Virginia at North Carolina - 2007 Matchup Preview
Virginia logo Virginia Cavaliers at North Carolina Tar HeelsNorth Carolina logo
Saturday, September 15th 2007 (12:00 PM EDT)
Virginia 22 - North Carolina: 20  (ACC)

 
Cavaliers (9 - 4) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 20 (23 - 18 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: UVA: 18 - UNC: 24 (42)
UVA Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
UVA Travel: 150 miles
Tar Heels (4 - 8) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 21 - 25 (24 - 19 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Virginia's 2007 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Virginia at Wyoming+2.5
Sat 9/8 Virginia vs Duke-23.5
Sat 9/15 Virginia at North Carolina+2.5
Sat 9/22 Virginia vs Georgia Tech-23.5
Sat 9/29 Virginia vs Pittsburgh-23.5
Sat 10/6 Virginia at Middle Tennessee+2.5
Sat 10/13 Virginia vs UConn-23.5
Sat 10/20 Virginia at Maryland+2.5
Sat 10/27 Virginia at NC State+2.5
Sat 11/3 Virginia vs Wake Forest-23.5
Sat 11/10 Virginia at Miami+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/24 Virginia vs Virginia Tech-23.5
Tue 1/1 Virginia vs Texas Tech-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule
North Carolina's 2007 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 North Carolina vs James Madison-23.5
Sat 9/8 North Carolina at East Carolina+2.5
Sat 9/15 North Carolina vs Virginia-23.5
Sat 9/22 North Carolina at South Florida+2.5
Sat 9/29 North Carolina at Virginia Tech+2.5
Sat 10/6 North Carolina vs Miami-23.5
Sat 10/13 North Carolina vs South Carolina-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/27 North Carolina at Wake Forest+2.5
Sat 11/3 North Carolina vs Maryland-23.5
Sat 11/10 North Carolina at NC State+2.5
Sat 11/17 North Carolina at Georgia Tech+2.5
Sat 11/24 North Carolina vs Duke-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Important Stats (2007)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UVA.0138%24.438%2.6413637%210-0.09.0237%19.735%37%040.91.51.8
UNC-.0340%21.238%2.419939%245-0.1.0542%24.543%37%0542.42
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UVA#102 (.13)40% (103)43% (77)3.29 (25)13337% (113)2293.47 (106)#116 (.27)43% (80)44% (77)42% (77)4.04 (94)45.31.61.3
UNC#65 (.2)42% (80)47% (34)3.32 (22)17537% (114)2164.08 (52)#70 (.17)41% (53)44% (82)37% (26)4.01 (90)59.81.21.2



Overall Stats 2007
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UVA Offense1324.42338.4%-0.091.5193301362103.648%50%38%37%2%.01
UNC Defense1224.518.541.6%02 - - - - - 50%47%43%37%2%.05
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UVA Defense1319.718.337.5%01.8 - - - - - 46%51%35%37%2%.02
UNC Offense1221.223.540.3%-0.12.41732599245345%52%38%39%3%-.03

Additional Stats 2007
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Virginia1318:2919.241%57%4.840.91.51.800131.6
North Carolina1217:5216.829%45%6.8542.4200332.3
Run Game Stats (2007)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UVA Offense1348%38%37.7135.63.622-.032.6465%0%0.76
UNC Defense1250%43% - - - - .042.9666%0%0.67
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UVA Defense1346%35% - - - - -.042.8364%0%0.71
UNC Offense1245%38%33.599.2311-.142.4161%0%0.62

Pass Game Stats (2007)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UVA Offense1350%37%19.232.9210.16.410.91410.061.235%31%.162%1.3
UNC Defense1247%37% - - - - - - 11.05132%31%.162%1.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UVA Defense1351%37% - - - - - - 11.11.333%31%.232%1.5
UNC Offense1252%39%18.330.7244.5813.31519.061.234%30%.13%1.4

Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: NR
Virginia's Offense Rating: NR
Virginia's Defense Rating: NR
2007 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Virginia's 2007 Expected Record: -
Virginia's 2007 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia:    North Carolina: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia:    North Carolina:




North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2007 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
North Carolina's 2007 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2007 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Virginia Scoring
Offense: 24.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 23
Defense: 19.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.3

Virginia's 2007 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
North Carolina 24
Virginia 18

Total Points: 42

Based on Last 4 Games
North Carolina 26
Virginia 13

Total Points: 39

Based on Entire Season
Virginia 23
North Carolina 21

Total Points: 44
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 21.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.5
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.5

North Carolina's 2007 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/25North Carolina16Virginia17Virginia -12.5North Carolina51.5Under
202410/26Virginia14North Carolina41Virginia -3.5North Carolina58.5Under
202310/21North Carolina27Virginia31North Carolina -24Virginia58.0Push
202211/05Virginia28North Carolina31North Carolina -7Virginia61.5Under
202109/18North Carolina59Virginia39North Carolina -7.5North Carolina67.0Over
202010/31Virginia44North Carolina41North Carolina -7.0Virginia0
201911/02North Carolina31Virginia38Virginia -1Virginia48.0Over
201810/27Virginia31North Carolina21Virginia -7.5Virginia51.0Over
201710/14North Carolina14Virginia20Virginia -3Virginia54.5Under
201610/22Virginia14North Carolina35North Carolina -9North Carolina68.5Under
201510/24North Carolina26Virginia13North Carolina -12North Carolina58.0Under
201410/25Virginia27North Carolina28Virginia -7.5North Carolina0
201311/09North Carolina45Virginia14North Carolina -14North Carolina0
201211/15Virginia13North Carolina37
201109/17North Carolina28Virginia17
201010/16Virginia10North Carolina44
200910/03North Carolina3Virginia16
200810/18Virginia16North Carolina13
200709/15North Carolina20Virginia22
200610/19Virginia23North Carolina0
200510/22North Carolina7Virginia5
200409/11Virginia56North Carolina24
200310/04North Carolina13Virginia38
200210/19Virginia37North Carolina27
200110/13North Carolina30Virginia24
200010/27Virginia17North Carolina6
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Carolina1273 Overs
Virginia1466 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 137 - 64 - 33 - 3
Road Teams13 - 136 - 73 - 33 - 4

(#) UVA at (#) UNC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUVAUNC
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Virginia on Offense
CategoryCat
UVA OffUNC Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Virginia Run Game
CategoryCat
UVA OffUNC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Virginia Pass Game
CategoryCat
UVA OffUNC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
North Carolina on Offense
CategoryCatUNC OffUVA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
North Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
UNC OffUVA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
North Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCatUNC OffUVA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UNC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'07 Profile: Remains Poor G5

UVA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'07 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 76° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 3
()
Virginia won at North Carolina this year (22-20)

Previous Matchups
North Carolina beat Virginia last year (41-14)
Virginia beat North Carolina in 2023 (31-27)
North Carolina beat Virginia in 2022 (31-28)

  
UVA's OC ()
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UVA's DC ()
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UNC's OC ()
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UNC's DC ()
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