Memphis at UCF - 2007 Matchup Preview
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Memphis Tigers at UCF Knights

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Saturday, September 22nd 2007 (3:37 PM EDT)
UCF 56 - Memphis: 20  (Conference USA)

 
Tigers (7 - 6) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 23 (35 - 21 on Road)
'07 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UCF 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: MEM: 27 - UCF: 25 (52)
MEM Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
MEM Travel: 684 miles, 1 hrs behind
Knights (10 - 4) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (33 - 16 @ Home)
'07 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Memphis's 2007 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Memphis vs Ole Miss-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/15 Memphis vs Jacksonville State-23.5
Sat 9/22 Memphis at UCF+2.5
Thu 9/27 Memphis at Arkansas State+2.5
Tue 10/2 Memphis vs Marshall-23.5
Sat 10/13 Memphis vs Middle Tennessee-23.5
Sat 10/20 Memphis at Rice+2.5
Sat 10/27 Memphis at Tulane+2.5
Sat 11/3 Memphis vs East Carolina-23.5
Sat 11/10 Memphis at Southern Miss+2.5
Sat 11/17 Memphis vs UAB-23.5
Sat 11/24 Memphis vs SMU-23.5
Fri 12/21 Memphis at Florida Atlantic+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Memphis's Schedule
UCF's 2007 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 UCF at NC State+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/15 UCF vs Texas-23.5
Sat 9/22 UCF vs Memphis-23.5
Sat 9/29 UCF vs Louisiana-23.5
Sat 10/6 UCF at East Carolina+2.5
Sat 10/13 UCF at South Florida+2.5
Sat 10/20 UCF vs Tulsa-23.5
Sun 10/28 UCF at Southern Miss+2.5
Sat 11/3 UCF vs Marshall-23.5
Sat 11/10 UCF at UAB+2.5
Sat 11/17 UCF at SMU+2.5
Sat 11/24 UCF vs UTEP-23.5
Sat 12/1 UCF vs Tulsa-23.5
Sat 12/29 UCF at Mississippi State+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
Important Stats (2006)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MEM.0342%32.542%2.8811240%2320.1.1146%23.246%43%037.31.71.8
UCF.144%24.342%3.0813945%244-0.1.0944%23.640%45%-0.0840.31.81
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MEM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UCF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2006
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MEM Offense1232.53542.1%0.11.7193361122323.646%52%42%40%4%.03
UCF Defense1223.615.744%-0.081 - - - - - 45%52%40%45%2%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MEM Defense1223.220.846%01.8 - - - - - 59%40%46%43%3%.11
UCF Offense1224.332.644.5%-0.11.8193731392443.850%47%42%45%3%.1

Additional Stats 2006
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Memphis1217:1618.541%64%4.337.31.71.800031.4
UCF1218:0719.343%42%4.640.31.8100130.6
Run Game Stats (2007)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MEM Offense1246%42%31111.73.611-.012.8872%0%0.61
UCF Defense1245%40% - - - - .022.6570%0%0.83
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MEM Defense1259%46% - - - - .033.2874%0%0.61
UCF Offense1250%42%36.8139.43.811-.013.0872%0%0.67

Pass Game Stats (2007)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MEM Offense1252%40%19.532.8231.87.111.92114.091.132%31%.124%1.2
UCF Defense1252%45% - - - - - - 10.171.133%35%.272%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MEM Defense1240%43% - - - - - - 10.221.328%33%.33%1.7
UCF Offense1247%45%18.931.8244.27.712.91410.251.230%36%.23%1.2

Memphis's Power Ratings
Memphis's Power Rating: NR
Memphis's Offense Rating: NR
Memphis's Defense Rating: NR
2007 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Memphis's 2007 Expected Record: -
Memphis's 2007 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Memphis's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Memphis's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Memphis:    UCF: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Memphis:    UCF:




UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2007 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UCF's 2007 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2007 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Memphis Scoring
Offense: 32.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 35
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8

Memphis's 2007 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Memphis 27
UCF 25

Projected Total Points: 52
UCF Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.6
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.7

UCF's 2007 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 14
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202211/05Memphis28UCF35UCF -3UCF60.5Over
202110/22UCF24Memphis7UCF -1.5UCF63.5Under
202010/17Memphis50UCF49UCF -3Memphis76.5Over
201810/13Memphis30UCF31UCF -5Memphis80.5Under
201812/01UCF56Memphis41UCF -1UCF65.0Over
201712/02UCF62Memphis55UCF -7Push82.0Over
201709/30UCF40Memphis13UCF -5.5UCF68.5Under
201310/05Memphis17UCF24UCF -10.5Memphis0
201210/20Memphis17UCF35
201110/29UCF41Memphis0
201011/27Memphis17UCF37
200910/03UCF32Memphis14
200811/22Memphis21UCF28
200709/22UCF56Memphis20
200611/11Memphis24UCF26
200510/08UCF38Memphis17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UCF1544 Overs
Memphis133 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 76 - 13 - 03 - 1
Road Teams7 - 91 - 61 - 30 - 3

(#) MEM at (#) UCF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMEMUCF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Memphis on Offense
CategoryCat
MEM OffUCF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Memphis Run Game
CategoryCat
MEM OffUCF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Memphis Pass Game
CategoryCat
MEM OffUCF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
UCF on Offense
CategoryCatUCF OffMEM Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCF Run Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffMEM Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UCF Pass Game
CategoryCatUCF OffMEM Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UCF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'07 Profile: Remains Poor G5

MEM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'07 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 4
()
UCF won vs Memphis this year (56-20)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
MEM's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
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UCF's OC ()
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UCF's DC ()
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