BYU at Air Force - 2006 Matchup Preview
BYU logo (#11)BYU Cougars at Air Force FalconsAir Force logo
Saturday, October 28th 2006 (2:00 PM EDT)
BYU 33 - Air Force: 14  (Mountain West)

 
Cougars (11 - 2) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 37 - 15 (28 - 17 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
AFA is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)

Projected Score: BYU: 28 - AFA: 18 (46)
BYU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
BYU Travel: 373 miles
Falcons (4 - 8) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 25 (18 - 24 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
BYU's 2006 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 BYU at Arizona+2.5
Sat 9/9 BYU vs Tulsa-23.5
Sat 9/16 BYU at Boston College+2.5
Sat 9/23 BYU vs Utah State-23.5
Thu 9/28 BYU at TCU+2.5
Sat 10/7 BYU vs San Diego State-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 BYU vs UNLV-23.5
Sat 10/28 BYU at Air Force+2.5
Sat 11/4 BYU at Colorado State+2.5
Thu 11/9 BYU vs Wyoming-23.5
Sat 11/18 BYU vs New Mexico-23.5
Sat 11/25 BYU at Utah+2.5
Thu 12/21 BYU at Oregon+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for BYU's Schedule
Air Force's 2006 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/9 Air Force at Tennessee+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23 Air Force at Wyoming+2.5
Sat 9/30 Air Force vs New Mexico-23.5
Sat 10/7 Air Force vs Navy-23.5
Thu 10/12 Air Force vs Colorado State-23.5
Sat 10/21 Air Force at San Diego State+2.5
Sat 10/28 Air Force vs BYU-23.5
Fri 11/3 Air Force at Army+2.5
Sat 11/11 Air Force vs Notre Dame-23.5
Sat 11/18 Air Force vs Utah-23.5
Fri 11/24 Air Force at UNLV+2.5
Sat 12/2 Air Force at TCU+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Air Force's Schedule
Important Stats (2006)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BYU.1650%36.844%2.9914252%333-0.08.0240%14.742%37%055.31.12.2
AFA.0743%23.343%3.2722937%110-0.31.1752%25.251%51%-0.134.21.21.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BYU#51 (.22)45% (44)47% (30)3.23 (37)14843% (59)2163.73 (88)#41 (.13)41% (65)46% (99)37% (28)3.79 (68)371.42.1
AFA#103 (.13)42% (77)45% (60)3.03 (68)22531% (131)904.02 (56)#88 (.2)42% (68)41% (47)43% (89)3.97 (84)281.31



Overall Stats 2006
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BYU Offense1336.827.949.5%-0.081.1244651423334.241%57%44%52%2%.16
AFA Defense1225.223.551.8%-0.11.7 - - - - - 54%44%51%51%2%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BYU Defense1314.71740%02.2 - - - - - 44%55%42%37%4%.02
AFA Offense1223.318.342.8%-0.311.2203312291104.278%21%43%37%2%.07

Additional Stats 2006
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
BYU1318:5323.656%55%755.31.12.200330.2
Air Force1218:2120.155%55%3.934.21.21.700128.7
Run Game Stats (2006)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BYU Offense1341%44%33.6141.94.227-.042.9971%0%0.54
AFA Defense1254%51% - - - - .053.2477%0%0.61
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BYU Defense1344%42% - - - - .043.0661%0%0.77
AFA Offense1278%43%55229.34.221.093.2780%0%0.76

Pass Game Stats (2006)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BYU Offense1357%52%23.934.8332.89.613.9339.321.227%40%.32%1.4
AFA Defense1244%51% - - - - - - 9.331.326%41%.392%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BYU Defense1355%37% - - - - - - 18.011.132%32%.24%1.3
AFA Offense1221%37%712.2109.8915.7124.051.528%34%.182%1.3

BYU's Power Ratings
BYU's Power Rating: NR
BYU's Offense Rating: NR
BYU's Defense Rating: NR
2006 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
BYU's 2006 Expected Record: -
BYU's 2006 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
BYU's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
BYU's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
BYU:    Air Force: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
BYU:    Air Force:




Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Air Force's Offense Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense Rating: NR
2006 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Air Force's 2006 Expected Record: -
Air Force's 2006 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


BYU Scoring
Offense: 36.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.9
Defense: 14.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 17

BYU's 2006 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
BYU 28
Air Force 18


Total Points: 46

Based on Last 4 Games
BYU 27
Air Force 17

Total Points: 44

Based on Entire Season
BYU 28
Air Force 18

Total Points: 46
Air Force Scoring
Offense: 23.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.3
Defense: 25.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.5

Air Force's 2006 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201009/11Air Force35BYU14
200911/21BYU38Air Force21
200811/15Air Force24BYU38
200709/22BYU31Air Force6
200610/28Air Force14BYU33
200510/29BYU62Air Force41
200410/23Air Force24BYU41
200309/27BYU10Air Force24
200210/12Air Force52BYU9
200110/20BYU63Air Force33
200009/08Air Force31BYU23
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Air Force400 Overs
BYU700 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 40 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams4 - 70 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#) BYU at (#) AFA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBYUAFA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
BYU on Offense
CategoryCat
BYU OffAFA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
BYU Run Game
CategoryCat
BYU OffAFA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
BYU Pass Game
CategoryCat
BYU OffAFA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Air Force on Offense
CategoryCatAFA OffBYU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Air Force Run Game
CategoryCat
AFA OffBYU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Air Force Pass Game
CategoryCatAFA OffBYU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
AFA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'06 Profile: Remains Poor G5

BYU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'06 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Falcon Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 59°
Rematch from Week 9
()
BYU won at Air Force this year (33-14)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
BYU's OC ()
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BYU's DC ()
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AFA's OC ()
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AFA's DC ()
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