Mississippi State at Alabama - 2012 Matchup Preview
 
Bulldogs (8 - 5) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 23 (21 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MSST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)

Projected Score: MSST: 19 - ALA: 30 (49)
MSST Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
MSST Travel: 74 miles
Crimson Tide (13 - 1) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 39 - 11 (38 - 8 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Mississippi State's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Mississippi State vs Jackson State-23.5
Sat 9/8 Mississippi State vs Auburn-23.5
Sat 9/15 Mississippi State at Troy+2.5
Sat 9/22 Mississippi State vs South Alabama-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/6 Mississippi State at Kentucky+2.5
Sat 10/13 Mississippi State vs Tennessee-23.5
Sat 10/20 Mississippi State vs Middle Tennessee-23.5
Sat 10/27 Mississippi State at Alabama+2.5
Sat 11/3 Mississippi State vs Texas A&M-23.5
Sat 11/10 Mississippi State at LSU+2.5
Sat 11/17 Mississippi State vs Arkansas-23.5
Sat 11/24 Mississippi State at Ole Miss+2.5
Tue 1/1 Mississippi State vs Northwestern+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
Alabama's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Alabama vs Michigan-23.5
Sat 9/8 Alabama vs Western Kentucky-23.5
Sat 9/15 Alabama at Arkansas+2.5
Sat 9/22 Alabama vs Florida Atlantic-23.5
Sat 9/29 Alabama vs Ole Miss-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/13 Alabama at Missouri+2.5
Sat 10/20 Alabama at Tennessee+2.5
Sat 10/27 Alabama vs Mississippi State-23.5
Sat 11/3 Alabama at LSU+2.5
Sat 11/10 Alabama vs Texas A&M-23.5
Sat 11/17 Alabama vs Western Carolina-23.5
Sat 11/24 Alabama vs Auburn-23.5
Sat 12/1 Alabama vs Georgia+2.5
Mon 1/7 Alabama vs Notre Dame-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule
Important Stats (2012)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MSST.0344%29.542%2.8614443%238-0.08.0945%23.342%46%0.1939.81.32.5
ALA.249%38.751%3.7822743%2180.07-.0235%10.932%37%-0.1433.41.12.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MSST#78 (.17)39% (109)40% (105)2.9 (93)13938% (104)2393.75 (86)#130 (.32)50% (133)47% (108)55% (134)4.32 (113)60.31.50.9
ALA#44 (.23)45% (34)45% (52)2.75 (112)16945% (31)2224.71 (8)#8 (.05)37% (12)38% (15)37% (19)2.85 (5)66.31.42.1



Overall Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSST Offense1329.52144%-0.081.3203811442384.447%51%42%43%4%.03
ALA Defense1410.98.135.1%-0.142.1 - - - - - 47%52%32%37%2%-.02
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSST Defense1323.330.844.8%0.192.5 - - - - - 52%47%42%46%3%.09
ALA Offense1438.738.348.8%0.071.1224452272185.655%42%51%43%1%.2

Additional Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Mississippi State1329:4420.435%62%4.739.81.32.500332.7
Alabama1435:1221.648%64%3.933.41.12.100233.2
Run Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSST Offense1347%42%32.6143.54.418-.042.8659%0%0.65
ALA Defense1447%32% - - - - -.172.2455%0%0.63
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSST Defense1352%42% - - - - .073.0271%0%0.77
ALA Offense1455%51%40.7226.55.637.223.7876%0%0.76

Pass Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSST Offense1351%43%19.232.6237.87.312.42810.09133%35%.24%1.3
ALA Defense1452%37% - - - - - - 18.121.336%25%.122%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSST Defense1347%46% - - - - - - 19.14130%31%.23%1.2
ALA Offense1442%43%15.623.42189.313.9313.21.227%35%.371%1.5

Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Mississippi State's 2012 Expected Record: -
Mississippi State's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State:    Alabama: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State:    Alabama:




Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Alabama's 2012 Expected Record: -
Alabama's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 21
Defense: 23.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.8

Mississippi State's 2012 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 30
Mississippi State 19


Total Points: 49

Based on Last 4 Games
Alabama 26
Mississippi State 21

Total Points: 47

Based on Entire Season
Alabama 33
Mississippi State 17

Total Points: 50
Alabama Scoring
Offense: 38.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.3
Defense: 10.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.1

Alabama's 2012 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 14
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/30Mississippi State17Alabama40Alabama -16.5Alabama45.0Over
202210/22Alabama30Mississippi State6Alabama -21.5Alabama61.5Under
202110/16Mississippi State9Alabama49Alabama -17.5Alabama59.5Under
202010/31Alabama41Mississippi State0Alabama -32.0Alabama0
201911/16Mississippi State7Alabama38Alabama -19Alabama61.0Under
201811/10Alabama24Mississippi State0Alabama -21.5Alabama50.0Under
201711/11Mississippi State24Alabama31Alabama -14.5Mississippi State50.0Over
201611/12Alabama51Mississippi State3Alabama -28.5Alabama52.5Over
201511/14Mississippi State6Alabama31Alabama -7Alabama51.5Under
201411/15Alabama25Mississippi State20Alabama -6.5Mississippi State0
201311/16Mississippi State7Alabama20Alabama -24.5Mississippi State0
201210/27Alabama38Mississippi State7
201111/12Mississippi State7Alabama24
201011/13Alabama30Mississippi State10
200911/14Mississippi State3Alabama31
200811/15Alabama32Mississippi State7
200711/10Mississippi State17Alabama12
200611/04Alabama16Mississippi State24
200511/05Mississippi State0Alabama17
200411/06Alabama30Mississippi State14
200311/08Mississippi State0Alabama38
200211/09Alabama28Mississippi State14
200111/10Alabama24Mississippi State17
200011/10Mississippi State29Alabama7
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Alabama2183 Overs
Mississippi State335 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 116 - 54 - 12 - 4
Road Teams11 - 135 - 64 - 21 - 4

(#) MSST at (#) ALA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMSSTALA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Mississippi State on Offense
CategoryCat
MSST OffALA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Mississippi State Run Game
CategoryCat
MSST OffALA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Mississippi State Pass Game
CategoryCat
MSST OffALA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Alabama on Offense
CategoryCatALA OffMSST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Alabama Run Game
CategoryCat
ALA OffMSST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Alabama Pass Game
CategoryCatALA OffMSST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ALA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

MSST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bryant Denny Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 53° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 9
()
Alabama won vs Mississippi State this year (38-7)

Previous Matchups
Alabama beat Mississippi State in 2023 (40-17)
Alabama beat Mississippi State in 2022 (30-6)

  
MSST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MSST's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ALA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ALA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD