Middle Tennessee at Mississippi State - 2012 Matchup Preview
 
Blue Raiders (8 - 4) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 28 (27 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MTSU 2nd straight Road Game
MSST 2nd straight Home Game
MTSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: MTSU: 27 - MSST: 32 (59)
MTSU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
MTSU Travel: 215 miles
Bulldogs (8 - 5) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 23 (37 - 16 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Middle Tennessee's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/30 Middle Tennessee vs McNeese-23.5
Sat 9/8 Middle Tennessee vs Florida Atlantic-23.5
Sat 9/15 Middle Tennessee at Memphis+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/29 Middle Tennessee at Georgia Tech+2.5
Sat 10/6 Middle Tennessee vs UL Monroe-23.5
Sat 10/13 Middle Tennessee at Florida International+2.5
Sat 10/20 Middle Tennessee at Mississippi State+2.5
Sat 10/27 Middle Tennessee vs North Texas-23.5
Thu 11/1 Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/17 Middle Tennessee at South Alabama+2.5
Sat 11/24 Middle Tennessee vs Troy-23.5
Sat 12/1 Middle Tennessee at Arkansas State+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule
Mississippi State's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Mississippi State vs Jackson State-23.5
Sat 9/8 Mississippi State vs Auburn-23.5
Sat 9/15 Mississippi State at Troy+2.5
Sat 9/22 Mississippi State vs South Alabama-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/6 Mississippi State at Kentucky+2.5
Sat 10/13 Mississippi State vs Tennessee-23.5
Sat 10/20 Mississippi State vs Middle Tennessee-23.5
Sat 10/27 Mississippi State at Alabama+2.5
Sat 11/3 Mississippi State vs Texas A&M-23.5
Sat 11/10 Mississippi State at LSU+2.5
Sat 11/17 Mississippi State vs Arkansas-23.5
Sat 11/24 Mississippi State at Ole Miss+2.5
Tue 1/1 Mississippi State vs Northwestern+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
Important Stats (2012)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MTSU.0844%26.640%2.8617746%2160.09.1547%2846%47%-0.0845.81.52.3
MSST.0344%29.542%2.8614443%238-0.08.0945%23.342%46%0.1939.81.32.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MTSU#107 (.13)39% (105)38% (114)2.82 (104)9140% (83)2613 (128)#129 (.32)49% (130)50% (124)49% (127)4.61 (126)61.31.60.8
MSST#78 (.17)39% (109)40% (105)2.9 (93)13938% (104)2393.75 (86)#130 (.32)50% (133)47% (108)55% (134)4.32 (113)60.31.50.9



Overall Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MTSU Offense1226.626.943.9%0.091.5203931772164.556%42%40%46%2%.08
MSST Defense1323.316.444.8%0.192.5 - - - - - 52%47%42%46%3%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MTSU Defense122831.346.8%-0.082.3 - - - - - 53%45%46%47%2%.15
MSST Offense1329.536.944%-0.081.3203811442384.447%51%42%43%4%.03

Additional Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Middle Tennessee1229:1220.243%67%5.745.81.52.300333.7
Mississippi State1329:4420.435%62%4.739.81.32.500332.7
Run Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MTSU Offense1256%40%39176.74.519-.012.8680%0%0.72
MSST Defense1352%42% - - - - .073.0271%0%0.77
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MTSU Defense1253%46% - - - - .073.281%0%0.69
MSST Offense1347%42%32.6143.54.418-.042.8659%0%0.65

Pass Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MTSU Offense1242%46%18.128.7216.17.512168.241.231%33%.292%1.7
MSST Defense1347%46% - - - - - - 19.14130%31%.23%1.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MTSU Defense1245%47% - - - - - - 12.241.327%38%.362%1.6
MSST Offense1351%43%19.232.6237.87.312.42810.09133%35%.24%1.3

Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Middle Tennessee's 2012 Expected Record: -
Middle Tennessee's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee:    Mississippi State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee:    Mississippi State:




Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Mississippi State's 2012 Expected Record: -
Mississippi State's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 26.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.9
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.3

Middle Tennessee's 2012 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Mississippi State 32
Middle Tennessee 27

Total Points: 59

Based on Last 4 Games
Mississippi State 32
Middle Tennessee 30

Total Points: 62

Based on Entire Season
Mississippi State 32
Middle Tennessee 23

Total Points: 55
Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.9
Defense: 23.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.4

Mississippi State's 2012 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201210/20Mississippi State45Middle Tennessee3
200910/17Middle Tennessee6Mississippi State27
200810/25Mississippi State31Middle Tennessee22
200010/27Mississippi State61Middle Tennessee35
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Mississippi State400 Overs
Middle Tennessee000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 10 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams1 - 30 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#) MTSU at (#) MSST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMTSUMSST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Middle Tennessee on Offense
CategoryCat
MTSU OffMSST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Middle Tennessee Run Game
CategoryCat
MTSU OffMSST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Middle Tennessee Pass Game
CategoryCat
MTSU OffMSST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Mississippi State on Offense
CategoryCatMSST OffMTSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Mississippi State Run Game
CategoryCat
MSST OffMTSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Mississippi State Pass Game
CategoryCatMSST OffMTSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MSST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

MTSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 67°
Rematch from Week 8
()
Mississippi State won vs Middle Tennessee this year (45-3)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
MTSU's OC ()
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