Navy at South Alabama - 2014 Matchup Preview
Navy logo Navy Midshipmen at South Alabama JaguarsSouth Alabama logo
Friday, November 28th 2014 (3:00 PM EST)
Navy -7 (0)  Open: 0.0
Navy 42 - South Alabama: 40

 
Midshipmen (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 27 (32 - 29 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NAVY coming off BYE
USA is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: NAVY: 27 - USA: 21 (48)
NAVY Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
NAVY Travel: 871 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Jaguars (6 - 7) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 26 (22 - 28 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Navy's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Navy vs Ohio State+19.5
Sat 9/6 Navy at Temple-4.0
Sat 9/13 Navy at Texas State-13.0
Sat 9/20 Navy vs Rutgers-5.5
Sat 9/27 Navy vs Western Kentucky-7.0
Sat 10/4 Navy at Air Force-4.0
Sat 10/11 Navy vs VMI-38.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Navy vs San José State-10.0
Sat 11/1 Navy vs Notre Dame+13.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Navy vs Georgia Southern-3.5
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/28 Navy at South Alabama-7.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/13 Navy vs Army-15.0
Tue 12/23 Navy vs San Diego State+3.551.0W 17 - 16UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Navy's Schedule
South Alabama's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/6 South Alabama at Kent State-1.052.0W 23 - 13UY
Sat 9/13 South Alabama vs Mississippi State+13.0
Sat 9/20 South Alabama vs Georgia Southern-2.5
Sat 9/27 South Alabama at Idaho-7.0
Sat 10/4 South Alabama at App State-5.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 South Alabama vs Georgia State-17.0
Fri 10/24 South Alabama vs Troy-12.0
Sat 11/1 South Alabama at Louisiana+7.057.0L 9 - 19UN
Sat 11/8 South Alabama at Arkansas State+9.5
Sat 11/15 South Alabama vs Texas State-4.0
Sat 11/22 South Alabama at South Carolina+25.5
Fri 11/28 South Alabama vs Navy+7.0
Sat 12/20 South Alabama vs Bowling Green-3.555.0L 28 - 33ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Alabama's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY.2650%31.853%3.4633834%814.2.249%27.349%46%3.5424.81.71.4
USA.0741%22.542%3.0217938%1972.68.1743%26.446%37%3.3755.22.21.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY#12 (.31)44% (51)46% (43)3.27 (32)23139% (101)1174.39 (26)#28 (.1)41% (61)46% (95)37% (24)3.48 (35)41.91.11.8
USA#5 (.34)50% (9)53% (4)3.57 (6)19947% (18)2434.66 (13)#58 (.15)41% (58)39% (28)43% (96)3.66 (56)70.80.91.5



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Offense1331.832.350.4%4.21.721419338816.181%17%53%34%2%.26
USA Defense1326.427.542.7%3.371.6 - - - - - 55%43%46%37%2%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Defense1327.328.848.7%3.541.4 - - - - - 57%41%49%46%1%.2
USA Offense1322.521.741.5%2.682.2213761791974.352%46%42%38%4%.07

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Navy1330:1220.748%58%2.524.81.71.400129.3
South Alabama1330:132136%25%6.255.22.21.600130.9
Run Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Offense1381%53%55.9338.16.145.313.4681%0%1.06
USA Defense1355%46% - - - - .133.0864%0%0.92
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Defense1357%49% - - - - .183.4175%0%0.86
USA Offense1352%42%41.31794.316.053.0263%0%0.84

Pass Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Offense1317%34%4.81081.48.117.195.071.825%34%.242%1.7
USA Defense1343%37% - - - - - - 6.251.835%37%.382%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Defense1341%46% - - - - - - 13.251.426%38%.391%1.6
USA Offense1346%38%16.831.71976.211.81717.111.633%34%.354%1.9

Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: NR
Navy's Offense Rating: NR
Navy's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Navy's 2014 Expected Record: -
Navy's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Navy:    South Alabama: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Navy:    South Alabama:




South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
South Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
South Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
South Alabama's 2014 Expected Record: -
South Alabama's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.3
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.8

Navy's 2014 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Navy 27
South Alabama 21

Total Points: 48

Based on Last 4 Games
Navy 24
South Alabama 17

Total Points: 41

Based on Entire Season
Navy 29
South Alabama 25

Total Points: 54
South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.7
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.5

South Alabama's 2014 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 1 - 12
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201411/28South Alabama40Navy42Navy -7South Alabama0
201311/16Navy42South Alabama14Navy -9.5Navy0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
South Alabama010 Overs
Navy210 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 12 - 01 - 01 - 0
Road Teams1 - 10 - 20 - 10 - 1

(#) NAVY at (#) USA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNAVYUSA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Navy on Offense
CategoryCat
NAVY OffUSA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Navy Run Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffUSA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Navy Pass Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffUSA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
South Alabama on Offense
CategoryCatUSA OffNAVY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
South Alabama Run Game
CategoryCat
USA OffNAVY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
South Alabama Pass Game
CategoryCatUSA OffNAVY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

NAVY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ladd Peebles Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 56°
Rematch from Week 14
Navy 7.0 (0)
Navy won at South Alabama this year (42-40)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
NAVY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Navy's Full Roster

NAVY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

USA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View South Alabama's Full Roster

USA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD