Toledo at Arizona - 2012 Matchup Preview
Toledo logo Toledo Rockets at Arizona Wildcats(#18)Arizona logo
Saturday, September 1st 2012 (10:30 PM EDT)
Arizona 24 - Toledo: 17

 
Rockets (9 - 4) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 28 (32 - 28 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Temp: 91.8° (34% Hum)
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: TOL: 37 - ARIZ: 34 (71)
TOL Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
TOL Travel: 1635 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Wildcats (8 - 5) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 38 - 35 (44 - 27 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Toledo's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Toledo at Arizona+2.5
Sat 9/8 Toledo at Wyoming+2.5
Sat 9/15 Toledo vs Bowling Green-23.5
Sat 9/22 Toledo vs Coastal Carolina-23.5
Sat 9/29 Toledo at Western Michigan+2.5
Sat 10/6 Toledo vs Central Michigan-23.5
Sat 10/13 Toledo at Eastern Michigan+2.5
Sat 10/20 Toledo vs Cincinnati-23.5
Sat 10/27 Toledo at Buffalo+2.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/6 Toledo vs Ball State-23.5
Wed 11/14 Toledo at Northern Illinois+2.5
Tue 11/20 Toledo vs Akron-23.5
Sat 12/15 Toledo vs Utah State+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Arizona's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Arizona vs Toledo-23.5
Sat 9/8 Arizona vs Oklahoma State-23.5
Sat 9/15 Arizona vs South Carolina State-23.5
Sat 9/22 Arizona at Oregon+2.5
Sat 9/29 Arizona vs Oregon State-23.5
Sat 10/6 Arizona at Stanford+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/20 Arizona vs Washington-23.5
Sat 10/27 Arizona vs USC-23.5
Sat 11/3 Arizona at UCLA+2.5
Sat 11/10 Arizona vs Colorado-23.5
Sat 11/17 Arizona at Utah+2.5
Fri 11/23 Arizona vs Arizona State-23.5
Sat 12/15 Arizona vs Nevada-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona's Schedule
Important Stats (2012)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL.144%31.546%3.3519340%2510.144%28.440%45%-0.08681.52.1
ARIZ.1347%38.248%3.322844%298-0.13.1246%35.346%43%-0.1555.12.22.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL#111 (.11)41% (95)38% (120)2.66 (121)11144% (46)2273.55 (99)#20 (.09)40% (43)42% (60)38% (35)3.87 (79)46.71.31.3
ARIZ#93 (.15)39% (117)37% (126)2.64 (123)10740% (91)2483.53 (101)#109 (.24)45% (100)45% (90)44% (109)4.55 (125)57.61.71.2



Overall Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Offense1331.531.544.3%01.5234451932514.850%47%46%40%3%.1
ARIZ Defense1335.327.345.6%-0.152.1 - - - - - 51%48%46%43%2%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Defense1328.428.343.8%-0.082.1 - - - - - 44%55%40%45%2%.1
ARIZ Offense1338.244.446.5%-0.132.2295262282985.446%53%48%44%3%.13

Additional Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Toledo1331:5222.542%47%6.8681.52.100830.2
Arizona1327:0329.244%48%6.455.12.22.100229.6
Run Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Offense1350%46%40.1193.24.821.083.3558%0%0.75
ARIZ Defense1351%46% - - - - .063.2466%0%0.67
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Defense1344%40% - - - - .053.1258%0%0.83
ARIZ Offense1346%48%41.8227.85.433.113.378%0%0.76

Pass Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Offense1347%40%20.934251.47.4121911.141.331%39%.353%1.4
ARIZ Defense1348%43% - - - - - - 12.21.330%39%.382%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Defense1355%45% - - - - - - 17.161.131%35%.292%1.5
ARIZ Offense1353%44%25.141.4298.47.211.93015.161.229%41%.363%1.6

Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: NR
Toledo's Offense Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Toledo's 2012 Expected Record: -
Toledo's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Toledo:    Arizona: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo:    Arizona:




Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Arizona's Offense Rating: NR
Arizona's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arizona's 2012 Expected Record: -
Arizona's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Toledo Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.5
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.3

Toledo's 2012 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 37
Arizona 34

Total Points: 71

Based on Last 4 Games
Toledo 43
Arizona 32

Total Points: 75

Based on Entire Season
Arizona 35
Toledo 31

Total Points: 66
Arizona Scoring
Offense: 38.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 44.4
Defense: 35.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3

Arizona's 2012 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 6 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201209/01Arizona24Toledo17
201009/03Toledo2Arizona41
200809/06Arizona41Toledo16
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arizona300 Overs
Toledo000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 10 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams1 - 20 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#) TOL at (#) ARIZ
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTOLARIZ
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Toledo on Offense
CategoryCat
TOL OffARIZ Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Toledo Run Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffARIZ Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Toledo Pass Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffARIZ Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Arizona on Offense
CategoryCatARIZ OffTOL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arizona Run Game
CategoryCat
ARIZ OffTOL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Arizona Pass Game
CategoryCatARIZ OffTOL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ARIZ 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

TOL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Arizona Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 92° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 1
()
Arizona won vs Toledo this year (24-17)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
TOL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Toledo's Full Roster

TOL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ARIZ's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Arizona's Full Roster

ARIZ's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD