Purdue at Illinois - 2014 Matchup Preview
Purdue logo Purdue Boilermakers at Illinois Fighting Illini(#22)Illinois logo
Saturday, October 4th 2014 (12:00 PM EDT)
Illinois -10.5 (0)  Open: 0.0
Purdue 38 - Illinois: 27  (Big Ten)

 
Boilermakers (3 - 9) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 32 (27 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 20.8 MPH
ILL is playing their 6th straight game
PUR is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: PUR: 26 - ILL: 27 (53)
ILL Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
PUR Travel: 73 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Fighting Illini (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 34 (28 - 27 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Purdue's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Purdue vs Western Michigan-7.550.0W 43 - 34OY
Sat 9/6 Purdue vs Central Michigan-2.5
Sat 9/13 Purdue vs Notre Dame+29.5
Sat 9/20 Purdue vs Southern Illinois-1.5
Sat 9/27 Purdue vs Iowa+13.5
Sat 10/4 Purdue at Illinois+10.5
Sat 10/11 Purdue vs Michigan State+21.5
Sat 10/18 Purdue at Minnesota+14.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Purdue at Nebraska+24.5
Sat 11/8 Purdue vs Wisconsin+15.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Purdue vs Northwestern+2.0
Sat 11/29 Purdue at Indiana+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule
Illinois's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Illinois vs Youngstown State-9.0
Sat 9/6 Illinois vs Western Kentucky-1.5
Sat 9/13 Illinois at Washington+15.0
Sat 9/20 Illinois vs Texas State-14.0
Sat 9/27 Illinois at Nebraska+19.0
Sat 10/4 Illinois vs Purdue-10.5
Sat 10/11 Illinois at Wisconsin+24.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Illinois vs Minnesota+6.5
Sat 11/1 Illinois at Ohio State+28.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Illinois vs Iowa+3.0
Sat 11/22 Illinois vs Penn State+4.5
Sat 11/29 Illinois at Northwestern+9.0
Fri 12/26 Illinois vs Louisiana Tech+7.055.0L 18 - 35UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Illinois's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PUR.0739%23.843%2.8515733%1872.92.1445%31.746%40%3.5643.221.6
ILL.0740%25.940%2.0711739%2503.1.1844%3444%41%3.5551.51.71.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PUR#112 (.11)41% (96)42% (90)3.04 (65)11640% (93)1843.34 (115)#134 (.39)49% (129)49% (120)50% (129)4.82 (134)51.81.60.4
ILL#31 (.25)45% (45)45% (51)3.14 (49)14044% (44)1984.23 (39)#76 (.18)46% (115)50% (127)43% (90)3.48 (37)390.91.5



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PUR Offense1223.826.538.7%2.922173451571874.746%52%43%33%3%.07
ILL Defense133427.443.6%3.551.5 - - - - - 59%39%44%41%2%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PUR Defense1231.73144.7%3.561.6 - - - - - 54%45%46%40%2%.14
ILL Offense1325.928.140.3%3.11.7193671172503.743%56%40%39%2%.07

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Purdue1228:5317.236%39%543.221.600132.2
Illinois1328:0719.236%38%6.151.51.71.500332.6
Run Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PUR Offense1246%43%33.5157.24.717.112.8569%0%1.05
ILL Defense1359%44% - - - - .152.9770%0%1.05
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PUR Defense1254%46% - - - - .12373%0%0.86
ILL Offense1343%40%31.8117.53.716-.082.0760%0%0.92

Pass Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PUR Offense1252%33%19.436.2187.45.29.71616.041.536%32%.213%1.7
ILL Defense1339%41% - - - - - - 7.271.830%36%.372%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PUR Defense1245%40% - - - - - - 10.181.732%37%.332%1.7
ILL Offense1356%39%22.136.2249.86.911.32512.21.635%31%.242%1.8

Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: NR
Purdue's Offense Rating: NR
Purdue's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Purdue's 2014 Expected Record: -
Purdue's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Purdue:    Illinois: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Purdue:    Illinois:




Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Illinois's Offense Rating: NR
Illinois's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Illinois's 2014 Expected Record: -
Illinois's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Purdue Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.5
Defense: 31.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 31

Purdue's 2014 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 11
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Illinois 27
Purdue 26

Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
Illinois 24
Purdue 23

Total Points: 48

Based on Entire Season
Illinois 29
Purdue 28

Total Points: 57
Illinois Scoring
Offense: 25.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.1
Defense: 34 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.4

Illinois's 2014 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/04Purdue27Illinois43Illinois -7.5Illinois55.5Over
202410/12Illinois50Purdue49Illinois -22.5Purdue47.5Over
202309/30Purdue44Illinois19Purdue -1.0Purdue54.0Over
202211/12Illinois24Purdue31Illinois -6.0Purdue44.0Over
202109/25Purdue13Illinois9Purdue -10.5Illinois53.5Under
202010/31Illinois24Purdue31Purdue -7.0NA0
201910/26Purdue6Illinois24Purdue -9Illinois54.5Under
201810/13Illinois7Purdue46Purdue -10.5Purdue62.0Under
201711/04Purdue29Illinois10Purdue -14Purdue50.0Under
201610/08Illinois31Purdue34Illinois -9Purdue49.5Over
201511/07Purdue14Illinois48Illinois -1.5Illinois50.0Over
201410/04Illinois27Purdue38Illinois -10.5Purdue0
201311/23Purdue16Illinois20Illinois -6.5Purdue0
201211/17Illinois17Purdue20
201110/22Purdue21Illinois14
201010/30Illinois44Purdue10
200910/24Purdue24Illinois14
200611/11Illinois31Purdue42
200511/12Purdue37Illinois3
200409/25Illinois30Purdue38
200310/04Purdue43Illinois10
200210/12Illinois38Purdue31
200111/03Purdue13Illinois38
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Illinois846 Overs
Purdue1584 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 133 - 92 - 61 - 3
Road Teams13 - 109 - 33 - 16 - 2

(#) PUR at (#) ILL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatPURILL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Purdue on Offense
CategoryCat
PUR OffILL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Purdue Run Game
CategoryCat
PUR OffILL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Purdue Pass Game
CategoryCat
PUR OffILL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Illinois on Offense
CategoryCatILL OffPUR Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Illinois Run Game
CategoryCat
ILL OffPUR Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Illinois Pass Game
CategoryCatILL OffPUR Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ILL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

PUR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 44° - Wind: 21 mph
Rematch from Week 6
Illinois -10.5 (0)
Purdue won at Illinois this year (38-27)

Previous Matchups
Illinois beat Purdue last year (50-49)
Purdue beat Illinois in 2023 (44-19)
Purdue beat Illinois in 2022 (31-24)

  
PUR's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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PUR's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ILL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ILL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD