South Alabama at Mississippi State - 2012 Matchup Preview
 
Jaguars (2 - 11) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 30 (25 - 32 on Road)
'12 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USA 2nd straight Road Game
MSST is playing their 4th straight game
USA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: USA: 27 - MSST: 32 (59)
USA Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
USA Travel: 196 miles
Bulldogs (8 - 5) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (34 - 28 @ Home)
'12 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
South Alabama's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 South Alabama vs UTSA-23.5
Sat 9/8 South Alabama vs Nicholls-23.5
Sat 9/15 South Alabama at NC State+2.5
Sat 9/22 South Alabama at Mississippi State+2.5
Sat 9/29 South Alabama vs Troy-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/13 South Alabama at Arkansas State+2.5
Sat 10/20 South Alabama vs Florida Atlantic-23.5
Sat 10/27 South Alabama at UL Monroe+2.5
Sat 11/3 South Alabama vs Florida International-23.5
Sat 11/10 South Alabama at North Texas+2.5
Sat 11/17 South Alabama vs Middle Tennessee-23.5
Sat 11/24 South Alabama at Louisiana+2.5
Sat 12/1 South Alabama at Hawai'i+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Alabama's Schedule
Mississippi State's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Mississippi State vs Jackson State-23.5
Sat 9/8 Mississippi State vs Auburn-23.5
Sat 9/15 Mississippi State at Troy+2.5
Sat 9/22 Mississippi State vs South Alabama-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/6 Mississippi State at Kentucky+2.5
Sat 10/13 Mississippi State vs Tennessee-23.5
Sat 10/20 Mississippi State vs Middle Tennessee-23.5
Sat 10/27 Mississippi State at Alabama+2.5
Sat 11/3 Mississippi State vs Texas A&M-23.5
Sat 11/10 Mississippi State at LSU+2.5
Sat 11/17 Mississippi State vs Arkansas-23.5
Sat 11/24 Mississippi State at Ole Miss+2.5
Tue 1/1 Mississippi State vs Northwestern+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
Important Stats (2011)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USA-.0441%26.544%2.46037%00.0437%30.433%40%0000
MSST.0139%30.441%2.7917535%196-0.18.0241%30.239%41%-0.2843.61.51.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MSST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2011
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USA Offense226.525.240.7%000000041%58%44%37%0%-.04
MSST Defense1330.227.941.3%-0.281.5 - - - - - 50%48%39%41%3%.02
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USA Defense230.43236.7%00 - - - - - 65%33%33%40%0%.04
MSST Offense1330.433.939.3%-0.181.5183571751964.456%42%41%35%2%.01

Additional Stats 2011
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
South Alabama20:000NAN%0%000000032.3
Mississippi State1316:3318.539%50%5.543.61.51.500429.7
Run Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USA Offense241%44%0000-.012.4667%0%0.62
MSST Defense1350%39% - - - - -.012.8665%0%0.75
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USA Defense265%33% - - - - -.162.7267%0%0.42
MSST Offense1356%41%39.5175.34.419.012.7973%0%0.77

Pass Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USA Offense258%37%0000000-.061.135%33%.170%1.8
MSST Defense1348%41% - - - - - - 12.06133%31%.053%1.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USA Defense233%40% - - - - - - 0.451.835%31%.330%1.8
MSST Offense1342%35%15.226.8195.57.312.81913.021.233%26%.142%1.6

South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: NR
South Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
South Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
South Alabama's 2012 Expected Record: -
South Alabama's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
South Alabama:    Mississippi State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Alabama:    Mississippi State:




Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Mississippi State's 2012 Expected Record: -
Mississippi State's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 26.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.2
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 32

South Alabama's 2012 Record
Record: 2 - 11
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 0 - 7
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Mississippi State 32
South Alabama 27

Projected Total Points: 59
Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.9
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.9

Mississippi State's 2012 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201609/03Mississippi State20South Alabama21Mississippi State -34South Alabama52.0Under
201409/13South Alabama3Mississippi State35Mississippi State -13Mississippi State0
201209/22Mississippi State30South Alabama10
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Mississippi State210 Overs
South Alabama111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 20 - 20 - 10 - 1
Road Teams2 - 12 - 01 - 01 - 0

(#) USA at (#) MSST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSAMSST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
South Alabama on Offense
CategoryCat
USA OffMSST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
South Alabama Run Game
CategoryCat
USA OffMSST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
South Alabama Pass Game
CategoryCat
USA OffMSST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Mississippi State on Offense
CategoryCatMSST OffUSA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Mississippi State Run Game
CategoryCat
MSST OffUSA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Mississippi State Pass Game
CategoryCatMSST OffUSA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MSST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

USA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 4
()
Mississippi State won vs South Alabama this year (30-10)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
USA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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USA's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MSST's OC ()
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MSST's DC ()
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Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD