Penn State at Illinois - 2014 Matchup Preview
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Penn State Nittany Lions at Illinois Fighting Illini

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Saturday, November 22nd 2014 (12:00 PM EST)
Penn State -4.5 (0)  Open: 0.0
Illinois 16 - Penn State: 14  (Big Ten)

 
Nittany Lions (7 - 6) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 21 (29 - 30 on Road)
'14 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ILL 2nd straight Home Game
PSU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: PSU: 24 - ILL: 28 (52)
PSU Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
PSU Travel: 548 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Fighting Illini (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (31 - 14 @ Home)
'14 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Penn State's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Penn State vs UCF+2.044.0W 26 - 24OY
Sat 9/6 Penn State vs Akron-18.0
Sat 9/13 Penn State at Rutgers-4.0
Sat 9/20 Penn State vs Massachusetts-30.0
Sat 9/27 Penn State vs Northwestern-9.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Penn State at Michigan-2.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Penn State vs Ohio State+11.5
Sat 11/1 Penn State vs Maryland-2.5
Sat 11/8 Penn State at Indiana-4.0
Sat 11/15 Penn State vs Temple-10.5
Sat 11/22 Penn State at Illinois-4.5
Sat 11/29 Penn State vs Michigan State+11.5
Sat 12/27 Penn State vs Boston College+3.041.0W 31 - 30OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule
Illinois's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Illinois vs Youngstown State-9.0
Sat 9/6 Illinois vs Western Kentucky-1.5
Sat 9/13 Illinois at Washington+15.0
Sat 9/20 Illinois vs Texas State-14.0
Sat 9/27 Illinois at Nebraska+19.0
Sat 10/4 Illinois vs Purdue-10.5
Sat 10/11 Illinois at Wisconsin+24.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Illinois vs Minnesota+6.5
Sat 11/1 Illinois at Ohio State+28.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Illinois vs Iowa+3.0
Sat 11/22 Illinois vs Penn State+4.5
Sat 11/29 Illinois at Northwestern+9.0
Fri 12/26 Illinois vs Louisiana Tech+7.055.0L 18 - 35UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Illinois's Schedule
Important Stats (2013)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PSU.0944%3145%3.0817441%259-0.08.0540%20.533%43%033.61.81.7
ILL.1146%29.444%2.9213947%288-0.18.1447%23.645%47%-0.0846.91.80.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ILL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PSU Offense123128.644.4%-0.081.8234331742594.252%46%45%41%2%.09
ILL Defense1223.614.446.7%-0.080.9 - - - - - 55%43%45%47%2%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PSU Defense1220.530.239.5%01.7 - - - - - 48%50%33%43%2%.05
ILL Offense1229.431.346.2%-0.181.8244271392884.143%55%44%47%2%.11

Additional Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Penn State1229:5222.534%54%4.633.61.81.700028.5
Illinois1229:062448%33%5.846.91.80.900226.3
Run Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PSU Offense1252%45%41.81744.2223.0867%0%0.6
ILL Defense1255%45% - - - - .043.1363%0%0.73
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PSU Defense1248%33% - - - - -.092.3958%0%0.85
ILL Offense1243%44%34.31394.120.052.9269%0%0.75

Pass Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PSU Offense1246%41%20.134.1259.27.612.92110.211.329%30%.22%1.5
ILL Defense1243%47% - - - - - - 3.291.327%34%.252%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PSU Defense1250%43% - - - - - - 13.21.336%32%.242%1.7
ILL Offense1255%47%25.237.9287.77.611.42314.181.129%39%.42%1.6

Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Penn State's 2014 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Penn State:    Illinois: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Penn State:    Illinois:




Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Illinois's Offense Rating: NR
Illinois's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Illinois's 2014 Expected Record: -
Illinois's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Penn State Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Penn State's 2014 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 2 - 11
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Illinois 28
Penn State 24

Projected Total Points: 52
Illinois Scoring
Offense: 29.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.3
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.4

Illinois's 2014 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/28Penn State21Illinois7Penn State -19.5Illinois48.0Under
202309/16Illinois13Penn State30Penn State -14Penn State47.5Under
202110/23Penn State18Illinois20Penn State -24.5Illinois46.0Under
202012/19Penn State56Illinois21Penn State -16Penn State53.5Over
201809/21Illinois24Penn State63Penn State -26.5Penn State61.0Over
201510/31Penn State39Illinois0Penn State -4Penn State44.5Under
201411/22Illinois16Penn State14Penn State -4.5Illinois0
201311/02Penn State24Illinois17Penn State -10Illinois0
201209/29Illinois7Penn State35
201110/29Penn State10Illinois7
201010/09Penn State13Illinois33
200910/03Illinois17Penn State35
200809/27Penn State38Illinois24
200709/29Illinois27Penn State20
200610/21Penn State26Illinois12
200510/22Illinois10Penn State63
200211/02Penn State18Illinois7
200111/10Illinois33Penn State28
200010/20Penn State39Illinois25
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Illinois542 Overs
Penn State1444 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 73 - 52 - 31 - 2
Road Teams7 - 125 - 32 - 13 - 2

(#) PSU at (#) ILL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatPSUILL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Penn State on Offense
CategoryCat
PSU OffILL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Penn State Run Game
CategoryCat
PSU OffILL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Penn State Pass Game
CategoryCat
PSU OffILL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Illinois on Offense
CategoryCatILL OffPSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Illinois Run Game
CategoryCat
ILL OffPSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Illinois Pass Game
CategoryCatILL OffPSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ILL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

PSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 13
Penn State 4.5 (0)
Illinois won vs Penn State this year (16-14)

Previous Matchups
Penn State beat Illinois in 2024 (21-7)
Penn State beat Illinois in 2023 (30-13)

  
PSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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PSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ILL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ILL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD