
North Carolina Tar Heels at Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Saturday, October 27th 2007 (12:00 PM EDT)
Wake Forest 37 - North Carolina: 10 (ACC)
Tar Heels (4 - 8) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 21 - 25 (19 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 21 - 25 (19 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 12.7 MPH
UNC coming off BYE
WAKE is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: UNC: 19 - WAKE: 28 (47)
UNC Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
UNC Travel: 69 miles
UNC coming off BYE
WAKE is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: UNC: 19 - WAKE: 28 (47)
UNC Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
UNC Travel: 69 miles
Demon Deacons (9 - 4) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (27 - 16 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (27 - 16 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
| North Carolina's 2007 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 9/1 | North Carolina vs James Madison | -23.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/8 | North Carolina at East Carolina | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/15 | North Carolina vs Virginia | -23.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/22 | North Carolina at South Florida | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/29 | North Carolina at Virginia Tech | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/6 | North Carolina vs Miami | -23.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/13 | North Carolina vs South Carolina | -23.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/27 | North Carolina at Wake Forest | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/3 | North Carolina vs Maryland | -23.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/10 | North Carolina at NC State | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/17 | North Carolina at Georgia Tech | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/24 | North Carolina vs Duke | -23.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
| Wake Forest's 2007 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 9/1 | Wake Forest at Boston College | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/8 | Wake Forest vs Nebraska | -23.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/15 | Wake Forest vs Army | -23.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/22 | Wake Forest vs Maryland | -23.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/6 | Wake Forest at Duke | +2.5 | |||||
| Thu 10/11 | Wake Forest vs Florida State | -23.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/20 | Wake Forest at Navy | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/27 | Wake Forest vs North Carolina | -23.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/3 | Wake Forest at Virginia | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/10 | Wake Forest at Clemson | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/17 | Wake Forest vs NC State | -23.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/24 | Wake Forest at Vanderbilt | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 12/29 | Wake Forest vs UConn | -23.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for Wake Forest's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Important Stats (2007)
Overall Stats 2007
Additional Stats 2007
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC | -.03 | 40% | 21.2 | 38% | 2.41 | 99 | 39% | 245 | -0.1 | .05 | 42% | 24.5 | 43% | 37% | 0 | 54 | 2.4 | 2 |
| WAKE | -.01 | 40% | 27.8 | 37% | 2.5 | 143 | 41% | 210 | -0.25 | -.03 | 38% | 22.2 | 38% | 37% | -0.1 | 47.8 | 2 | 2.8 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC | #65 (.2) | 42% (80) | 47% (34) | 3.32 (22) | 175 | 37% (114) | 216 | 4.08 (52) | #70 (.17) | 41% (53) | 44% (82) | 37% (26) | 4.01 (90) | 59.8 | 1.2 | 1.2 | ||
| WAKE | #104 (.13) | 42% (81) | 43% (79) | 3 (79) | 131 | 41% (75) | 240 | 3.2 (121) | #118 (.27) | 51% (134) | 48% (110) | 53% (133) | 4.12 (99) | 45.9 | 1.8 | 1.4 |
Overall Stats 2007
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Offense | 12 | 21.2 | 18.8 | 40.3% | -0.1 | 2.4 | 17 | 325 | 99 | 245 | 3 | 45% | 52% | 38% | 39% | 3% | -.03 |
| WAKE Defense | 13 | 22.2 | 16.1 | 38.3% | -0.1 | 2.8 | - | - | - | - | - | 44% | 55% | 38% | 37% | 2% | -.03 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Defense | 12 | 24.5 | 30.5 | 41.6% | 0 | 2 | - | - | - | - | - | 50% | 47% | 43% | 37% | 2% | .05 |
| WAKE Offense | 13 | 27.8 | 27.4 | 39.9% | -0.25 | 2 | 19 | 340 | 143 | 210 | 3.4 | 54% | 44% | 37% | 41% | 3% | -.01 |
Additional Stats 2007
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina | 12 | 17:52 | 16.8 | 29% | 45% | 6.8 | 54 | 2.4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 32.3 |
| Wake Forest | 13 | 19:40 | 18.8 | 40% | 47% | 5.2 | 47.8 | 2 | 2.8 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 33.1 |
Run Game Stats (2007)
Pass Game Stats (2007)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Offense | 12 | 45% | 38% | 33.5 | 99.2 | 3 | 11 | -.14 | 2.41 | 61% | 0% | 0.62 |
| WAKE Defense | 13 | 44% | 38% | - | - | - | - | -.08 | 2.43 | 68% | 0% | 0.69 |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Defense | 12 | 50% | 43% | - | - | - | - | .04 | 2.96 | 66% | 0% | 0.67 |
| WAKE Offense | 13 | 54% | 37% | 42.3 | 143.3 | 3.4 | 19 | -.1 | 2.5 | 67% | 0% | 0.62 |
Pass Game Stats (2007)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Offense | 12 | 52% | 39% | 18.3 | 30.7 | 244.5 | 8 | 13.3 | 15 | 19 | .06 | 1.2 | 34% | 30% | .1 | 3% | 1.4 |
| WAKE Defense | 13 | 55% | 37% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 19 | .01 | 1.1 | 36% | 32% | .19 | 2% | 1.4 |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Defense | 12 | 47% | 37% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 11 | .05 | 1 | 32% | 31% | .16 | 2% | 1.1 |
| WAKE Offense | 13 | 44% | 41% | 21.5 | 30.2 | 209.8 | 7 | 9.8 | 13 | 16 | .12 | 1.2 | 32% | 26% | .12 | 3% | 1.6 |
North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2007 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
North Carolina's 2007 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2007 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: NR
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482
North Carolina's Power Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2007 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
North Carolina's 2007 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2007 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: NR
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482
Power Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: Wake Forest: 2.5
SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: Wake Forest:
North Carolina: Wake Forest: 2.5
SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: Wake Forest:
Wake Forest's Power Ratings
Wake Forest's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Wake Forest's Offense Rating: NR
Wake Forest's Defense Rating: NR
2007 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Wake Forest's 2007 Expected Record: -
Wake Forest's 2007 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Wake Forest's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Wake Forest's Defense SP+ Rating: NR
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482
Wake Forest's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Wake Forest's Offense Rating: NR
Wake Forest's Defense Rating: NR
2007 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Wake Forest's 2007 Expected Record: -
Wake Forest's 2007 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Wake Forest's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Wake Forest's Defense SP+ Rating: NR
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 21.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.8
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.5
North Carolina's 2007 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Offense: 21.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.8
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.5
North Carolina's 2007 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Wake Forest 28
North Carolina 19
Total Points: 47
Based on Last 4 Games
Wake Forest 29
North Carolina 19
Total Points: 48
Based on Entire Season
Wake Forest 28
North Carolina 20
Total Points: 48
Wake Forest 28
North Carolina 19
Total Points: 47
Based on Last 4 Games
Wake Forest 29
North Carolina 19
Total Points: 48
Based on Entire Season
Wake Forest 28
North Carolina 20
Total Points: 48
Wake Forest Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.4
Defense: 22.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.1
Wake Forest's 2007 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.4
Defense: 22.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.1
Wake Forest's 2007 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11/15 | Wake Forest | 28 | North Carolina | 12 | Wake Forest -3.5 | Wake Forest | 37.5 | Over |
| 2024 | 11/16 | North Carolina | 31 | Wake Forest | 24 | North Carolina -10.5 | Wake Forest | 64.5 | Under |
| 2022 | 11/12 | Wake Forest | 34 | North Carolina | 36 | Wake Forest -4.5 | North Carolina | 79.0 | Under |
| 2021 | 11/06 | North Carolina | 58 | Wake Forest | 55 | North Carolina -2.5 | North Carolina | 78.0 | Over |
| 2020 | 11/14 | North Carolina | 59 | Wake Forest | 53 | North Carolina -13 | Wake Forest | 70.5 | Over |
| 2019 | 09/13 | Wake Forest | 24 | North Carolina | 18 | Wake Forest -3 | Wake Forest | 65.0 | Under |
| 2015 | 10/17 | North Carolina | 50 | Wake Forest | 14 | North Carolina -14 | North Carolina | 53.5 | Over |
| 2012 | 09/08 | Wake Forest | 28 | North Carolina | 27 | ||||
| 2011 | 10/29 | North Carolina | 49 | Wake Forest | 24 | ||||
| 2007 | 10/27 | Wake Forest | 37 | North Carolina | 10 | ||||
| 2006 | 10/28 | North Carolina | 17 | Wake Forest | 24 | ||||
| 2004 | 11/13 | Wake Forest | 24 | North Carolina | 31 | ||||
| 2003 | 11/08 | North Carolina | 42 | Wake Forest | 34 | ||||
| 2002 | 10/26 | Wake Forest | 31 | North Carolina | 0 | ||||
| 2001 | 11/10 | North Carolina | 31 | Wake Forest | 32 | ||||
| 2000 | 09/08 | Wake Forest | 14 | North Carolina | 35 |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wake Forest | 7 | 4 | 4 Overs |
| North Carolina | 9 | 3 | 3 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 11 - 5 | 4 - 3 | 4 - 3 | 0 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 5 - 11 | 3 - 4 | 0 - 0 | 3 - 4 |
| Overall StatsOvr | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | UNC | WAKE |
| Net PPPPPP | NR | NR |
| Power RatePwr | NR | NR |
| SP+SP+ | NR | NR |
| Perf GradeGrade | NR | NR |
| OffenseOff | NR | NR |
| DefenseDef | NR | NR |
| Spec TeamsST | NR | NR |
| TalentTal | NR | NR |
| Blue ChipsBC% | NR | NR |
| UNC Off | WAKE Def | |
|---|---|---|
| PPPOffPPP | NR | NR |
| Perf GradePerf | NR | NR |
| SuccessSuc | NR | NR |
| ExplosiveExp | NR | NR |
| PPAPPA | NR | NR |
| PowerPwr | NR | NR |
| SP+SP+ | NR | NR |
| Pts POPPO | NR | NR |
| HavocHav | NR | NR |
| UNC Off | WAKE Def | |
|---|---|---|
| Run GameRun | NR | NR |
| Run SuccessRSuc | NR | NR |
| Run ExplRExp | NR | NR |
| PPAExp | NR | NR | Run BlockR Blk | NR | - |
| OL YdsOLY | NR | NR |
| Stuff RateStuff | NR | NR |
| TackleTak | - | NR |
| UNC Off | WAKE Def | |
|---|---|---|
| Pass GamePass | NR | NR |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | NR | NR |
| Pass ExplPExl | NR | NR |
| PPAExp | NR | NR |
| Pass Rush/BlockP Blk | NR | NR |
| F7 HavocF7 | NR | NR |
| DB HavocDB | NR | NR |
| CategoryCat | WAKE Off | UNC Def |
|---|---|---|
| PPPDefPPP | NR | NR |
| Perf GradePerf | NR | NR |
| SuccessSuc | NR | NR |
| ExplosiveExp | NR | NR |
| PPAPPA | NR | NR |
| PowerPwr | NR | NR |
| SP+SP+ | NR | NR |
| Pts POPPO | NR | NR |
| HavocHav | NR | NR |
| WAKE Off | UNC Def | |
|---|---|---|
| Run GameRun | NR | NR |
| Run SuccessRSuc | NR | NR |
| Run ExplRExp | NR | NR |
| PPAExp | NR | NR | Run BlockR Blk | NR | - |
| OL YdsOLY | NR | NR |
| Stuff RateStuff | NR | NR |
| TackleTak | - | NR |
| CategoryCat | WAKE Off | UNC Def |
|---|---|---|
| Pass GamePass | NR | NR |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | NR | NR |
| Pass ExplPExl | NR | NR |
| PPAExp | NR | NR |
| Pass Block/RushP Blk | NR | NR |
| F7 HavocF7 | NR | NR |
| DB HavocDB | NR | NR |
Program Comparison
WAKE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'07 Profile: Remains Poor G5
UNC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'07 Profile: Remains Poor G5
WAKE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'07 Profile: Remains Poor G5
UNC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'07 Profile: Remains Poor G5
Weather Forecast
Playing in BB&T Field
Conditions:
Temp: 66° - Wind: 13 mph
Playing in BB&T Field
Conditions:
Temp: 66° - Wind: 13 mph
()
Wake Forest won vs North Carolina this year (37-10)
Previous Matchups
North Carolina beat Wake Forest last year (31-24)
North Carolina beat Wake Forest in 2022 (36-34)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|