Alabama at LSU - 2012 Matchup Preview
Alabama logo (#4)Alabama Crimson Tide at LSU TigersLSU logo
Saturday, November 3rd 2012 (8:00 PM EDT)
Alabama 21 - LSU: 17  (SEC)

 
Crimson Tide (13 - 1) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 39 - 11 (40 - 10 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
LSU coming off BYE
ALA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: ALA: 30 - LSU: 20 (50)
ALA Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
ALA Travel: 288 miles
Tigers (10 - 3) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 18 (38 - 18 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Alabama's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Alabama vs Michigan-23.5
Sat 9/8 Alabama vs Western Kentucky-23.5
Sat 9/15 Alabama at Arkansas+2.5
Sat 9/22 Alabama vs Florida Atlantic-23.5
Sat 9/29 Alabama vs Ole Miss-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/13 Alabama at Missouri+2.5
Sat 10/20 Alabama at Tennessee+2.5
Sat 10/27 Alabama vs Mississippi State-23.5
Sat 11/3 Alabama at LSU+2.5
Sat 11/10 Alabama vs Texas A&M-23.5
Sat 11/17 Alabama vs Western Carolina-23.5
Sat 11/24 Alabama vs Auburn-23.5
Sat 12/1 Alabama vs Georgia+2.5
Mon 1/7 Alabama vs Notre Dame-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule
LSU's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 LSU vs North Texas-23.5
Sat 9/8 LSU vs Washington-23.5
Sat 9/15 LSU vs Idaho-23.5
Sat 9/22 LSU at Auburn+2.5
Sat 9/29 LSU vs Towson-23.5
Sat 10/6 LSU at Florida+2.5
Sat 10/13 LSU vs South Carolina-23.5
Sat 10/20 LSU at Texas A&M+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/3 LSU vs Alabama-23.5
Sat 11/10 LSU vs Mississippi State-23.5
Sat 11/17 LSU vs Ole Miss-23.5
Fri 11/23 LSU at Arkansas+2.5
Mon 12/31 LSU vs Clemson+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for LSU's Schedule
Important Stats (2012)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA.249%38.751%3.7822743%2180.07-.0235%10.932%37%-0.1433.41.12.1
LSU.0542%29.842%3.0217439%201038%17.536%38%-0.5357.91.32.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA#44 (.23)45% (34)45% (52)2.75 (112)16945% (31)2224.71 (8)#8 (.05)37% (12)38% (15)37% (19)2.85 (5)66.31.42.1
LSU#30 (.25)45% (38)42% (89)2.92 (90)10847% (24)2913.99 (60)#92 (.21)41% (60)41% (54)41% (73)3.44 (30)45.71.21



Overall Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Offense1438.739.848.8%0.071.1224452272185.655%42%51%43%1%.2
LSU Defense1317.518.437.7%-0.532.5 - - - - - 44%55%36%38%4%
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Defense1410.91035.1%-0.142.1 - - - - - 47%52%32%37%2%-.02
LSU Offense1329.837.642.1%01.3193741742014.353%44%42%39%2%.05

Additional Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Alabama1435:1221.648%64%3.933.41.12.100233.2
LSU1330:3118.640%57%7.257.91.32.500532.8
Run Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Offense1455%51%40.7226.55.637.223.7876%0%0.76
LSU Defense1344%36% - - - - -.022.6270%0%0.76
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Defense1447%32% - - - - -.172.2455%0%0.63
LSU Offense1353%42%40.5173.74.329-.043.0269%0%0.57

Pass Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Offense1442%43%15.623.42189.313.9313.21.227%35%.371%1.5
LSU Defense1355%38% - - - - - - 18.03134%25%.14%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Defense1452%37% - - - - - - 18.121.336%25%.122%1.8
LSU Offense1344%39%1627.4200.57.312.5127.21.329%28%.162%1.5

Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: NR
Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Alabama's 2012 Expected Record: -
Alabama's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Alabama:    LSU: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Alabama:    LSU:




LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
LSU's Offense Rating: NR
LSU's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
LSU's 2012 Expected Record: -
LSU's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Alabama Scoring
Offense: 38.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 39.8
Defense: 10.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 10

Alabama's 2012 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 14
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 30
LSU 20

Total Points: 50

Based on Last 4 Games
Alabama 31
LSU 19

Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
Alabama 29
LSU 22

Total Points: 51
LSU Scoring
Offense: 29.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.6
Defense: 17.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.4

LSU's 2012 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 7 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/08Alabama20LSU9Alabama -10.5Alabama49.5Under
202411/09LSU13Alabama42Alabama -2.5Alabama57.5Under
202311/04Alabama42LSU28Alabama -3Alabama61.5Over
202211/05LSU32Alabama31Alabama -13.5LSU56.5Over
202111/06Alabama20LSU14Alabama -29.5LSU66.5Under
202012/05LSU17Alabama55Alabama -29Alabama64.5Over
201911/09Alabama41LSU46Alabama -5LSU65.5Over
201811/03LSU0Alabama29Alabama -14Alabama51.5Under
201711/04Alabama24LSU10Alabama -20.5LSU45.5Under
201611/05LSU0Alabama10Alabama -7Alabama46.0Under
201511/07Alabama30LSU16Alabama -7Alabama47.0Under
201411/08LSU13Alabama20Alabama -6Alabama0
201311/09Alabama38LSU17Alabama -9.5Alabama0
201211/03LSU17Alabama21
201111/05Alabama6LSU9
201101/09LSU0Alabama21
201011/06LSU24Alabama21
200911/07Alabama24LSU15
200811/08LSU21Alabama27
200711/03Alabama34LSU41
200611/11LSU28Alabama14
200511/12Alabama13LSU16
200411/13LSU26Alabama10
200311/15Alabama3LSU27
200111/03Alabama21LSU35
200011/03LSU30Alabama28
TeamWinsCoversO/U
LSU1144 Overs
Alabama1597 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 145 - 84 - 31 - 5
Road Teams14 - 128 - 55 - 13 - 4

(#) ALA at (#) LSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatALALSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Alabama on Offense
CategoryCat
ALA OffLSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Alabama Run Game
CategoryCat
ALA OffLSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Alabama Pass Game
CategoryCat
ALA OffLSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
LSU on Offense
CategoryCatLSU OffALA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
LSU Run Game
CategoryCat
LSU OffALA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
LSU Pass Game
CategoryCatLSU OffALA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
LSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

ALA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Tiger Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 10
()
Alabama won at LSU this year (21-17)

Previous Matchups
Alabama beat LSU last year (42-13)
Alabama beat LSU in 2023 (42-28)
LSU beat Alabama in 2022 (32-31)

  
ALA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ALA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

LSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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LSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD