Navy at Air Force - 2014 Matchup Preview
Navy logo Navy Midshipmen at Air Force FalconsAir Force logo
Saturday, October 4th 2014 (3:30 PM EDT)
Navy -4 (0)  Open: 0.0
Air Force 30 - Navy: 21

 
Midshipmen (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 27 (32 - 29 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
AFA 2nd straight Home Game
NAVY is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: NAVY: 26 - AFA: 29 (55)
NAVY Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
NAVY Travel: 1516 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Falcons (10 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 24 (35 - 24 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Navy's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Navy vs Ohio State+19.5
Sat 9/6 Navy at Temple-4.0
Sat 9/13 Navy at Texas State-13.0
Sat 9/20 Navy vs Rutgers-5.5
Sat 9/27 Navy vs Western Kentucky-7.0
Sat 10/4 Navy at Air Force-4.0
Sat 10/11 Navy vs VMI-38.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Navy vs San José State-10.0
Sat 11/1 Navy vs Notre Dame+13.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Navy vs Georgia Southern-3.5
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/28 Navy at South Alabama-7.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/13 Navy vs Army-15.0
Tue 12/23 Navy vs San Diego State+3.551.0W 17 - 16UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Navy's Schedule
Air Force's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Air Force vs Nicholls-14.0
Sat 9/6 Air Force at Wyoming+1.0
Sat 9/13 Air Force at Georgia State-9.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Air Force vs Boise State+15.0
Sat 10/4 Air Force vs Navy+4.0
Sat 10/11 Air Force at Utah State+7.5
Sat 10/18 Air Force vs New Mexico-12.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Air Force at Army-5.5
Sat 11/8 Air Force at UNLV-4.5
Sat 11/15 Air Force vs Nevada+2.5
Fri 11/21 Air Force at San Diego State+2.0
Fri 11/28 Air Force vs Colorado State+5.0
Sat 12/20 Air Force vs Western Michigan+2.559.0W 38 - 24OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Air Force's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY.2650%31.853%3.4633834%814.2.249%27.349%46%3.5424.81.71.4
AFA.1846%31.544%3.0527346%1463.91.1338%24.234%39%3.2235.41.31.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY#12 (.31)44% (51)46% (43)3.27 (32)23139% (101)1174.39 (26)#28 (.1)41% (61)46% (95)37% (24)3.48 (35)41.91.11.8
AFA#103 (.13)42% (77)45% (60)3.03 (68)22531% (131)904.02 (56)#88 (.2)42% (68)41% (47)43% (89)3.97 (84)281.31



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Offense1331.832.350.4%4.21.721419338816.181%17%53%34%2%.26
AFA Defense1324.22437.7%3.221.4 - - - - - 48%50%34%39%1%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Defense1327.328.848.7%3.541.4 - - - - - 57%41%49%46%1%.2
AFA Offense1331.534.845.7%3.911.3224192731464.576%22%44%46%2%.18

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Navy1330:1220.748%58%2.524.81.71.400129.3
Air Force1331:2922.147%71%3.535.41.31.400030.9
Run Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Offense1381%53%55.9338.16.145.313.4681%0%1.06
AFA Defense1348%34% - - - - .022.4263%0%1.18
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Defense1357%49% - - - - .183.4175%0%0.86
AFA Offense1376%44%61.2273.14.535.133.0577%0%0.89

Pass Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Offense1317%34%4.81081.48.117.195.071.825%34%.242%1.7
AFA Defense1350%39% - - - - - - 10.261.837%35%.311%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Defense1341%46% - - - - - - 13.251.426%38%.391%1.6
AFA Offense1322%46%915.8145.69.216.2154.41.827%33%.272%1.7

Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: NR
Navy's Offense Rating: NR
Navy's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Navy's 2014 Expected Record: -
Navy's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Navy:    Air Force: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Navy:    Air Force:




Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Air Force's Offense Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Air Force's 2014 Expected Record: -
Air Force's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.3
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.8

Navy's 2014 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Air Force 29
Navy 26

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Air Force 28
Navy 25

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
Air Force 30
Navy 28

Total Points: 58
Air Force Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.8
Defense: 24.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 24

Air Force's 2014 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 12
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/04Navy34Air Force31Navy -13.5Air Force50.5Over
202410/05Air Force7Navy34Navy -10Navy37.0Over
202310/21Navy6Air Force17Air Force -11NA34.0Under
202210/01Air Force13Navy10Air Force -14Navy38.0Under
202109/11Navy3Air Force23Air Force -6Air Force40.0Under
202010/03Air Force40Navy7Navy -6.5Air Force46.5Over
201910/05Navy34Air Force25Air Force -3Navy46.5Over
201810/06Air Force35Navy7Navy -2.5Air Force47.0Under
201710/07Navy48Air Force45Navy -8.5Air Force53.5Over
201610/01Air Force28Navy14Air Force -10.5Air Force50.5Under
201510/03Navy33Air Force11Navy -6Navy49.5Under
201410/04Air Force30Navy21Navy -4Air Force0
201310/05Navy28Air Force10Navy -11Navy0
201210/06Air Force21Navy28
201110/01Navy34Air Force35
201010/02Air Force14Navy6
200910/03Navy16Air Force13
200810/04Air Force27Navy33
200709/29Navy31Air Force20
200610/07Air Force17Navy24
200510/08Navy27Air Force24
200409/30Air Force21Navy24
200310/04Navy28Air Force25
200210/05Air Force48Navy7
200110/06Navy18Air Force24
200010/06Air Force27Navy13
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Air Force1275 Overs
Navy1456 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams17 - 97 - 53 - 34 - 2
Road Teams9 - 175 - 72 - 43 - 3

(#) NAVY at (#) AFA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNAVYAFA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Navy on Offense
CategoryCat
NAVY OffAFA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Navy Run Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffAFA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Navy Pass Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffAFA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Air Force on Offense
CategoryCatAFA OffNAVY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Air Force Run Game
CategoryCat
AFA OffNAVY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Air Force Pass Game
CategoryCatAFA OffNAVY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
AFA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

NAVY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Falcon Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 68° - Wind: 11 mph
Rematch from Week 6
Navy 4.0 (0)
Air Force won vs Navy this year (30-21)

Previous Matchups
Navy beat Air Force last year (34-7)
Air Force beat Navy in 2023 (17-6)
Air Force beat Navy in 2022 (13-10)

  
NAVY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Navy's Full Roster

NAVY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

AFA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Air Force's Full Roster

AFA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD