Navy at Texas State - 2014 Matchup Preview
Navy logo Navy Midshipmen at Texas State BobcatsTexas State logo
Saturday, September 13th 2014 (8:00 PM EDT)
Navy -13 (0)  Open: 0.0
Navy 35 - Texas State: 21

 
Midshipmen (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 27 (32 - 29 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 12.7 MPH
NAVY 2nd straight Road Game
TXST coming off BYE
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: NAVY: 28 - TXST: 29 (57)
NAVY Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
NAVY Travel: 1368 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Bobcats (7 - 5) (7 - 4 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 28 (34 - 26 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Navy's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Navy vs Ohio State+19.5
Sat 9/6 Navy at Temple-4.0
Sat 9/13 Navy at Texas State-13.0
Sat 9/20 Navy vs Rutgers-5.5
Sat 9/27 Navy vs Western Kentucky-7.0
Sat 10/4 Navy at Air Force-4.0
Sat 10/11 Navy vs VMI-38.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Navy vs San José State-10.0
Sat 11/1 Navy vs Notre Dame+13.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Navy vs Georgia Southern-3.5
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/28 Navy at South Alabama-7.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/13 Navy vs Army-15.0
Tue 12/23 Navy vs San Diego State+3.551.0W 17 - 16UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Navy's Schedule
Texas State's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Texas State vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff-28.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 Texas State vs Navy+13.0
Sat 9/20 Texas State at Illinois+14.0
Sat 9/27 Texas State at Tulsa+5.5
Sat 10/4 Texas State vs Idaho-14.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14 Texas State vs Louisiana-3.061.5L 10 - 34UN
Sat 10/25 Texas State at UL Monroe+2.0
Sat 11/1 Texas State at New Mexico State-10.5
Sat 11/8 Texas State vs Georgia Southern+8.0
Sat 11/15 Texas State at South Alabama+4.0
Thu 11/20 Texas State vs Arkansas State+6.558.0W 45 - 27OY
Sat 11/29 Texas State at Georgia State-11.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas State's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY.2650%31.853%3.4633834%814.2.249%27.349%46%3.5424.81.71.4
TXST.2145%33.847%3.123940%2264.1.1643%27.744%41%3.195911.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY#12 (.31)44% (51)46% (43)3.27 (32)23139% (101)1174.39 (26)#28 (.1)41% (61)46% (95)37% (24)3.48 (35)41.91.11.8
TXST#25 (.25)48% (17)49% (14)3.41 (11)19448% (10)2453.89 (72)#50 (.14)39% (31)38% (21)39% (54)3.47 (33)56.51.61.2



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Offense1331.832.350.4%4.21.721419338816.181%17%53%34%2%.26
TXST Defense1227.725.743.3%3.191.6 - - - - - 51%48%44%41%2%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Defense1327.328.848.7%3.541.4 - - - - - 57%41%49%46%1%.2
TXST Offense1233.833.544.6%4.11234642392265.355%44%47%40%2%.21

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Navy1330:1220.748%58%2.524.81.71.400129.3
Texas State1228:1723.239%60%6.35911.600230
Run Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Offense1381%53%55.9338.16.145.313.4681%0%1.06
TXST Defense1251%44% - - - - .173.2276%0%0.96
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Defense1357%49% - - - - .183.4175%0%0.86
TXST Offense1255%47%44.8238.55.329.193.175%0%1

Pass Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Offense1317%34%4.81081.48.117.195.071.825%34%.242%1.7
TXST Defense1248%41% - - - - - - 13.171.530%30%.212%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Defense1341%46% - - - - - - 13.251.426%38%.391%1.6
TXST Offense1244%40%20.831.8225.97.110.8227.271.632%37%.492%1.9

Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: NR
Navy's Offense Rating: NR
Navy's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Navy's 2014 Expected Record: -
Navy's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Navy:    Texas State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Navy:    Texas State:




Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Texas State's Offense Rating: NR
Texas State's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Texas State's 2014 Expected Record: -
Texas State's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.3
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.8

Navy's 2014 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Texas State 29
Navy 28

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
Texas State 28
Navy 26

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
Texas State 31
Navy 30

Total Points: 61
Texas State Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.5
Defense: 27.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.7

Texas State's 2014 Record
Record: 7 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 1 - 11
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201409/13Texas State21Navy35Navy -13Navy0
201211/17Navy21Texas State10
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas State000 Overs
Navy210 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 11 - 01 - 00 - 0

(#) NAVY at (#) TXST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNAVYTXST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Navy on Offense
CategoryCat
NAVY OffTXST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Navy Run Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffTXST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Navy Pass Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffTXST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Texas State on Offense
CategoryCatTXST OffNAVY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Texas State Run Game
CategoryCat
TXST OffNAVY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Texas State Pass Game
CategoryCatTXST OffNAVY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TXST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

NAVY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 64° - Wind: 13 mph
Rematch from Week 3
Navy 13.0 (0)
Navy won at Texas State this year (35-21)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
NAVY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Navy's Full Roster

NAVY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TXST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Texas State's Full Roster

TXST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD