UCF at SMU - 2007 Matchup Preview
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UCF Knights at SMU Mustangs

SMU logo
Saturday, November 17th 2007 (3:00 PM EST)
UCF 49 - SMU: 20  (Conference USA)

 
Knights (10 - 4) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (13 - 35 on Road)
'07 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UCF 2nd straight Road Game
SMU 2nd straight Home Game
SMU is playing their 6th straight game
UCF is playing their 10th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: UCF: 19 - SMU: 32 (51)
UCF Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
UCF Travel: 970 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Mustangs (1 - 11) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 21 (36 - 19 @ Home)
'07 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UCF's 2007 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 UCF at NC State+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/15 UCF vs Texas-23.5
Sat 9/22 UCF vs Memphis-23.5
Sat 9/29 UCF vs Louisiana-23.5
Sat 10/6 UCF at East Carolina+2.5
Sat 10/13 UCF at South Florida+2.5
Sat 10/20 UCF vs Tulsa-23.5
Sun 10/28 UCF at Southern Miss+2.5
Sat 11/3 UCF vs Marshall-23.5
Sat 11/10 UCF at UAB+2.5
Sat 11/17 UCF at SMU+2.5
Sat 11/24 UCF vs UTEP-23.5
Sat 12/1 UCF vs Tulsa-23.5
Sat 12/29 UCF at Mississippi State+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
SMU's 2007 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/3 SMU vs Texas Tech-23.5
Sat 9/8 SMU vs North Texas-23.5
Sat 9/15 SMU at Arkansas State+2.5
Sat 9/22 SMU at TCU+2.5
Sat 9/29 SMU vs UTEP-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/13 SMU at Southern Miss+2.5
Sat 10/20 SMU vs Tulane-23.5
Sat 10/27 SMU at Tulsa+2.5
Sun 11/4 SMU at Houston+2.5
Sat 11/10 SMU vs Rice-23.5
Sat 11/17 SMU vs UCF-23.5
Sat 11/24 SMU at Memphis+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for SMU's Schedule
Important Stats (2006)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF.144%24.342%3.0813945%244-0.1.0944%23.640%45%-0.0840.31.81
SMU.0340%32.238%2.6212540%214-0.37.0644%20.538%47%-0.1953.11.92.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
SMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2006
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Offense1224.312.844.5%-0.11.8193731392443.850%47%42%45%3%.1
SMU Defense1220.519.243.7%-0.192.1 - - - - - 45%53%38%47%2%.06
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Defense1223.634.644%-0.081 - - - - - 45%52%40%45%2%.09
SMU Offense1232.23639.7%-0.371.9173201252143.752%46%38%40%4%.03

Additional Stats 2006
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UCF1218:0719.343%42%4.640.31.8100130.6
SMU1216:4917.140%38%6.453.11.92.100133.1
Run Game Stats (2007)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Offense1250%42%36.8139.43.811-.013.0872%0%0.67
SMU Defense1245%38% - - - - -.052.4564%0%0.72
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Defense1245%40% - - - - .022.6570%0%0.83
SMU Offense1252%38%33.7125.33.77-.072.6246%0%0.79

Pass Game Stats (2007)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Offense1247%45%18.931.8244.27.712.91410.251.230%36%.23%1.2
SMU Defense1253%47% - - - - - - 11.171.132%35%.192%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Defense1252%45% - - - - - - 10.171.133%35%.272%1.5
SMU Offense1246%40%16.926.3213.68.112.62710.161.233%29%.184%1.5

UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2007 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UCF's 2007 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2007 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UCF:    SMU: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UCF:    SMU:




SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
SMU's Offense Rating: NR
SMU's Defense Rating: NR
2007 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
SMU's 2007 Expected Record: -
SMU's 2007 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


UCF Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.8
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.6

UCF's 2007 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 14
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
SMU 32
UCF 19

Projected Total Points: 51
SMU Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.2

SMU's 2007 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202210/05UCF41SMU19UCF -3UCF65.0Under
202111/13SMU55UCF28SMU -7SMU61.5Over
201810/06UCF48SMU20UCF -25UCF73.5Under
201711/04SMU24UCF31UCF -14SMU75.0Under
201411/22UCF53SMU7UCF -26.5UCF0
201312/07SMU13UCF17UCF -10SMU0
201211/03UCF42SMU17
201110/15SMU38UCF17
201012/04UCF17SMU7
200810/04UCF31SMU17
200711/17SMU20UCF49
TeamWinsCoversO/U
SMU231 Overs
UCF933 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 36 - 04 - 02 - 0
Road Teams3 - 80 - 60 - 20 - 4

(#) UCF at (#) SMU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUCFSMU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
UCF on Offense
CategoryCat
UCF OffSMU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCF Run Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffSMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UCF Pass Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffSMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
SMU on Offense
CategoryCatSMU OffUCF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
SMU Run Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffUCF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
SMU Pass Game
CategoryCatSMU OffUCF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
SMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'07 Profile: Remains Poor G5

UCF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'07 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 12
()
UCF won at SMU this year (49-20)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
UCF's OC ()
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SMU's OC ()
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