UCF at Southern Miss - 2007 Matchup Preview
UCF logo UCF Knights at Southern Miss Golden EaglesSouthern Miss logo
Sunday, October 28th 2007 (8:00 PM EDT)
UCF 34 - Southern Miss: 17  (Conference USA)

 
Knights (10 - 4) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 36 - 27 (29 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USM is playing their 5th straight game
UCF is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: UCF: 27 - USM: 33 (60)
UCF Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
UCF Travel: 522 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Golden Eagles (7 - 6) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 24 (25 - 21 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UCF's 2007 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 UCF at NC State+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/15 UCF vs Texas-23.5
Sat 9/22 UCF vs Memphis-23.5
Sat 9/29 UCF vs Louisiana-23.5
Sat 10/6 UCF at East Carolina+2.5
Sat 10/13 UCF at South Florida+2.5
Sat 10/20 UCF vs Tulsa-23.5
Sun 10/28 UCF at Southern Miss+2.5
Sat 11/3 UCF vs Marshall-23.5
Sat 11/10 UCF at UAB+2.5
Sat 11/17 UCF at SMU+2.5
Sat 11/24 UCF vs UTEP-23.5
Sat 12/1 UCF vs Tulsa-23.5
Sat 12/29 UCF at Mississippi State+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
Southern Miss's 2007 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Southern Miss vs UT Martin-23.5
Sat 9/8 Southern Miss at Tennessee+2.5
Sat 9/15 Southern Miss at East Carolina+2.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 9/27 Southern Miss at Boise State+2.5
Wed 10/3 Southern Miss vs Rice-23.5
Sat 10/13 Southern Miss vs SMU-23.5
Sun 10/21 Southern Miss at Marshall+2.5
Sun 10/28 Southern Miss vs UCF-23.5
Sat 11/3 Southern Miss at UAB+2.5
Sat 11/10 Southern Miss vs Memphis-23.5
Sat 11/17 Southern Miss at UTEP+2.5
Sat 11/24 Southern Miss vs Arkansas State-23.5
Sat 12/22 Southern Miss at Cincinnati+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule
Important Stats (2007)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF.0544%35.943%2.8223543%188-0.07-40%26.642%36%047.51.92
USM.0842%27.845%3.120236%2000.0342%24.242%41%052.82.42.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF#58 (.21)46% (28)52% (8)3.62 (2)24838% (103)2003.75 (86)#63 (.16)40% (45)37% (12)42% (84)4.37 (118)54.41.60.9
USM#132 ()35% (130)40% (108)2.59 (126)10930% (133)1752.75 (133)#125 (.3)44% (97)45% (89)43% (93)4.17 (104)48.32.40.8



Overall Stats 2007
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Offense1435.929.444.4%-0.071.9214122351884.961%36%43%43%2%.05
USM Defense1324.220.742.3%02.3 - - - - - 50%49%42%41%3%.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Defense1426.63140.4%02 - - - - - 42%56%42%36%3%0
USM Offense1327.825.241.7%02.4213902022004.652%46%45%36%3%.08

Additional Stats 2007
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UCF1418:4720.939%61%5.347.51.9200432.8
Southern Miss1318:0921.145%50%5.452.82.42.300129.4
Run Game Stats (2007)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Offense1461%43%47.9234.84.941-.012.8258%0%0.64
USM Defense1350%42% - - - - -.042.7558%0%0.67
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Defense1442%42% - - - - -.052.5958%0%0.69
USM Offense1352%45%43.5201.64.630.083.170%0%0.74

Pass Game Stats (2007)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Offense1436%43%14.124.7187.97.613.31512.21.229%37%.272%1.3
USM Defense1349%41% - - - - - - 17.111.333%39%.333%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Defense1456%36% - - - - - - 24.051.235%33%.223%1.5
USM Offense1346%36%16.729.2200.26.9121416.091.233%34%.243%1.2

UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2007 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UCF's 2007 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2007 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
UCF:    Southern Miss: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UCF:    Southern Miss:




Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2007 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Southern Miss's 2007 Expected Record: -
Southern Miss's 2007 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


UCF Scoring
Offense: 35.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.4
Defense: 26.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 31

UCF's 2007 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 14
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Southern Miss 33
UCF 27

Total Points: 60

Based on Last 4 Games
Southern Miss 38
UCF 25

Total Points: 64

Based on Entire Season
UCF 28
Southern Miss 28

Total Points: 56
Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.2
Defense: 24.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.7

Southern Miss's 2007 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201210/13UCF38Southern Miss31
201111/12Southern Miss30UCF29
201011/13UCF21Southern Miss31
200909/12Southern Miss26UCF19
200811/08UCF6Southern Miss17
200710/28Southern Miss17UCF34
200609/26UCF14Southern Miss19
200510/15Southern Miss52UCF31
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Southern Miss600 Overs
UCF200 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 40 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams4 - 40 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#) UCF at (#) USM
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUCFUSM
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
UCF on Offense
CategoryCat
UCF OffUSM Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCF Run Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffUSM Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UCF Pass Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffUSM Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Southern Miss on Offense
CategoryCatUSM OffUCF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Southern Miss Run Game
CategoryCat
USM OffUCF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Southern Miss Pass Game
CategoryCatUSM OffUCF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'07 Profile: Remains Poor G5

UCF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'07 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in M. M. Roberts Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 66° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 9
()
UCF won at Southern Miss this year (34-17)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
UCF's OC ()
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UCF's DC ()
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USM's OC ()
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USM's DC ()
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