Ball State at Toledo - 2012 Matchup Preview
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Tuesday, November 6th 2012 (8:00 PM EST)
Ball State 34 - Toledo: 27  (Mid-American)

 
Cardinals (9 - 4) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 32 (35 - 34 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
BALL coming off BYE
TOL coming off BYE
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: BALL: 31 - TOL: 33 (64)
BALL Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
BALL Travel: 137 miles
Rockets (9 - 4) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 28 (34 - 26 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Ball State's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/30 Ball State vs Eastern Michigan-23.5
Sat 9/8 Ball State at Clemson+2.5
Sat 9/15 Ball State at Indiana+2.5
Sat 9/22 Ball State vs South Florida-23.5
Sat 9/29 Ball State at Kent State+2.5
Sat 10/6 Ball State vs Northern Illinois-23.5
Sat 10/13 Ball State vs Western Michigan-23.5
Sat 10/20 Ball State at Central Michigan+2.5
Sat 10/27 Ball State at Army+2.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/6 Ball State at Toledo+2.5
Wed 11/14 Ball State vs Ohio-23.5
Fri 11/23 Ball State at Miami (OH)+2.5
Fri 12/21 Ball State vs UCF+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ball State's Schedule
Toledo's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Toledo at Arizona+2.5
Sat 9/8 Toledo at Wyoming+2.5
Sat 9/15 Toledo vs Bowling Green-23.5
Sat 9/22 Toledo vs Coastal Carolina-23.5
Sat 9/29 Toledo at Western Michigan+2.5
Sat 10/6 Toledo vs Central Michigan-23.5
Sat 10/13 Toledo at Eastern Michigan+2.5
Sat 10/20 Toledo vs Cincinnati-23.5
Sat 10/27 Toledo at Buffalo+2.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/6 Toledo vs Ball State-23.5
Wed 11/14 Toledo at Northern Illinois+2.5
Tue 11/20 Toledo vs Akron-23.5
Sat 12/15 Toledo vs Utah State+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Important Stats (2012)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BALL.1147%33.645%3.2720347%2540.1543%3242%42%047.21.31.1
TOL.144%31.546%3.3519340%2510.144%28.440%45%-0.08681.52.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BALL#98 (.14)42% (78)44% (70)3.06 (61)10341% (72)2453.94 (65)#128 (.32)46% (118)46% (103)47% (121)4.81 (133)45.31.21.3
TOL#111 (.11)41% (95)38% (120)2.66 (121)11144% (46)2273.55 (99)#20 (.09)40% (43)42% (60)38% (35)3.87 (79)46.71.31.3



Overall Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BALL Offense1333.635.347.5%01.3284572032544.950%47%45%47%1%.11
TOL Defense1328.426.343.8%-0.082.1 - - - - - 44%55%40%45%2%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BALL Defense133234.143.1%01.1 - - - - - 53%46%42%42%2%.15
TOL Offense1331.534.344.3%01.5234451932514.850%47%46%40%3%.1

Additional Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ball State1332:0627.947%60%4.747.21.31.100032.8
Toledo1331:5222.542%47%6.8681.52.100830.2
Run Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BALL Offense1350%45%41.8203.24.924.063.2774%0%0.69
TOL Defense1344%40% - - - - .053.1258%0%0.83
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BALL Defense1353%42% - - - - .113.472%0%0.82
TOL Offense1350%46%40.1193.24.821.083.3558%0%0.75

Pass Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BALL Offense1347%47%24.537.82546.710.42810.171.126%32%.221%1.6
TOL Defense1355%45% - - - - - - 17.161.131%35%.292%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BALL Defense1346%42% - - - - - - 7.191.329%34%.332%1.6
TOL Offense1347%40%20.934251.47.4121911.141.331%39%.353%1.4

Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: NR
Ball State's Offense Rating: NR
Ball State's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ball State's 2012 Expected Record: -
Ball State's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Ball State:    Toledo: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ball State:    Toledo:




Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Toledo's Offense Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Toledo's 2012 Expected Record: -
Toledo's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Ball State Scoring
Offense: 33.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 35.3
Defense: 32 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.1

Ball State's 2012 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 33
Ball State 31

Total Points: 64

Based on Last 4 Games
Toledo 33
Ball State 32

Total Points: 65

Based on Entire Season
Toledo 33
Ball State 31

Total Points: 64
Toledo Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.3
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.3

Toledo's 2012 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/22Toledo38Ball State9Toledo -29.5Ball State45.5Over
202310/14Ball State6Toledo13Toledo -17.5Ball State48.5Under
202211/08Toledo28Ball State21Toledo -11Ball State50.0Under
202109/25Ball State12Toledo22Toledo -4.5Toledo56.5Under
202011/28Toledo24Ball State27Toledo -9.5Ball State67.0Under
201910/19Ball State52Toledo14Ball State -3.5Ball State58.5Over
201810/31Toledo45Ball State13Toledo -19.5Toledo64.0Under
201710/26Ball State17Toledo58Toledo -26.5Toledo55.5Over
201611/16Toledo37Ball State19Toledo -19Ball State68.5Under
201510/03Ball State10Toledo24Toledo -9.5Toledo54.5Under
201409/20Toledo34Ball State23Toledo -9Toledo0
201309/28Ball State31Toledo24Ball State -1Ball State0
201211/06Toledo27Ball State34
201111/25Ball State28Toledo45
201010/23Toledo31Ball State24
200910/03Ball State30Toledo37
200810/04Toledo0Ball State31
200711/13Ball State41Toledo20
200611/14Toledo17Ball State20
200510/15Ball State14Toledo34
200410/02Toledo52Ball State14
200310/25Ball State38Toledo14
200210/12Toledo37Ball State17
200110/20Ball State24Toledo20
200011/10Toledo31Ball State3
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Toledo1653 Overs
Ball State977 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 115 - 74 - 41 - 3
Road Teams11 - 147 - 53 - 14 - 4

(#) BALL at (#) TOL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBALLTOL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Ball State on Offense
CategoryCat
BALL OffTOL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ball State Run Game
CategoryCat
BALL OffTOL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Ball State Pass Game
CategoryCat
BALL OffTOL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Toledo on Offense
CategoryCatTOL OffBALL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Toledo Run Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffBALL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Toledo Pass Game
CategoryCatTOL OffBALL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TOL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

BALL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Glass Bowl
Conditions:
Temp: 31°
Rematch from Week 11
()
Ball State won at Toledo this year (34-27)

Previous Matchups
Toledo beat Ball State in 2023 (13-6)
Toledo beat Ball State in 2022 (28-21)

  
BALL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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BALL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TOL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TOL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD