Utah at Air Force - 2006 Matchup Preview
Utah logo (#13)Utah Utes at Air Force FalconsAir Force logo
Saturday, November 18th 2006 (7:30 PM EST)
Utah 17 - Air Force: 14  (Mountain West)

 
Utes (8 - 5) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 20 (27 - 20 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
AFA 2nd straight Home Game
AFA is playing their 9th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)

Projected Score: UTAH: 27 - AFA: 22 (49)
UTAH Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
UTAH Travel: 391 miles
Falcons (4 - 8) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 25 (18 - 24 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Utah's 2006 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Utah at UCLA+2.5
Sat 9/9 Utah vs Northern Arizona-23.5
Sat 9/16 Utah at Utah State+2.5
Sat 9/23 Utah at San Diego State+2.5
Sat 9/30 Utah vs Boise State-23.5
Thu 10/5 Utah vs TCU-23.5
Sat 10/14 Utah at Wyoming+2.5
Thu 10/19 Utah at New Mexico+2.5
Sat 10/28 Utah vs UNLV-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/11 Utah vs Colorado State-23.5
Sat 11/18 Utah at Air Force+2.5
Sat 11/25 Utah vs BYU-23.5
Sat 12/23 Utah vs Tulsa-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Utah's Schedule
Air Force's 2006 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/9 Air Force at Tennessee+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23 Air Force at Wyoming+2.5
Sat 9/30 Air Force vs New Mexico-23.5
Sat 10/7 Air Force vs Navy-23.5
Thu 10/12 Air Force vs Colorado State-23.5
Sat 10/21 Air Force at San Diego State+2.5
Sat 10/28 Air Force vs BYU-23.5
Fri 11/3 Air Force at Army+2.5
Sat 11/11 Air Force vs Notre Dame-23.5
Sat 11/18 Air Force vs Utah-23.5
Fri 11/24 Air Force at UNLV+2.5
Sat 12/2 Air Force at TCU+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Air Force's Schedule
Important Stats (2006)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTAH.145%27.945%3.0712944%225-0.09.141%19.835%45%050.81.61.8
AFA.0743%23.343%3.2722937%110-0.31.1752%25.251%51%-0.134.21.21.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTAH#120 (.08)37% (125)38% (116)2.73 (114)13035% (119)1993.4 (111)#7 (.05)35% (4)37% (10)34% (6)3.13 (15)46.31.81.5
AFA#103 (.13)42% (77)45% (60)3.03 (68)22531% (131)904.02 (56)#88 (.2)42% (68)41% (47)43% (89)3.97 (84)281.31



Overall Stats 2006
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTAH Offense1327.926.545.4%-0.091.618338129225446%51%45%44%2%.1
AFA Defense1225.223.551.8%-0.11.7 - - - - - 54%44%51%51%2%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTAH Defense1319.819.540.7%01.8 - - - - - 51%47%35%45%4%.1
AFA Offense1223.318.342.8%-0.311.2203312291104.278%21%43%37%2%.07

Additional Stats 2006
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Utah1316:5217.844%44%5.850.81.61.800331.3
Air Force1218:2120.155%55%3.934.21.21.700128.7
Run Game Stats (2006)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTAH Offense1346%45%32.1129.1414.053.0770%0%0.75
AFA Defense1254%51% - - - - .053.2477%0%0.61
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTAH Defense1351%35% - - - - -.032.7565%0%0.74
AFA Offense1278%43%55229.34.221.093.2780%0%0.76

Pass Game Stats (2006)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTAH Offense1351%44%17.229.9224.57.5132212.171.226%36%.352%1.6
AFA Defense1244%51% - - - - - - 9.331.326%41%.392%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTAH Defense1347%45% - - - - - - 16.251.333%34%.324%1.5
AFA Offense1221%37%712.2109.8915.7124.051.528%34%.182%1.3

Utah's Power Ratings
Utah's Power Rating: NR
Utah's Offense Rating: NR
Utah's Defense Rating: NR
2006 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Utah's 2006 Expected Record: -
Utah's 2006 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Utah's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Utah's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Utah:    Air Force: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Utah:    Air Force:




Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Air Force's Offense Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense Rating: NR
2006 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Air Force's 2006 Expected Record: -
Air Force's 2006 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Utah Scoring
Offense: 27.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.5
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 19.5

Utah's 2006 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Utah 27
Air Force 22


Total Points: 49

Based on Last 4 Games
Utah 29
Air Force 24

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
Utah 26
Air Force 20

Total Points: 46
Air Force Scoring
Offense: 23.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.3
Defense: 25.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.5

Air Force's 2006 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201010/30Air Force23Utah28
200910/24Utah23Air Force16
200809/20Air Force23Utah30
200709/08Utah12Air Force20
200611/18Air Force14Utah17
200509/22Utah38Air Force35
200409/25Utah49Air Force35
200311/01Air Force43Utah45
200209/28Utah26Air Force30
200112/01Air Force38Utah37
200009/22Utah14Air Force23
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Air Force400 Overs
Utah700 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 70 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams7 - 40 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#) UTAH at (#) AFA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUTAHAFA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Utah on Offense
CategoryCat
UTAH OffAFA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Utah Run Game
CategoryCat
UTAH OffAFA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Utah Pass Game
CategoryCat
UTAH OffAFA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Air Force on Offense
CategoryCatAFA OffUTAH Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Air Force Run Game
CategoryCat
AFA OffUTAH Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Air Force Pass Game
CategoryCatAFA OffUTAH Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
AFA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'06 Profile: Remains Poor G5

UTAH 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'06 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Falcon Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 38° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 12
()
Utah won at Air Force this year (17-14)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
UTAH's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UTAH's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

AFA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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AFA's DC ()
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Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD