Toledo at Western Michigan - 2012 Matchup Preview
Toledo logo Toledo Rockets at Western Michigan BroncosWestern Michigan logo
Saturday, September 29th 2012 (7:00 PM EDT)
Toledo 37 - Western Michigan: 17  (Mid-American)

 
Rockets (9 - 4) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 28 (32 - 28 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
WMU 2nd straight Home Game
WMU is playing their 5th straight game
TOL is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: TOL: 29 - WMU: 31 (60)
TOL Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
TOL Travel: 111 miles
Broncos (4 - 8) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 30 (35 - 29 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Toledo's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Toledo at Arizona+2.5
Sat 9/8 Toledo at Wyoming+2.5
Sat 9/15 Toledo vs Bowling Green-23.5
Sat 9/22 Toledo vs Coastal Carolina-23.5
Sat 9/29 Toledo at Western Michigan+2.5
Sat 10/6 Toledo vs Central Michigan-23.5
Sat 10/13 Toledo at Eastern Michigan+2.5
Sat 10/20 Toledo vs Cincinnati-23.5
Sat 10/27 Toledo at Buffalo+2.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/6 Toledo vs Ball State-23.5
Wed 11/14 Toledo at Northern Illinois+2.5
Tue 11/20 Toledo vs Akron-23.5
Sat 12/15 Toledo vs Utah State+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Western Michigan's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Western Michigan at Illinois+2.5
Sat 9/8 Western Michigan vs Eastern Illinois-23.5
Sat 9/15 Western Michigan at Minnesota+2.5
Sat 9/22 Western Michigan vs UConn-23.5
Sat 9/29 Western Michigan vs Toledo-23.5
Sat 10/6 Western Michigan vs Massachusetts-23.5
Sat 10/13 Western Michigan at Ball State+2.5
Sat 10/20 Western Michigan at Kent State+2.5
Sat 10/27 Western Michigan vs Northern Illinois-23.5
Sat 11/3 Western Michigan at Central Michigan+2.5
Sat 11/10 Western Michigan at Buffalo+2.5
Sat 11/17 Western Michigan vs Eastern Michigan-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Michigan's Schedule
Important Stats (2012)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL.144%31.546%3.3519340%2510.144%28.440%45%-0.08681.52.1
WMU.0544%29.344%3.115044%290-0.24.0339%29.737%38%-0.1850.92.61.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL#111 (.11)41% (95)38% (120)2.66 (121)11144% (46)2273.55 (99)#20 (.09)40% (43)42% (60)38% (35)3.87 (79)46.71.31.3
WMU#43 (.24)45% (33)45% (59)3.05 (62)18446% (27)1874.11 (49)#122 (.29)49% (128)48% (115)51% (132)4.38 (119)39.211.6



Overall Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Offense1331.531.544.3%01.5234451932514.850%47%46%40%3%.1
WMU Defense1229.728.838.5%-0.181.4 - - - - - 50%48%37%38%2%.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Defense1328.428.343.8%-0.082.1 - - - - - 44%55%40%45%2%.1
WMU Offense1229.334.744.5%-0.242.6244391502904.440%59%44%44%2%.05

Additional Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Toledo1331:5222.542%47%6.8681.52.100830.2
Western Michigan1229:0923.746%50%6.350.92.61.400030.7
Run Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Offense1350%46%40.1193.24.821.083.3558%0%0.75
WMU Defense1250%37% - - - - -.052.6660%0%0.74
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Defense1344%40% - - - - .053.1258%0%0.83
WMU Offense1240%44%33.7149.54.417.053.171%0%0.71

Pass Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Offense1347%40%20.934251.47.4121911.141.331%39%.353%1.4
WMU Defense1248%38% - - - - - - 8.131.433%30%.192%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Defense1355%45% - - - - - - 17.161.131%35%.292%1.5
WMU Offense1259%44%25.342.6289.86.811.42821.07129%33%.192%1.5

Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: NR
Toledo's Offense Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Toledo's 2012 Expected Record: -
Toledo's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Toledo:    Western Michigan: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo:    Western Michigan:




Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Western Michigan's 2012 Expected Record: -
Western Michigan's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Toledo Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.5
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.3

Toledo's 2012 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Western Michigan 31
Toledo 29

Total Points: 60

Based on Last 4 Games
Western Michigan 32
Toledo 27

Total Points: 60

Based on Entire Season
Toledo 31
Western Michigan 30

Total Points: 61
Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 29.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.7
Defense: 29.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.8

Western Michigan's 2012 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/20Western Michigan14Toledo13Toledo -13.5Western Michigan48.5Under
202309/23Toledo49Western Michigan31Toledo -21.5Western Michigan52.5Over
202211/25Western Michigan20Toledo14Toledo -8.5Western Michigan50.5Under
202110/23Toledo34Western Michigan15Western Michigan -1.5Toledo54.5Under
202011/11Western Michigan41Toledo38Western Michigan -1.5Western Michigan58.5Over
201910/05Toledo31Western Michigan24Toledo -1.5Toledo74.0Under
201810/25Western Michigan24Toledo51Western Michigan -4Toledo69.0Over
201711/24Toledo37Western Michigan10Toledo -12Toledo62.0Under
201611/25Western Michigan55Toledo35Western Michigan -9.5Western Michigan71.5Over
201511/27Toledo30Western Michigan35Toledo -7Western Michigan58.0Over
201410/04Western Michigan19Toledo20Toledo -10Western Michigan0
201310/05Toledo47Western Michigan20Toledo -19Toledo0
201209/29Western Michigan17Toledo37
201111/08Toledo66Western Michigan63
201009/18Western Michigan24Toledo37
200910/10Toledo26Western Michigan58
200811/15Western Michigan27Toledo17
200709/29Toledo28Western Michigan42
200609/09Western Michigan31Toledo10
200509/10Toledo56Western Michigan23
200410/09Western Michigan33Toledo59
200311/22Toledo34Western Michigan17
200111/06Toledo41Western Michigan35
200009/22Western Michigan21Toledo14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Western Michigan1075 Overs
Toledo1455 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams16 - 89 - 35 - 34 - 0
Road Teams8 - 163 - 90 - 43 - 5

(#) TOL at (#) WMU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTOLWMU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Toledo on Offense
CategoryCat
TOL OffWMU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Toledo Run Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffWMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Toledo Pass Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffWMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Western Michigan on Offense
CategoryCatWMU OffTOL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Western Michigan Run Game
CategoryCat
WMU OffTOL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Western Michigan Pass Game
CategoryCatWMU OffTOL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
WMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

TOL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Waldo Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 66° - Wind: 10 mph
Rematch from Week 5
()
Toledo won at Western Michigan this year (37-17)

Previous Matchups
Toledo beat Western Michigan in 2023 (49-31)
Western Michigan beat Toledo in 2022 (20-14)

  
TOL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Toledo's Full Roster

TOL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

WMU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Western Michigan's Full Roster

WMU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD