San Diego State at Penn State - 2015 Matchup Preview

San Diego State Aztecs at Penn State Nittany Lions(#2)

Saturday, September 26th 2015 (3:30 PM EDT)
Penn State -12 (40.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Penn State 37 - San Diego State: 21

Aztecs (11 - 3) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 16 (30 - 21 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

PSU 3rd straight Home Game
PSU is playing their 4th straight game
SDSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: SDSU: 20 - PSU: 24 (44)
PSU Win prob: 79% | Cover: 45%
SDSU Travel: 2222 miles, 3 hrs behind

Nittany Lions (7 - 6) (5 - 6 - 2)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 22 (28 - 12 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
SDSU Players
PSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

San Diego State's 2015 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	San Diego State vs San Diego	-35.5
Sat 9/12	San Diego State at California	+9.0	59.0	L 7 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/19	San Diego State vs South Alabama	-15.5	47.5	L 27 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/26	San Diego State at Penn State	+12.0	40.0	L 21 - 37	O	N
Sat 10/3	San Diego State vs Fresno State	-9.5	51.5	W 21 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/10	San Diego State at Hawai'i	-2.0	47.0	W 28 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/17	San Diego State at San José State	+2.0	48.0	W 30 - 7	U	Y
Fri 10/23	San Diego State vs Utah State	+5.0	44.5	W 48 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/31	San Diego State at Colorado State	-2.0	52.0	W 41 - 17	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14	San Diego State vs Wyoming	-19.0	49.0	W 38 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/21	San Diego State at UNLV	-11.0	50.5	W 52 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/28	San Diego State vs Nevada	-14.0	48.5	W 31 - 14	U	Y
Sat 12/5	San Diego State vs Air Force	-3.5	46.5	W 27 - 24	O	N
Thu 12/24	San Diego State vs Cincinnati	+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for San Diego State's Schedule

Penn State's 2015 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Penn State at Temple	-14.0	43.0	L 10 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/12	Penn State vs Buffalo	-16.5	47.5	W 27 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/19	Penn State vs Rutgers	-7.0	47.5	W 28 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/26	Penn State vs San Diego State	-12.0	40.0	W 37 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/3	Penn State vs Army	+7.5	44.0	W 20 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/10	Penn State vs Indiana	-8.0	52.0	W 29 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/17	Penn State at Ohio State	+17.5	49.0	L 10 - 38	U	N
Sat 10/24	Penn State vs Maryland	-7.5	46.5	W 31 - 30	O	N
Sat 10/31	Penn State vs Illinois	-4.0	44.5	W 39 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/7	Penn State at Northwestern	+2.0	41.0	L 21 - 23	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21	Penn State vs Michigan	+5.0	43.0	L 16 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/28	Penn State at Michigan State	+11.0	43.5	L 16 - 55	O	N
Sat 1/2	Penn State vs Georgia	+7.0

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SDSU	.2	44%	32.1	44%	3.01	233	40%	142	3.78	.04	37%	16.4	37%	36%	2.39	58.1	0.9	2.4
PSU	.1	38%	23.2	38%	2.54	134	35%	214	3.12	.08	38%	21.8	38%	37%	3.04	40.7	1.4	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SDSU	#108 (.12)	37% (120)		37% (124)	3 (78)	129	38% (109)	206	3.44 (107)	#103 (.23)	46% (113)		49% (117)	43% (98)	4.28 (111)	81.8	0.8	1
PSU	#11 (.32)	51% (4)		52% (9)	3.42 (10)	176	51% (4)	209	4.69 (9)	#9 (.05)	38% (21)		39% (27)	37% (25)	3.22 (18)	41.4	0.8	1.3

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SDSU Offense	14	32.1	29.8	44.1%	3.78	0.9	19	375	233	142	4.8	69%	29%	44%	40%	3%	.2
PSU Defense	13	21.8	12.4	38.4%	3.04	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	38%	37%	2%	.08

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SDSU Defense	14	16.4	20.7	37.1%	2.39	2.4	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	37%	36%	5%	.04
PSU Offense	13	23.2	28	37.8%	3.12	1.4	16	349	134	214	4.1	45%	53%	38%	35%	2%	.1

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
San Diego State	14	32:41	18.6	42%	80%	6.4	58.1	0.9	2.4	0	0	8	32.9
Penn State	13	29:29	16.5	27%	52%	5.2	40.7	1.4	1.7	0	0	0	32.3

Run Game Stats (2015)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SDSU Offense	14	69%	44%	48.2	233.3	4.8	32	.15	3.01	72%	0%	0.98
PSU Defense	13	53%	38%	-	-	-	-	.06	2.6	80%	0%	1.04

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SDSU Defense	14	53%	37%	-	-	-	-	-.02	2.52	57%	0%	0.88
PSU Offense	13	45%	38%	32.7	134.2	4.1	15	.03	2.54	57%	0%	1.08

Pass Game Stats (2015)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SDSU Offense	14	29%	40%	10.1	18	142	7.9	14.1	17	3	.34	1.8	30%	34%	.4	3%	1.9
PSU Defense	13	46%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.11	1.5	37%	25%	.14	2%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SDSU Defense	14	46%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	23	.12	1.7	34%	24%	.09	5%	1.9
PSU Offense	13	53%	35%	16.5	31.1	214.5	6.9	13	20	6	.18	1.7	37%	27%	.2	2%	1.9

San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: NR
San Diego State's Offense Rating: NR
San Diego State's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
San Diego State's 2015 Expected Record: -
San Diego State's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
San Diego State: Penn State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
San Diego State: Penn State:

Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Penn State's 2015 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 32.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.8
Defense: 16.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.7

San Diego State's 2015 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Penn State 24
San Diego State 20

Total Points: 44

Based on Last 4 Games
Penn State 26
San Diego State 15

Total Points: 41

Based on Entire Season
San Diego State 24
Penn State 22

Total Points: 46

Penn State Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 28
Defense: 21.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 12.4

Penn State's 2015 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 2
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2015	09/26	Penn State	37	San Diego State	21	Penn State -12	Penn State	40.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Penn State	1	1	1 Overs
San Diego State	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#) SDSU at (#) PSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	SDSU	PSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#70	#21
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

San Diego State Injury Report

Penn State Injury Report

San Diego State on Offense


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	PSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

San Diego State Run Game


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	PSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

San Diego State Pass Game


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	PSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Penn State on Offense


CategoryCat	PSU Off	SDSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Penn State Run Game


CategoryCat	PSU Off	SDSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Penn State Pass Game


CategoryCat	PSU Off	SDSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
PSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

SDSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Beaver Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 68° - Wind: 9 mph

Rematch from Week 4
Penn State -12.0 (40.0)
Penn State won vs San Diego State this year (37-21)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

SDSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View San Diego State's Full Roster

SDSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

PSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Penn State's Full Roster

PSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD