UCF at East Carolina - 2007 Matchup Preview
UCF logo UCF Knights at East Carolina PiratesEast Carolina logo
Saturday, October 6th 2007 (7:30 PM EDT)
East Carolina 52 - UCF: 38  (Conference USA)

 
Knights (10 - 4) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 36 - 27 (29 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ECU is playing their 6th straight game
UCF is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: UCF: 28 - ECU: 26 (54)
UCF Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
UCF Travel: 532 miles
Pirates (8 - 5) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 30 (35 - 27 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UCF's 2007 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 UCF at NC State+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/15 UCF vs Texas-23.5
Sat 9/22 UCF vs Memphis-23.5
Sat 9/29 UCF vs Louisiana-23.5
Sat 10/6 UCF at East Carolina+2.5
Sat 10/13 UCF at South Florida+2.5
Sat 10/20 UCF vs Tulsa-23.5
Sun 10/28 UCF at Southern Miss+2.5
Sat 11/3 UCF vs Marshall-23.5
Sat 11/10 UCF at UAB+2.5
Sat 11/17 UCF at SMU+2.5
Sat 11/24 UCF vs UTEP-23.5
Sat 12/1 UCF vs Tulsa-23.5
Sat 12/29 UCF at Mississippi State+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
East Carolina's 2007 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 East Carolina at Virginia Tech+2.5
Sat 9/8 East Carolina vs North Carolina-23.5
Sat 9/15 East Carolina vs Southern Miss-23.5
Sat 9/22 East Carolina at West Virginia+2.5
Sat 9/29 East Carolina at Houston+2.5
Sat 10/6 East Carolina vs UCF-23.5
Sat 10/13 East Carolina at UTEP+2.5
Sat 10/20 East Carolina vs NC State-23.5
Sat 10/27 East Carolina vs UAB-23.5
Sat 11/3 East Carolina at Memphis+2.5
Sat 11/10 East Carolina at Marshall+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/24 East Carolina vs Tulane-23.5
Sun 12/23 East Carolina vs Boise State-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule
Important Stats (2007)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF.0544%35.943%2.8223543%188-0.07-40%26.642%36%047.51.92
ECU39%3138%2.9418338%216-0.08.0943%30.440%43%-0.1758.81.12.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF#58 (.21)46% (28)52% (8)3.62 (2)24838% (103)2003.75 (86)#63 (.16)40% (45)37% (12)42% (84)4.37 (118)54.41.60.9
ECU#49 (.22)43% (62)44% (71)3.07 (57)14743% (54)2533.79 (83)#64 (.16)40% (40)37% (11)43% (86)3.85 (76)612.21.6



Overall Stats 2007
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Offense1435.929.444.4%-0.071.9214122351884.961%36%43%43%2%.05
ECU Defense1330.426.743%-0.172.6 - - - - - 42%56%40%43%1%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Defense1426.63140.4%02 - - - - - 42%56%42%36%3%0
ECU Offense133134.939.4%-0.081.1193851832164.950%48%38%38%2%

Additional Stats 2007
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UCF1418:4720.939%61%5.347.51.9200432.8
East Carolina1317:3918.839%33%7.958.81.12.600035.8
Run Game Stats (2007)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Offense1461%43%47.9234.84.941-.012.8258%0%0.64
ECU Defense1342%40% - - - - -.032.4768%0%0.79
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Defense1442%42% - - - - -.052.5958%0%0.69
ECU Offense1350%38%37.2182.94.929-2.9461%0%0.74

Pass Game Stats (2007)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Offense1436%43%14.124.7187.97.613.31512.21.229%37%.272%1.3
ECU Defense1356%43% - - - - - - 17.191.234%34%.31%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Defense1456%36% - - - - - - 24.051.235%33%.223%1.5
ECU Offense1348%38%17.230.4215.97.112.5219.031.132%28%.142%1.5

UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2007 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UCF's 2007 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2007 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
UCF:    East Carolina: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UCF:    East Carolina:




East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
East Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
East Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2007 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
East Carolina's 2007 Expected Record: -
East Carolina's 2007 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


UCF Scoring
Offense: 35.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.4
Defense: 26.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 31

UCF's 2007 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 14
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UCF 28
East Carolina 26

Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
UCF 25
East Carolina 21

Total Points: 46

Based on Entire Season
UCF 31
East Carolina 31

Total Points: 62
East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.9
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.7

East Carolina's 2007 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202210/22East Carolina34UCF13UCF -5.5East Carolina63.0Under
202110/09UCF20East Carolina16UCF -10East Carolina65.0Under
202009/26East Carolina28UCF51UCF -28East Carolina78.0Over
201910/19UCF41East Carolina28UCF -34.5East Carolina65.5Over
201810/20East Carolina10UCF37UCF -21.5UCF65.5Under
201710/14UCF63East Carolina21UCF -35UCF70.0Over
201610/01East Carolina29UCF47East Carolina -5.5UCF61.0Over
201511/19UCF7East Carolina44East Carolina -17East Carolina51.5Under
201412/04East Carolina30UCF32East Carolina -6.5UCF0
201210/04UCF40East Carolina20
201111/19East Carolina38UCF31
201010/30UCF49East Carolina35
200909/26East Carolina19UCF14
200811/02UCF10East Carolina13
200710/06East Carolina52UCF38
200611/04UCF10East Carolina23
200510/29East Carolina20UCF30
TeamWinsCoversO/U
East Carolina754 Overs
UCF1044 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 83 - 61 - 42 - 2
Road Teams8 - 96 - 32 - 24 - 1

(#) UCF at (#) ECU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUCFECU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
UCF on Offense
CategoryCat
UCF OffECU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCF Run Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffECU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UCF Pass Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffECU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
East Carolina on Offense
CategoryCatECU OffUCF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
East Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
ECU OffUCF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
East Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCatECU OffUCF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ECU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'07 Profile: Remains Poor G5

UCF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'07 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 6
()
East Carolina won vs UCF this year (52-38)

Previous Matchups
East Carolina beat UCF in 2022 (34-13)

  
UCF's OC ()
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Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UCF's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ECU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ECU's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD