UCF at SMU - 2007 Matchup Preview
UCF logo UCF Knights at SMU MustangsSMU logo
Saturday, November 17th 2007 (3:00 PM EST)
UCF 49 - SMU: 20  (Conference USA)

 
Knights (10 - 4) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 36 - 27 (29 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UCF 2nd straight Road Game
SMU 2nd straight Home Game
SMU is playing their 6th straight game
UCF is playing their 10th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: UCF: 39 - SMU: 29 (68)
UCF Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
UCF Travel: 970 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Mustangs (1 - 11) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 40 (33 - 44 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UCF's 2007 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 UCF at NC State+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/15 UCF vs Texas-23.5
Sat 9/22 UCF vs Memphis-23.5
Sat 9/29 UCF vs Louisiana-23.5
Sat 10/6 UCF at East Carolina+2.5
Sat 10/13 UCF at South Florida+2.5
Sat 10/20 UCF vs Tulsa-23.5
Sun 10/28 UCF at Southern Miss+2.5
Sat 11/3 UCF vs Marshall-23.5
Sat 11/10 UCF at UAB+2.5
Sat 11/17 UCF at SMU+2.5
Sat 11/24 UCF vs UTEP-23.5
Sat 12/1 UCF vs Tulsa-23.5
Sat 12/29 UCF at Mississippi State+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
SMU's 2007 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/3 SMU vs Texas Tech-23.5
Sat 9/8 SMU vs North Texas-23.5
Sat 9/15 SMU at Arkansas State+2.5
Sat 9/22 SMU at TCU+2.5
Sat 9/29 SMU vs UTEP-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/13 SMU at Southern Miss+2.5
Sat 10/20 SMU vs Tulane-23.5
Sat 10/27 SMU at Tulsa+2.5
Sun 11/4 SMU at Houston+2.5
Sat 11/10 SMU vs Rice-23.5
Sat 11/17 SMU vs UCF-23.5
Sat 11/24 SMU at Memphis+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for SMU's Schedule
Important Stats (2007)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF.0544%35.943%2.8223543%188-0.07-40%26.642%36%047.51.92
SMU.0245%28.343%2.8717145%2690.1143%39.843%43%068.22.91.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF#58 (.21)46% (28)52% (8)3.62 (2)24838% (103)2003.75 (86)#63 (.16)40% (45)37% (12)42% (84)4.37 (118)54.41.60.9
SMU#38 (.24)44% (53)44% (62)2.97 (83)16944% (45)2634.41 (25)#5 (.03)37% (9)39% (35)35% (10)3.09 (13)77.71.71.6



Overall Stats 2007
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Offense1435.929.444.4%-0.071.9214122351884.961%36%43%43%2%.05
SMU Defense1239.843.543.4%01.8 - - - - - 50%49%43%43%2%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Defense1426.63140.4%02 - - - - - 42%56%42%36%3%0
SMU Offense1228.332.544.7%02.9234231712694.450%49%43%45%2%.02

Additional Stats 2007
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UCF1418:4720.939%61%5.347.51.9200432.8
SMU1217:5223.443%38%7.668.22.91.800229.8
Run Game Stats (2007)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Offense1461%43%47.9234.84.941-.012.8258%0%0.64
SMU Defense1250%43% - - - - .032.9278%0%0.75
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Defense1442%42% - - - - -.052.5958%0%0.69
SMU Offense1250%43%39.1171.34.415-.012.8754%0%0.78

Pass Game Stats (2007)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Offense1436%43%14.124.7187.97.613.31512.21.229%37%.272%1.3
SMU Defense1249%43% - - - - - - 12.191.232%40%.422%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Defense1456%36% - - - - - - 24.051.235%33%.223%1.5
SMU Offense1249%45%20.836269.27.512.92619.070.928%36%.212%1.3

UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2007 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UCF's 2007 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2007 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
UCF:    SMU: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UCF:    SMU:




SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
SMU's Offense Rating: NR
SMU's Defense Rating: NR
2007 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
SMU's 2007 Expected Record: -
SMU's 2007 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


UCF Scoring
Offense: 35.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.4
Defense: 26.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 31

UCF's 2007 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 14
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UCF 39
SMU 29

Total Points: 68

Based on Last 4 Games
UCF 40
SMU 29

Total Points: 69

Based on Entire Season
UCF 37
SMU 30

Total Points: 67
SMU Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.5
Defense: 39.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 43.5

SMU's 2007 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202210/05UCF41SMU19UCF -3UCF65.0Under
202111/13SMU55UCF28SMU -7SMU61.5Over
201810/06UCF48SMU20UCF -25UCF73.5Under
201711/04SMU24UCF31UCF -14SMU75.0Under
201411/22UCF53SMU7UCF -26.5UCF0
201312/07SMU13UCF17UCF -10SMU0
201211/03UCF42SMU17
201110/15SMU38UCF17
201012/04UCF17SMU7
200810/04UCF31SMU17
200711/17SMU20UCF49
TeamWinsCoversO/U
SMU231 Overs
UCF933 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 36 - 04 - 02 - 0
Road Teams3 - 80 - 60 - 20 - 4

(#) UCF at (#) SMU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUCFSMU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
UCF on Offense
CategoryCat
UCF OffSMU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCF Run Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffSMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UCF Pass Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffSMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
SMU on Offense
CategoryCatSMU OffUCF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
SMU Run Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffUCF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
SMU Pass Game
CategoryCatSMU OffUCF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
SMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'07 Profile: Remains Poor G5

UCF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'07 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 76° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 12
()
UCF won at SMU this year (49-20)

Previous Matchups
UCF beat SMU in 2022 (41-19)

  
UCF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View UCF's Full Roster

UCF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

SMU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View SMU's Full Roster

SMU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD