Duke at Navy - 2010 Matchup Preview
Duke logo Duke Blue Devils at Navy MidshipmenNavy logo
Saturday, October 30th 2010 (3:30 PM EDT)
Duke 34 - Navy: 31

 
Blue Devils (3 - 9) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 35 (25 - 36 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 12.7 MPH
DUKE 2nd straight Road Game
NAVY 3rd straight Home Game
NAVY is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: DUKE: 20 - NAVY: 31 (51)
DUKE Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
DUKE Travel: 246 miles
Midshipmen (9 - 4) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 23 (29 - 24 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Duke's 2010 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Duke vs Elon-23.5
Sat 9/11 Duke at Wake Forest+2.5
Sat 9/18 Duke vs Alabama-23.5
Sat 9/25 Duke vs Army-23.5
Sat 10/2 Duke at Maryland+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 Duke vs Miami-23.5
Sat 10/23 Duke at Virginia Tech+2.5
Sat 10/30 Duke at Navy+2.5
Sat 11/6 Duke vs Virginia-23.5
Sat 11/13 Duke vs Boston College-23.5
Sat 11/20 Duke at Georgia Tech+2.5
Sat 11/27 Duke vs North Carolina-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Navy's 2010 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/6 Navy vs Maryland+2.5
Sat 9/11 Navy vs Georgia Southern-23.5
Sat 9/18 Navy at Louisiana Tech+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/2 Navy at Air Force+2.5
Sat 10/9 Navy at Wake Forest+2.5
Sat 10/16 Navy vs SMU-23.5
Sat 10/23 Navy vs Notre Dame-23.5
Sat 10/30 Navy vs Duke-23.5
Sat 11/6 Navy at East Carolina+2.5
Sat 11/13 Navy vs Central Michigan-23.5
Sat 11/20 Navy vs Arkansas State-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/11 Navy vs Army+2.5
Thu 12/23 Navy at San Diego State+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Navy's Schedule
Important Stats (2010)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE.0342%25.336%2.4211043%285-0.18.1241%35.442%39%-0.3140.62.31.4
NAVY.1245%29.745%3.3128542%1250.1345%23.341%49%027.61.21.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE#109 (.12)39% (116)35% (129)2.47 (131)8942% (69)2263.7 (90)#10 (.06)38% (16)41% (51)34% (5)3.19 (17)48.91.42
NAVY#12 (.31)44% (51)46% (43)3.27 (32)23139% (101)1174.39 (26)#28 (.1)41% (61)46% (95)37% (24)3.48 (35)41.91.11.8



Overall Stats 2010
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Offense1225.32541.8%-0.182.3203811102853.538%59%36%43%3%.03
NAVY Defense1323.323.645.3%01.8 - - - - - 52%46%41%49%3%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Defense1235.43641.4%-0.311.4 - - - - - 60%39%42%39%3%.12
NAVY Offense1329.72944.9%01.2204052851255.480%19%45%42%1%.12

Additional Stats 2010
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Duke1217:3019.940%47%4.640.62.31.400030.9
Navy1319:1120.452%65%3.427.61.21.800030.5
Run Game Stats (2010)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Offense1238%36%31.91103.519-.152.4258%0%0.65
NAVY Defense1352%41% - - - - .033.1773%0%0.79
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Defense1260%42% - - - - .073.1783%0%0.76
NAVY Offense1380%45%53.2284.85.437.13.3172%0%0.79

Pass Game Stats (2010)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Offense1259%43%24.640.8285.1711.61419.161.233%33%.233%1.5
NAVY Defense1346%49% - - - - - - 7.251.130%33%.223%1.4
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Defense1239%39% - - - - - - 8.211.632%32%.353%1.8
NAVY Offense1319%42%6.512.1125.110.419.4136.241.725%36%.421%1.8

Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: NR
Duke's Offense Rating: NR
Duke's Defense Rating: NR
2010 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Duke's 2010 Expected Record: -
Duke's 2010 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Duke:    Navy: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke:    Navy:




Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Navy's Offense Rating: NR
Navy's Defense Rating: NR
2010 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Navy's 2010 Expected Record: -
Navy's 2010 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Duke Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 25
Defense: 35.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 36

Duke's 2010 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Navy 31
Duke 20

Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
Navy 29
Duke 17

Total Points: 46

Based on Entire Season
Navy 33
Duke 24

Total Points: 57
Navy Scoring
Offense: 29.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 23.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.6

Navy's 2010 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201310/12Duke35Navy7Duke -3.5Duke0
201010/30Navy31Duke34
200809/13Duke41Navy31
200709/22Navy46Duke43
200611/04Duke13Navy38
200510/01Duke21Navy28
200409/04Navy27Duke12
200209/28Navy17Duke43
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Navy400 Overs
Duke410 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 41 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams4 - 40 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#) DUKE at (#) NAVY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatDUKENAVY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Duke on Offense
CategoryCat
DUKE OffNAVY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Duke Run Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffNAVY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Duke Pass Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffNAVY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Navy on Offense
CategoryCatNAVY OffDUKE Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Navy Run Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffDUKE Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Navy Pass Game
CategoryCatNAVY OffDUKE Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NAVY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'10 Profile: Remains Poor G5

DUKE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'10 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 57° - Wind: 13 mph
Rematch from Week 9
()
Duke won at Navy this year (34-31)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
DUKE's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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DUKE's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

NAVY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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NAVY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD