Illinois at Northwestern - 2014 Matchup Preview
Illinois logo Illinois Fighting Illini at Northwestern WildcatsNorthwestern logo
Saturday, November 29th 2014 (12:00 PM EST)
Northwestern -9 (0)  Open: 0.0
Illinois 47 - Northwestern: 33  (Big Ten)

 
Fighting Illini (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 34 (24 - 43 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 17.2 MPH
NW is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: ILL: 21 - NW: 30 (51)
NW Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
ILL Travel: 139 miles
Wildcats (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 25 (20 - 24 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Illinois's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Illinois vs Youngstown State-9.0
Sat 9/6 Illinois vs Western Kentucky-1.5
Sat 9/13 Illinois at Washington+15.0
Sat 9/20 Illinois vs Texas State-14.0
Sat 9/27 Illinois at Nebraska+19.0
Sat 10/4 Illinois vs Purdue-10.5
Sat 10/11 Illinois at Wisconsin+24.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Illinois vs Minnesota+6.5
Sat 11/1 Illinois at Ohio State+28.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Illinois vs Iowa+3.0
Sat 11/22 Illinois vs Penn State+4.5
Sat 11/29 Illinois at Northwestern+9.0
Fri 12/26 Illinois vs Louisiana Tech+7.055.0L 18 - 35UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Illinois's Schedule
Northwestern's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Northwestern vs California-9.564.0L 24 - 31UN
Sat 9/6 Northwestern vs Northern Illinois-2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Northwestern vs Western Illinois-23.0
Sat 9/27 Northwestern at Penn State+9.0
Sat 10/4 Northwestern vs Wisconsin+9.5
Sat 10/11 Northwestern at Minnesota+3.545.0L 17 - 24UN
Sat 10/18 Northwestern vs Nebraska+6.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Northwestern at Iowa+6.0
Sat 11/8 Northwestern vs Michigan-2.0
Sat 11/15 Northwestern at Notre Dame+16.5
Sat 11/22 Northwestern at Purdue-2.0
Sat 11/29 Northwestern vs Illinois-9.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northwestern's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ILL.0740%25.940%2.0711739%2503.1.1844%3444%41%3.5551.51.71.5
NW.0440%2339%2.6313740%2172.92.141%25.241%38%3.0143.51.92.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ILL#31 (.25)45% (45)45% (51)3.14 (49)14044% (44)1984.23 (39)#76 (.18)46% (115)50% (127)43% (90)3.48 (37)390.91.5
NW#129 (.02)37% (123)39% (113)2.63 (124)9936% (116)1863.02 (127)#57 (.15)45% (106)44% (80)46% (117)3.74 (64)38.81.51.3



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ILL Offense1325.924.440.3%3.11.7193671172503.743%56%40%39%2%.07
NW Defense1225.224.340.7%3.012.3 - - - - - 54%45%41%38%2%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ILL Defense13344343.6%3.551.5 - - - - - 59%39%44%41%2%.18
NW Offense122320.340.3%2.921.9203531372173.447%51%39%40%2%.04

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Illinois1328:0719.236%38%6.151.51.71.500332.6
Northwestern1230:0220.340%48%5.143.51.92.300330.7
Run Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ILL Offense1343%40%31.8117.53.716-.082.0760%0%0.92
NW Defense1254%41% - - - - .042.7175%0%0.9
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ILL Defense1359%44% - - - - .152.9770%0%1.05
NW Offense1247%39%40.5136.63.420-.022.6368%0%0.84

Pass Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ILL Offense1356%39%22.136.2249.86.911.32512.21.635%31%.242%1.8
NW Defense1245%38% - - - - - - 15.181.734%33%.312%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ILL Defense1339%41% - - - - - - 7.271.830%36%.372%1.9
NW Offense1251%40%21.837.9216.55.7101014.11.432%33%.212%1.6

Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: NR
Illinois's Offense Rating: NR
Illinois's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Illinois's 2014 Expected Record: -
Illinois's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Illinois:    Northwestern: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Illinois:    Northwestern:




Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Northwestern's Offense Rating: NR
Northwestern's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Northwestern's 2014 Expected Record: -
Northwestern's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Illinois Scoring
Offense: 25.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.4
Defense: 34 PPG
Defense on Road: 43

Illinois's 2014 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Northwestern 30
Illinois 21

Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
Northwestern 30
Illinois 18

Total Points: 47

Based on Entire Season
Northwestern 30
Illinois 25

Total Points: 55
Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.3
Defense: 25.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.3

Northwestern's 2014 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29Illinois20Northwestern13Illinois -7Push44.5Under
202411/30Northwestern28Illinois38Illinois -8.5Illinois42.5Over
202311/25Illinois43Northwestern45Illinois -5Northwestern46.5Over
202211/26Northwestern3Illinois41Illinois -15.0Illinois38.0Over
202111/27Illinois47Northwestern14Illinois -7Illinois45.0Over
202012/12Northwestern28Illinois10Northwestern -13Northwestern41.0Under
201911/30Illinois10Northwestern29Illinois -6.5Northwestern38.0Over
201811/24Northwestern24Illinois16Northwestern -14.5Illinois56.0Under
201711/25Illinois7Northwestern42Northwestern -16.5Northwestern46.0Over
201611/26Northwestern42Illinois21Northwestern -15Northwestern48.5Over
201511/28Illinois14Northwestern24Northwestern -3.5Northwestern42.0Under
201411/29Northwestern33Illinois47Northwestern -9Illinois0
201311/30Illinois34Northwestern37Northwestern -4Illinois0
201211/24Northwestern50Illinois14
201110/01Illinois38Northwestern35
201011/20Northwestern27Illinois48
200911/14Illinois16Northwestern21
200811/22Northwestern27Illinois10
200711/17Illinois41Northwestern22
200611/18Northwestern27Illinois16
200511/19Illinois21Northwestern38
200411/20Northwestern28Illinois21
200311/22Illinois20Northwestern37
200111/22Illinois34Northwestern28
200011/17Northwestern61Illinois23
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Northwestern1667 Overs
Illinois964 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 124 - 83 - 41 - 4
Road Teams12 - 138 - 44 - 14 - 3

(#) ILL at (#) NW
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatILLNW
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Illinois on Offense
CategoryCat
ILL OffNW Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Illinois Run Game
CategoryCat
ILL OffNW Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Illinois Pass Game
CategoryCat
ILL OffNW Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Northwestern on Offense
CategoryCatNW OffILL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Northwestern Run Game
CategoryCat
NW OffILL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Northwestern Pass Game
CategoryCatNW OffILL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NW 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

ILL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ryan Field
Conditions:
Temp: 45° - Wind: 17 mph
Rematch from Week 14
Northwestern -9.0 (0)
Illinois won at Northwestern this year (47-33)

Previous Matchups
Illinois beat Northwestern last year (38-28)
Northwestern beat Illinois in 2023 (45-43)
Illinois beat Northwestern in 2022 (41-3)

  
ILL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Illinois's Full Roster

ILL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

NW's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Northwestern's Full Roster

NW's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD