Air Force at TCU - 2006 Matchup Preview
Air Force logo Air Force Falcons at TCU Horned FrogsTCU logo
Saturday, December 2nd 2006 (3:30 PM EST)
TCU 38 - Air Force: 14  (Mountain West)

 
Falcons (4 - 8) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 25 (28 - 27 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
AFA 2nd straight Road Game
TCU is playing their 7th straight game
AFA is playing their 11th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: AFA: 20 - TCU: 32 (52)
AFA Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
AFA Travel: 603 miles, 1 hrs behind
Horned Frogs (11 - 2) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 12 (33 - 10 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Air Force's 2006 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/9 Air Force at Tennessee+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23 Air Force at Wyoming+2.5
Sat 9/30 Air Force vs New Mexico-23.5
Sat 10/7 Air Force vs Navy-23.5
Thu 10/12 Air Force vs Colorado State-23.5
Sat 10/21 Air Force at San Diego State+2.5
Sat 10/28 Air Force vs BYU-23.5
Fri 11/3 Air Force at Army+2.5
Sat 11/11 Air Force vs Notre Dame-23.5
Sat 11/18 Air Force vs Utah-23.5
Fri 11/24 Air Force at UNLV+2.5
Sat 12/2 Air Force at TCU+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Air Force's Schedule
TCU's 2006 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/3 TCU at Baylor+2.5
Sat 9/9 TCU vs UC Davis-23.5
Sat 9/16 TCU vs Texas Tech-23.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 9/28 TCU vs BYU-23.5
Thu 10/5 TCU at Utah+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 TCU at Army+2.5
Sat 10/28 TCU vs Wyoming-23.5
Sat 11/4 TCU at UNLV+2.5
Sat 11/11 TCU at New Mexico+2.5
Sat 11/18 TCU vs San Diego State-23.5
Sat 11/25 TCU at Colorado State+2.5
Sat 12/2 TCU vs Air Force-23.5
Tue 12/19 TCU vs Northern Illinois-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for TCU's Schedule
Important Stats (2006)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AFA.0743%23.343%3.2722937%110-0.31.1752%25.251%51%-0.134.21.21.7
TCU.1347%29.244%3.2819547%221-0.08-.0732%12.324%35%-0.23601.62.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AFA#103 (.13)42% (77)45% (60)3.03 (68)22531% (131)904.02 (56)#88 (.2)42% (68)41% (47)43% (89)3.97 (84)281.31
TCU#18 (.3)47% (20)45% (53)2.95 (85)10649% (9)2934.46 (20)#82 (.19)42% (67)46% (102)36% (18)3.82 (72)49.71.61.1



Overall Stats 2006
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AFA Offense1223.328.242.8%-0.311.2203312291104.278%21%43%37%2%.07
TCU Defense1312.310.131.8%-0.232.1 - - - - - 39%59%24%35%3%-.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AFA Defense1225.226.851.8%-0.11.7 - - - - - 54%44%51%51%2%.17
TCU Offense1329.232.647.1%-0.081.6224081952214.554%43%44%47%2%.13

Additional Stats 2006
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Air Force1218:2120.155%55%3.934.21.21.700128.7
TCU1319:0522.144%45%7.2601.62.100232.5
Run Game Stats (2006)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AFA Offense1278%43%55229.34.221.093.2780%0%0.76
TCU Defense1339%24% - - - - -.21.9143%0%0.89
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AFA Defense1254%51% - - - - .053.2477%0%0.61
TCU Offense1354%44%42.8194.64.528.093.2871%0%0.72

Pass Game Stats (2006)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AFA Offense1221%37%712.2109.8915.7124.051.528%34%.182%1.3
TCU Defense1359%35% - - - - - - 16.021.340%30%.223%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AFA Defense1244%51% - - - - - - 9.331.326%41%.392%1.5
TCU Offense1343%47%16.627.1221.28.213.3156.191.130%42%.322%1.2

Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: NR
Air Force's Offense Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense Rating: NR
2006 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Air Force's 2006 Expected Record: -
Air Force's 2006 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Air Force:    TCU: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Air Force:    TCU:




TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
TCU's Offense Rating: NR
TCU's Defense Rating: NR
2006 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
TCU's 2006 Expected Record: -
TCU's 2006 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Air Force Scoring
Offense: 23.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.2
Defense: 25.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.8

Air Force's 2006 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
TCU 32
Air Force 20

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
TCU 35
Air Force 20

Total Points: 55

Based on Entire Season
TCU 28
Air Force 19

Total Points: 47
TCU Scoring
Offense: 29.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.6
Defense: 12.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 10.1

TCU's 2006 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201109/10Air Force19TCU35
201010/23TCU38Air Force7
200910/10Air Force17TCU20
200811/22TCU44Air Force10
200709/13Air Force20TCU17
200612/02TCU38Air Force14
200510/22Air Force10TCU48
TeamWinsCoversO/U
TCU600 Overs
Air Force100 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 30 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams3 - 40 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#) AFA at (#) TCU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatAFATCU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Air Force on Offense
CategoryCat
AFA OffTCU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Air Force Run Game
CategoryCat
AFA OffTCU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Air Force Pass Game
CategoryCat
AFA OffTCU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
TCU on Offense
CategoryCatTCU OffAFA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
TCU Run Game
CategoryCat
TCU OffAFA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
TCU Pass Game
CategoryCatTCU OffAFA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TCU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'06 Profile: Remains Poor G5

AFA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'06 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Amon G. Carter Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 54° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 14
()
TCU won vs Air Force this year (38-14)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
AFA's OC ()
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AFA's DC ()
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TCU's OC ()
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TCU's DC ()
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