Mississippi State at LSU - 2012 Matchup Preview
Mississippi State logo Mississippi State Bulldogs at LSU TigersLSU logo
Saturday, November 10th 2012 (7:00 PM EST)
LSU 37 - Mississippi State: 17  (SEC)

 
Bulldogs (8 - 5) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 23 (21 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
LSU 2nd straight Home Game
MSST is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: MSST: 20 - LSU: 28 (48)
MSST Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
MSST Travel: 253 miles
Tigers (10 - 3) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 18 (38 - 18 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Mississippi State's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Mississippi State vs Jackson State-23.5
Sat 9/8 Mississippi State vs Auburn-23.5
Sat 9/15 Mississippi State at Troy+2.5
Sat 9/22 Mississippi State vs South Alabama-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/6 Mississippi State at Kentucky+2.5
Sat 10/13 Mississippi State vs Tennessee-23.5
Sat 10/20 Mississippi State vs Middle Tennessee-23.5
Sat 10/27 Mississippi State at Alabama+2.5
Sat 11/3 Mississippi State vs Texas A&M-23.5
Sat 11/10 Mississippi State at LSU+2.5
Sat 11/17 Mississippi State vs Arkansas-23.5
Sat 11/24 Mississippi State at Ole Miss+2.5
Tue 1/1 Mississippi State vs Northwestern+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
LSU's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 LSU vs North Texas-23.5
Sat 9/8 LSU vs Washington-23.5
Sat 9/15 LSU vs Idaho-23.5
Sat 9/22 LSU at Auburn+2.5
Sat 9/29 LSU vs Towson-23.5
Sat 10/6 LSU at Florida+2.5
Sat 10/13 LSU vs South Carolina-23.5
Sat 10/20 LSU at Texas A&M+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/3 LSU vs Alabama-23.5
Sat 11/10 LSU vs Mississippi State-23.5
Sat 11/17 LSU vs Ole Miss-23.5
Fri 11/23 LSU at Arkansas+2.5
Mon 12/31 LSU vs Clemson+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for LSU's Schedule
Important Stats (2012)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MSST.0344%29.542%2.8614443%238-0.08.0945%23.342%46%0.1939.81.32.5
LSU.0542%29.842%3.0217439%201038%17.536%38%-0.5357.91.32.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MSST#78 (.17)39% (109)40% (105)2.9 (93)13938% (104)2393.75 (86)#130 (.32)50% (133)47% (108)55% (134)4.32 (113)60.31.50.9
LSU#30 (.25)45% (38)42% (89)2.92 (90)10847% (24)2913.99 (60)#92 (.21)41% (60)41% (54)41% (73)3.44 (30)45.71.21



Overall Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSST Offense1329.52144%-0.081.3203811442384.447%51%42%43%4%.03
LSU Defense1317.518.437.7%-0.532.5 - - - - - 44%55%36%38%4%
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSST Defense1323.330.844.8%0.192.5 - - - - - 52%47%42%46%3%.09
LSU Offense1329.837.642.1%01.3193741742014.353%44%42%39%2%.05

Additional Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Mississippi State1329:4420.435%62%4.739.81.32.500332.7
LSU1330:3118.640%57%7.257.91.32.500532.8
Run Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSST Offense1347%42%32.6143.54.418-.042.8659%0%0.65
LSU Defense1344%36% - - - - -.022.6270%0%0.76
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSST Defense1352%42% - - - - .073.0271%0%0.77
LSU Offense1353%42%40.5173.74.329-.043.0269%0%0.57

Pass Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSST Offense1351%43%19.232.6237.87.312.42810.09133%35%.24%1.3
LSU Defense1355%38% - - - - - - 18.03134%25%.14%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSST Defense1347%46% - - - - - - 19.14130%31%.23%1.2
LSU Offense1344%39%1627.4200.57.312.5127.21.329%28%.162%1.5

Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Mississippi State's 2012 Expected Record: -
Mississippi State's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State:    LSU: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State:    LSU:




LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
LSU's Offense Rating: NR
LSU's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
LSU's 2012 Expected Record: -
LSU's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 21
Defense: 23.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.8

Mississippi State's 2012 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
LSU 28
Mississippi State 20

Total Points: 48

Based on Last 4 Games
LSU 26
Mississippi State 18

Total Points: 44

Based on Entire Season
LSU 31
Mississippi State 22

Total Points: 53
LSU Scoring
Offense: 29.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.6
Defense: 17.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.4

LSU's 2012 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 7 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/16Mississippi State14LSU41LSU -9.5LSU54.0Over
202209/17LSU31Mississippi State16Mississippi State -3LSU53.0Under
202109/25Mississippi State25LSU28LSU -1.5LSU54.5Under
202009/26LSU34Mississippi State44LSU -14.5Mississippi State57.0Over
201910/19Mississippi State13LSU36LSU -17.5LSU62.0Under
201810/20LSU19Mississippi State3LSU -6LSU45.5Under
201709/16Mississippi State37LSU7LSU -7.5Mississippi State53.5Under
201609/17LSU23Mississippi State20LSU -13Mississippi State47.0Under
201509/12Mississippi State19LSU21LSU -3Mississippi State52.5Under
201409/20LSU29Mississippi State34LSU -7Mississippi State0
201310/05Mississippi State26LSU59LSU -9.5LSU0
201211/10LSU37Mississippi State17
201109/15Mississippi State6LSU19
201009/18LSU29Mississippi State7
200909/26Mississippi State26LSU30
200809/27LSU34Mississippi State24
200708/30Mississippi State0LSU45
200609/30LSU48Mississippi State17
200510/01Mississippi State7LSU37
200409/25LSU51Mississippi State0
200309/27Mississippi State6LSU41
200209/28LSU31Mississippi State13
200110/20Mississippi State0LSU42
200010/20LSU45Mississippi State38
TeamWinsCoversO/U
LSU2162 Overs
Mississippi State357 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 134 - 71 - 33 - 4
Road Teams13 - 117 - 44 - 33 - 1

(#) MSST at (#) LSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMSSTLSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Mississippi State on Offense
CategoryCat
MSST OffLSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Mississippi State Run Game
CategoryCat
MSST OffLSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Mississippi State Pass Game
CategoryCat
MSST OffLSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
LSU on Offense
CategoryCatLSU OffMSST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
LSU Run Game
CategoryCat
LSU OffMSST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
LSU Pass Game
CategoryCatLSU OffMSST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
LSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

MSST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Tiger Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 11
()
LSU won vs Mississippi State this year (37-17)

Previous Matchups
LSU beat Mississippi State in 2023 (41-14)
LSU beat Mississippi State in 2022 (31-16)

  
MSST's OC ()
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MSST's DC ()
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LSU's OC ()
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LSU's DC ()
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