Troy at South Alabama - 2014 Matchup Preview
Troy logo Troy Trojans at South Alabama JaguarsSouth Alabama logo
Friday, October 24th 2014 (7:30 PM EDT)
South Alabama -12 (0)  Open: 0.0
South Alabama 27 - Troy: 13  (Sun Belt)

 
Trojans (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 36 (15 - 37 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USA 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)

Projected Score: TROY: 21 - USA: 31 (52)
USA Win prob: 79% | Cover: 45%
TROY Travel: 148 miles
Jaguars (6 - 7) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 26 (22 - 28 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Troy's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Troy at UAB+1.0
Sat 9/6 Troy vs Duke+18.0
Sat 9/13 Troy vs Abilene Christian-14.0
Sat 9/20 Troy at Georgia+35.5
Sat 9/27 Troy at UL Monroe+10.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Troy vs New Mexico State-7.5
Sat 10/18 Troy vs App State-6.0
Fri 10/24 Troy at South Alabama+12.0
Thu 10/30 Troy at Georgia Southern-20.5
Sat 11/8 Troy vs Georgia State-8.5
Sat 11/15 Troy at Idaho+3.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Troy vs Louisiana+9.559.5L 23 - 42ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Troy's Schedule
South Alabama's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/6 South Alabama at Kent State-1.052.0W 23 - 13UY
Sat 9/13 South Alabama vs Mississippi State+13.0
Sat 9/20 South Alabama vs Georgia Southern-2.5
Sat 9/27 South Alabama at Idaho-7.0
Sat 10/4 South Alabama at App State-5.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 South Alabama vs Georgia State-17.0
Fri 10/24 South Alabama vs Troy-12.0
Sat 11/1 South Alabama at Louisiana+7.057.0L 9 - 19UN
Sat 11/8 South Alabama at Arkansas State+9.5
Sat 11/15 South Alabama vs Texas State-4.0
Sat 11/22 South Alabama at South Carolina+25.5
Fri 11/28 South Alabama vs Navy+7.0
Sat 12/20 South Alabama vs Bowling Green-3.555.0L 28 - 33ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Alabama's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY.1541%21.842%2.9816438%1983.23.2447%36.250%42%3.8259.41.21.5
USA.0741%22.542%3.0217938%1972.68.1743%26.446%37%3.3755.22.21.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY#50 (.22)44% (49)42% (94)2.88 (95)15748% (15)2134.43 (22)#77 (.18)43% (87)45% (87)42% (76)3.77 (65)58.81.30.7
USA#5 (.34)50% (9)53% (4)3.57 (6)19947% (18)2434.66 (13)#58 (.15)41% (58)39% (28)43% (96)3.66 (56)70.80.91.5



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Offense1221.814.540.9%3.231.2183631641984.352%46%42%38%1%.15
USA Defense1326.427.542.7%3.371.6 - - - - - 55%43%46%37%2%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Defense1236.23747.5%3.821.5 - - - - - 56%42%50%42%3%.24
USA Offense1322.521.741.5%2.682.2213761791974.352%46%42%38%4%.07

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Troy1229:1718.338%50%6.259.41.21.500328.3
South Alabama1330:132136%25%6.255.22.21.600130.9
Run Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Offense1252%42%38.3164.34.318.122.9872%0%1.04
USA Defense1355%46% - - - - .133.0864%0%0.92
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Defense1256%50% - - - - .233.3377%0%1.02
USA Offense1352%42%41.31794.316.053.0263%0%0.84

Pass Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Offense1246%38%19.829.8198.46.710124.191.635%30%.341%1.9
USA Defense1343%37% - - - - - - 6.251.835%37%.382%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Defense1242%42% - - - - - - 11.291.829%39%.433%1.9
USA Offense1346%38%16.831.71976.211.81717.111.633%34%.354%1.9

Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: NR
Troy's Offense Rating: NR
Troy's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Troy's 2014 Expected Record: -
Troy's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Troy:    South Alabama: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Troy:    South Alabama:




South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
South Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
South Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
South Alabama's 2014 Expected Record: -
South Alabama's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Troy Scoring
Offense: 21.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 14.5
Defense: 36.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 37

Troy's 2014 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 11
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
South Alabama 31
Troy 21


Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
South Alabama 33
Troy 19

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
South Alabama 29
Troy 23

Total Points: 52
South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.7
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.5

South Alabama's 2014 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 1 - 12
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/04Troy31South Alabama24South Alabama -2.5Troy46.5Over
202410/15South Alabama25Troy9South Alabama -10South Alabama53.0Under
202311/02Troy28South Alabama10Troy -5.5Troy44.5Under
202210/20South Alabama6Troy10South Alabama -3Troy47.0Under
202111/06Troy31South Alabama24Troy -3.5Troy47.5Over
202012/05South Alabama0Troy29Troy -4.5Troy53.5Under
201910/16Troy37South Alabama13Troy -17.5Troy55.5Under
201810/23South Alabama17Troy38Troy -11Troy52.5Over
201710/11Troy8South Alabama19Troy -18South Alabama51.5Under
201610/20South Alabama21Troy28Troy -9South Alabama49.0Push
201510/03Troy18South Alabama24Troy -3South Alabama61.5Under
201410/24South Alabama27Troy13South Alabama -12South Alabama0
201310/05Troy34South Alabama33Troy -2.5South Alabama0
201209/29South Alabama10Troy31
TeamWinsCoversO/U
South Alabama463 Overs
Troy1077 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 77 - 65 - 42 - 2
Road Teams7 - 76 - 72 - 24 - 5

(#) TROY at (#) USA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTROYUSA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Troy on Offense
CategoryCat
TROY OffUSA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Troy Run Game
CategoryCat
TROY OffUSA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Troy Pass Game
CategoryCat
TROY OffUSA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
South Alabama on Offense
CategoryCatUSA OffTROY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
South Alabama Run Game
CategoryCat
USA OffTROY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
South Alabama Pass Game
CategoryCatUSA OffTROY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

TROY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ladd Peebles Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 71° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 9
South Alabama -12.0 (0)
South Alabama won vs Troy this year (27-13)

Previous Matchups
South Alabama beat Troy last year (25-9)
Troy beat South Alabama in 2023 (28-10)
Troy beat South Alabama in 2022 (10-6)

  
TROY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Troy's Full Roster

TROY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

USA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View South Alabama's Full Roster

USA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD