Auburn at Mississippi State - 2012 Matchup Preview
Auburn logo Auburn Tigers at Mississippi State BulldogsMississippi State logo
Saturday, September 8th 2012 (12:00 PM EDT)
Mississippi State 28 - Auburn: 10  (SEC)

 
Tigers (3 - 9) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 19 - 28 (11 - 34 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MSST 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: AUB: 15 - MSST: 35 (50)
AUB Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
AUB Travel: 200 miles
Bulldogs (8 - 5) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 23 (37 - 16 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Auburn's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Auburn vs Clemson-23.5
Sat 9/8 Auburn at Mississippi State+2.5
Sat 9/15 Auburn vs UL Monroe-23.5
Sat 9/22 Auburn vs LSU-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/6 Auburn vs Arkansas-23.5
Sat 10/13 Auburn at Ole Miss+2.5
Sat 10/20 Auburn at Vanderbilt+2.5
Sat 10/27 Auburn vs Texas A&M-23.5
Sat 11/3 Auburn vs New Mexico State-23.5
Sat 11/10 Auburn vs Georgia-23.5
Sat 11/17 Auburn vs Alabama A&M-23.5
Sat 11/24 Auburn at Alabama+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule
Mississippi State's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Mississippi State vs Jackson State-23.5
Sat 9/8 Mississippi State vs Auburn-23.5
Sat 9/15 Mississippi State at Troy+2.5
Sat 9/22 Mississippi State vs South Alabama-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/6 Mississippi State at Kentucky+2.5
Sat 10/13 Mississippi State vs Tennessee-23.5
Sat 10/20 Mississippi State vs Middle Tennessee-23.5
Sat 10/27 Mississippi State at Alabama+2.5
Sat 11/3 Mississippi State vs Texas A&M-23.5
Sat 11/10 Mississippi State at LSU+2.5
Sat 11/17 Mississippi State vs Arkansas-23.5
Sat 11/24 Mississippi State at Ole Miss+2.5
Tue 1/1 Mississippi State vs Northwestern+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
Important Stats (2012)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AUB.0341%18.743%2.8114835%157-0.12.1345%28.343%46%050.12.11.1
MSST.0344%29.542%2.8614443%238-0.08.0945%23.342%46%0.1939.81.32.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AUB#42 (.24)45% (40)48% (21)3.32 (23)16642% (67)2643.42 (110)#21 (.09)38% (20)38% (19)38% (34)3.35 (25)49.31.81.1
MSST#78 (.17)39% (109)40% (105)2.9 (93)13938% (104)2393.75 (86)#130 (.32)50% (133)47% (108)55% (134)4.32 (113)60.31.50.9



Overall Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AUB Offense1218.710.840.8%-0.122.1163051481574.155%43%43%35%2%.03
MSST Defense1323.316.444.8%0.192.5 - - - - - 52%47%42%46%3%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AUB Defense1228.333.845.3%01.1 - - - - - 53%45%43%46%1%.13
MSST Offense1329.536.944%-0.081.3203811442384.447%51%42%43%4%.03

Additional Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Auburn1230:0515.731%33%6.350.12.11.100228.3
Mississippi State1329:4420.435%62%4.739.81.32.500332.7
Run Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AUB Offense1255%43%36.5148.44.116.062.8171%0%0.81
MSST Defense1352%42% - - - - .073.0271%0%0.77
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AUB Defense1253%43% - - - - .083.165%0%0.82
MSST Offense1347%42%32.6143.54.418-.042.8659%0%0.65

Pass Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AUB Offense1243%35%12.321.4156.67.312.8815-.021.235%32%.142%1.2
MSST Defense1347%46% - - - - - - 19.14130%31%.23%1.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AUB Defense1245%46% - - - - - - 2.221.128%32%.31%1.6
MSST Offense1351%43%19.232.6237.87.312.42810.09133%35%.24%1.3

Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: NR
Auburn's Offense Rating: NR
Auburn's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Auburn's 2012 Expected Record: -
Auburn's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Auburn:    Mississippi State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Auburn:    Mississippi State:




Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Mississippi State's 2012 Expected Record: -
Mississippi State's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Auburn Scoring
Offense: 18.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 10.8
Defense: 28.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.8

Auburn's 2012 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 0 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Mississippi State 35
Auburn 15

Total Points: 50

Based on Last 4 Games
Mississippi State 38
Auburn 14

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
Mississippi State 32
Auburn 17

Total Points: 49
Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.9
Defense: 23.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.4

Mississippi State's 2012 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/28Auburn27Mississippi State13Auburn -6.5Auburn40.0Push
202211/05Mississippi State39Auburn33Mississippi State -12.5Auburn50.5Over
202111/13Auburn34Mississippi State43Auburn -6Mississippi State51.0Over
202012/12Mississippi State10Auburn24Auburn -5.5Auburn50.5Under
201909/28Auburn56Mississippi State23Auburn -7.5Auburn47.0Over
201810/06Mississippi State23Auburn9Auburn -3Mississippi State45.0Under
201709/30Auburn49Mississippi State10Auburn -7.5Auburn51.5Over
201610/08Mississippi State14Auburn38Mississippi State -1.5Auburn55.0Under
201509/26Auburn9Mississippi State17Auburn -3.5Mississippi State58.5Under
201410/11Mississippi State38Auburn23Auburn -3Mississippi State0
201309/14Auburn24Mississippi State20Auburn -6Mississippi State0
201209/08Mississippi State28Auburn10
201109/10Auburn41Mississippi State34
201009/09Mississippi State14Auburn17
200909/12Auburn49Mississippi State24
200809/13Mississippi State2Auburn3
200709/15Auburn14Mississippi State19
200609/09Mississippi State0Auburn34
200509/10Auburn28Mississippi State0
200409/11Mississippi State14Auburn43
200310/18Auburn45Mississippi State13
200209/19Mississippi State14Auburn42
200110/06Auburn16Mississippi State14
200010/06Mississippi State17Auburn10
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Mississippi State854 Overs
Auburn1664 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 105 - 63 - 52 - 1
Road Teams10 - 146 - 51 - 25 - 3

(#) AUB at (#) MSST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatAUBMSST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Auburn on Offense
CategoryCat
AUB OffMSST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Auburn Run Game
CategoryCat
AUB OffMSST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Auburn Pass Game
CategoryCat
AUB OffMSST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Mississippi State on Offense
CategoryCatMSST OffAUB Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Mississippi State Run Game
CategoryCat
MSST OffAUB Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Mississippi State Pass Game
CategoryCatMSST OffAUB Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MSST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

AUB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 75° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 2
()
Mississippi State won vs Auburn this year (28-10)

Previous Matchups
Auburn beat Mississippi State in 2023 (27-13)
Mississippi State beat Auburn in 2022 (39-33)

  
AUB's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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AUB's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MSST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MSST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD