Mississippi State at Kentucky - 2012 Matchup Preview
 
Bulldogs (8 - 5) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (26 - 31 on Road)
'12 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UK 2nd straight Home Game
MSST coming off BYE
UK is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: MSST: 26 - UK: 29 (55)
MSST Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
MSST Travel: 397 miles, 1 hrs behind
Wildcats (2 - 10) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 26 (32 - 23 @ Home)
'12 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Mississippi State's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Mississippi State vs Jackson State-23.5
Sat 9/8 Mississippi State vs Auburn-23.5
Sat 9/15 Mississippi State at Troy+2.5
Sat 9/22 Mississippi State vs South Alabama-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/6 Mississippi State at Kentucky+2.5
Sat 10/13 Mississippi State vs Tennessee-23.5
Sat 10/20 Mississippi State vs Middle Tennessee-23.5
Sat 10/27 Mississippi State at Alabama+2.5
Sat 11/3 Mississippi State vs Texas A&M-23.5
Sat 11/10 Mississippi State at LSU+2.5
Sat 11/17 Mississippi State vs Arkansas-23.5
Sat 11/24 Mississippi State at Ole Miss+2.5
Tue 1/1 Mississippi State vs Northwestern+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
Kentucky's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/2 Kentucky at Louisville+2.5
Sat 9/8 Kentucky vs Kent State-23.5
Sat 9/15 Kentucky vs Western Kentucky-23.5
Sat 9/22 Kentucky at Florida+2.5
Sat 9/29 Kentucky vs South Carolina-23.5
Sat 10/6 Kentucky vs Mississippi State-23.5
Sat 10/13 Kentucky at Arkansas+2.5
Sat 10/20 Kentucky vs Georgia-23.5
Sat 10/27 Kentucky at Missouri+2.5
Sat 11/3 Kentucky vs Vanderbilt-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/17 Kentucky vs Samford-23.5
Sat 11/24 Kentucky at Tennessee+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule
Important Stats (2011)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MSST.0139%30.441%2.7917535%196-0.18.0241%30.239%41%-0.2843.61.51.5
UK-.0934%2339%2.6512427%154-0.36.0241%26.443%36%038.922
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MSST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UK0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2011
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSST Offense1330.425.839.3%-0.181.5183571751964.456%42%41%35%2%.01
UK Defense1226.422.640.7%02 - - - - - 54%44%43%36%3%.02
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSST Defense1330.23141.3%-0.281.5 - - - - - 50%48%39%41%3%.02
UK Offense122331.734.3%-0.362142601241543.550%48%39%27%3%-.09

Additional Stats 2011
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Mississippi State1316:3318.539%50%5.543.61.51.500429.7
Kentucky1217:2314.229%39%4.938.92200029.7
Run Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSST Offense1356%41%39.5175.34.419.012.7973%0%0.77
UK Defense1254%43% - - - - .043.0584%0%0.72
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSST Defense1350%39% - - - - -.012.8665%0%0.75
UK Offense1250%39%35.7124.23.59-.022.6574%0%0.76

Pass Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSST Offense1342%35%15.226.8195.57.312.81913.021.233%26%.142%1.6
UK Defense1244%36% - - - - - - 15.021.233%29%.113%1.4
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSST Defense1348%41% - - - - - - 12.06133%31%.053%1.1
UK Offense1248%27%14.328154.35.510.81212-.151.236%25%.023%1.4

Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Mississippi State's 2012 Expected Record: -
Mississippi State's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State:    Kentucky: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State:    Kentucky:




Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Kentucky's 2012 Expected Record: -
Kentucky's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.8
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 31

Mississippi State's 2012 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Kentucky 29
Mississippi State 26

Projected Total Points: 55
Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.7
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.6

Kentucky's 2012 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/04Mississippi State3Kentucky24Kentucky -5.5Kentucky44.5Under
202210/15Kentucky27Mississippi State17Mississippi State -3.5Kentucky50.5Under
202110/30Mississippi State31Kentucky17Mississippi State -1Mississippi State47.0Over
202010/10Kentucky24Mississippi State2Kentucky -3.5Kentucky57.5Under
201909/21Mississippi State28Kentucky13Mississippi State -5.5Mississippi State48.0Under
201809/22Kentucky28Mississippi State7Mississippi State -9.5Kentucky56.0Under
201710/21Mississippi State45Kentucky7Mississippi State -14Mississippi State54.5Under
201610/22Kentucky40Mississippi State38Mississippi State -1.5Kentucky54.5Over
201510/24Mississippi State42Kentucky16Mississippi State -11.5Mississippi State59.0Under
201410/25Kentucky31Mississippi State45Mississippi State -13Mississippi State0
201310/24Mississippi State28Kentucky22Mississippi State -11Kentucky0
201210/06Kentucky14Mississippi State27
201110/29Kentucky16Mississippi State28
201010/30Mississippi State24Kentucky17
200910/31Kentucky24Mississippi State31
200811/01Mississippi State13Kentucky14
200710/27Kentucky14Mississippi State31
200610/28Mississippi State31Kentucky34
200510/29Kentucky13Mississippi State7
200410/30Mississippi State22Kentucky7
200310/25Kentucky42Mississippi State17
200211/02Mississippi State24Kentucky45
200111/03Mississippi State17Kentucky14
200011/03Kentucky17Mississippi State35
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kentucky1062 Overs
Mississippi State1457 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 108 - 35 - 13 - 2
Road Teams10 - 143 - 82 - 31 - 5

(#) MSST at (#) UK
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMSSTUK
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Mississippi State on Offense
CategoryCat
MSST OffUK Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Mississippi State Run Game
CategoryCat
MSST OffUK Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Mississippi State Pass Game
CategoryCat
MSST OffUK Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Kentucky on Offense
CategoryCatUK OffMSST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Kentucky Run Game
CategoryCat
UK OffMSST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Kentucky Pass Game
CategoryCatUK OffMSST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UK 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

MSST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Commonwealth Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 6
()
Mississippi State won at Kentucky this year (27-14)

Previous Matchups
Kentucky beat Mississippi State in 2023 (24-3)

  
MSST's OC ()
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MSST's DC ()
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Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UK's OC ()
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UK's DC ()
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