28ON
Sat 11/28 Penn State at Michigan State+11.043.5L 16 - 55ON
Sat 1/2 Penn State vs Georgia+7.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MICH.0843%27.544%2.9516339%1702.96.0941%20.438%42%3.1431.82.20.8
PSU-.0138%3135%2.210238%2332.48-.0437%20.536%35%2.4946.221.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MICH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MICH Offense1227.526.442.7%2.962.2193331631704.653%45%44%39%3%.08
PSU Defense1320.515.136.5%2.491.6 - - - - - 47%50%36%35%3%-.04
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MICH Defense1220.424.441%3.140.8 - - - - - 50%48%38%42%2%.09
PSU Offense13313438.4%2.482193351022332.941%56%35%38%2%-.01

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Michigan1230:5518.539%38%3.531.82.20.800231.8
Penn State1331:1119.240%37%5.846.221.600230.6
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MICH Offense1253%44%35.4162.84.617.12.9573%0%1.01
PSU Defense1347%36% - - - - -.042.3265%0%0.88
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MICH Defense1250%38% - - - - 2.5773%0%0.85
PSU Offense1341%35%34.7101.92.913-.052.264%0%0.93

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MICH Offense1245%39%15.827.2170.26.310.81018.071.434%29%.143%1.7
PSU Defense1350%35% - - - - - - 16-.041.236%21%.013%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MICH Defense1248%42% - - - - - - 5.211.434%32%.232%1.9
PSU Offense1356%38%21.238.2233.46.1111315.031.434%32%.142%1.6

Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: NR
Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #9
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Michigan's 2015 Expected Record: -
Michigan's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan:    Penn State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan:    Penn State:




Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Penn State's 2015 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Michigan Scoring
Offense: 27.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.4
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.4

Michigan's 2015 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Penn State 28
Michigan 22

Projected Total Points: 50
Penn State Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense at Home: 34
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.1

Penn State's 2015 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 2
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 2
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/11Penn State15Michigan24Michigan -4.0Michigan44.5Under
202210/15Michigan41Penn State17Michigan -7Michigan49.0Over
202111/13Penn State17Michigan21Michigan -2.5Michigan48.0Under
202011/28Michigan17Penn State27Michigan -1.0Penn State56.0Under
201910/19Penn State28Michigan21Penn State -7.5Michigan47.0Over
201811/03Michigan42Penn State7Michigan -13.5Michigan48.0Over
201710/21Penn State42Michigan13Penn State -7.5Penn State42.5Over
201609/24Michigan49Penn State10Michigan -15.5Michigan56.0Over
201511/21Penn State16Michigan28Michigan -5Michigan43.0Over
201410/11Michigan18Penn State13Penn State -2Michigan0
201310/12Penn State43Michigan40Michigan -1Penn State0
201010/30Penn State41Michigan31
200910/24Michigan10Penn State35
200810/18Penn State46Michigan17
200709/22Michigan14Penn State9
200610/14Penn State10Michigan17
200510/15Michigan27Penn State25
200210/12Michigan27Penn State24
200110/06Penn State0Michigan20
200011/10Michigan33Penn State11
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Penn State736 Overs
Michigan1383 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 76 - 54 - 22 - 3
Road Teams7 - 135 - 63 - 22 - 4

(#) MICH at (#) PSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMICHPSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #9 #21
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Michigan on Offense
CategoryCat
MICH OffPSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Michigan Run Game
CategoryCat
MICH OffPSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Michigan Pass Game
CategoryCat
MICH OffPSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Penn State on Offense
CategoryCatPSU OffMICH Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Penn State Run Game
CategoryCat
PSU OffMICH Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Penn State Pass Game
CategoryCatPSU OffMICH Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
PSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

MICH 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Beaver Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 12
Michigan 5.0 (43.0)
Michigan won at Penn State this year (28-16)

Previous Matchups
Michigan beat Penn State in 2023 (24-15)

  
MICH's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Michigan's Full Roster

MICH's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

PSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Penn State's Full Roster

PSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD