North Carolina at Duke - 2010 Matchup Preview
North Carolina logo North Carolina Tar Heels at Duke Blue DevilsDuke logo
Saturday, November 27th 2010 (3:30 PM EST)
North Carolina 24 - Duke: 19  (ACC)

 
Tar Heels (8 - 5) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 23 (26 - 22 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
DUKE is playing their 7th straight game
UNC is playing their 11th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: UNC: 31 - DUKE: 28 (59)
UNC Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
UNC Travel: 9 miles
Blue Devils (3 - 9) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 35 (25 - 35 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
North Carolina's 2010 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 North Carolina vs LSU-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/18 North Carolina vs Georgia Tech-23.5
Sat 9/25 North Carolina at Rutgers+2.5
Sat 10/2 North Carolina vs East Carolina-23.5
Sat 10/9 North Carolina vs Clemson-23.5
Sat 10/16 North Carolina at Virginia+2.5
Sat 10/23 North Carolina at Miami+2.5
Sat 10/30 North Carolina vs William & Mary-23.5
Sat 11/6 North Carolina at Florida State+2.5
Sat 11/13 North Carolina vs Virginia Tech-23.5
Sat 11/20 North Carolina vs NC State-23.5
Sat 11/27 North Carolina at Duke+2.5
Thu 12/30 North Carolina vs Tennessee+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Duke's 2010 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Duke vs Elon-23.5
Sat 9/11 Duke at Wake Forest+2.5
Sat 9/18 Duke vs Alabama-23.5
Sat 9/25 Duke vs Army-23.5
Sat 10/2 Duke at Maryland+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 Duke vs Miami-23.5
Sat 10/23 Duke at Virginia Tech+2.5
Sat 10/30 Duke at Navy+2.5
Sat 11/6 Duke vs Virginia-23.5
Sat 11/13 Duke vs Boston College-23.5
Sat 11/20 Duke at Georgia Tech+2.5
Sat 11/27 Duke vs North Carolina-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Important Stats (2010)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNC.0942%25.340%2.6712642%2840.0139%23.239%38%058.21.81.8
DUKE.0342%25.336%2.4211043%285-0.18.1241%35.442%39%-0.3140.62.31.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNC#65 (.2)42% (80)47% (34)3.32 (22)17537% (114)2164.08 (52)#70 (.17)41% (53)44% (82)37% (26)4.01 (90)59.81.21.2
DUKE#109 (.12)39% (116)35% (129)2.47 (131)8942% (69)2263.7 (90)#10 (.06)38% (16)41% (51)34% (5)3.19 (17)48.91.42



Overall Stats 2010
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNC Offense1325.326.442.2%01.8193901262843.745%52%40%42%2%.09
DUKE Defense1235.43541.4%-0.311.4 - - - - - 60%39%42%39%3%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNC Defense1323.22239.5%01.8 - - - - - 47%51%39%38%3%.01
DUKE Offense1225.325.441.8%-0.182.3203811102853.538%59%36%43%3%.03

Additional Stats 2010
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
North Carolina1319:2118.939%61%7.658.21.81.800227.6
Duke1217:3019.940%47%4.640.62.31.400030.9
Run Game Stats (2010)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNC Offense1345%40%33.8125.73.718-.042.6761%0%0.66
DUKE Defense1260%42% - - - - .073.1783%0%0.76
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNC Defense1347%39% - - - - -.052.8778%0%0.66
DUKE Offense1238%36%31.91103.519-.152.4258%0%0.65

Pass Game Stats (2010)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNC Offense1352%42%21.832.7284.48.713.1199.251.332%29%.232%1.5
DUKE Defense1239%39% - - - - - - 8.211.632%32%.353%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNC Defense1351%38% - - - - - - 19.071.233%31%.183%1.3
DUKE Offense1259%43%24.640.8285.1711.61419.161.233%33%.233%1.5

North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2010 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
North Carolina's 2010 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2010 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
North Carolina:    Duke: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Carolina:    Duke:




Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Duke's Offense Rating: NR
Duke's Defense Rating: NR
2010 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Duke's 2010 Expected Record: -
Duke's 2010 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.4
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 22

North Carolina's 2010 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
North Carolina 31
Duke 28

Total Points: 59

Based on Last 4 Games
Duke 32
North Carolina 32

Total Points: 64

Based on Entire Season
North Carolina 30
Duke 24

Total Points: 54
Duke Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.4
Defense: 35.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 35

Duke's 2010 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/22North Carolina25Duke32Duke -6.5Duke50.5Over
202409/28Duke21North Carolina20North Carolina -1Duke55.5Under
202311/11North Carolina47Duke45North Carolina -9.5Duke52.5Over
202210/15Duke35North Carolina38North Carolina -7Duke70.0Over
202110/02North Carolina38Duke7North Carolina -19.5North Carolina74.0Under
202011/07Duke24North Carolina56North Carolina -11.5North Carolina63.0Over
201910/26North Carolina20Duke17North Carolina -2.5North Carolina52.5Under
201811/10Duke42North Carolina35Duke -7.5North Carolina58.5Over
201709/23North Carolina17Duke27North Carolina -1.5Duke61.0Under
201611/10Duke28North Carolina27North Carolina -10.5Duke66.5Under
201511/07North Carolina66Duke31North Carolina -8North Carolina59.5Over
201411/20Duke20North Carolina45Duke -6North Carolina0
201311/30North Carolina25Duke27North Carolina -5.5Duke0
201210/20Duke33North Carolina30
201111/26North Carolina37Duke21
201011/27Duke19North Carolina24
200911/07North Carolina19Duke6
200811/29Duke20North Carolina28
200711/24North Carolina20Duke14
200611/25Duke44North Carolina45
200511/19North Carolina24Duke21
200411/20Duke17North Carolina40
200311/22North Carolina22Duke30
200111/17North Carolina52Duke17
200011/17Duke21North Carolina59
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Duke876 Overs
North Carolina1765 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 126 - 73 - 53 - 2
Road Teams12 - 137 - 62 - 35 - 3

(#) UNC at (#) DUKE
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUNCDUKE
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
North Carolina on Offense
CategoryCat
UNC OffDUKE Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
North Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
UNC OffDUKE Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
North Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCat
UNC OffDUKE Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Duke on Offense
CategoryCatDUKE OffUNC Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Duke Run Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffUNC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Duke Pass Game
CategoryCatDUKE OffUNC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
DUKE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'10 Profile: Remains Poor G5

UNC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'10 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wallace Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 53°
Rematch from Week 13
()
North Carolina won at Duke this year (24-19)

Previous Matchups
Duke beat North Carolina last year (21-20)
North Carolina beat Duke in 2023 (47-45)
North Carolina beat Duke in 2022 (38-35)

  
UNC's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UNC's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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DUKE's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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DUKE's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD