Fri, Sep 5 2025
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Week 2
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🏟 Albertsons Stadium
Boise, ID
·
Turf
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36,387 cap
Eastern Washington✈ 277 mi+1 hr TZ
Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2025 in-season data is not yet available.
Edges are based on 2024 full-season performance.
Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
—
Lean
Game Control
76%
Boise State wins
Strong
Vegas Spread
Boise State -33.5
O/U 60.5
ESPN Bet
Eastern Washington 2025 Schedule
Eastern Washington's 2025 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Fri 9/5 | Eastern Washington at Boise State | +33.5L14–51 | 60.5 | L14–51 | O | N |
Boise State 2025 Schedule
Boise State's 2025 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8/28 | Boise State at South Florida | -8.5L7–34 | 63.5 | L7–34 | U | N |
| Fri 9/5 | Boise State vs Eastern Washington | -33.5W51–14 | 60.5 | W51–14 | O | Y |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 9/20 | Boise State at Air Force | -10.5W49–37 | 51.5 | W49–37 | O | Y |
| Sat 9/27 | Boise State vs App State | -16.5W47–14 | 59.5 | W47–14 | O | Y |
| Sat 10/4 | Boise State at Notre Dame | +21.5L7–28 | 63.5 | L7–28 | U | Y |
| Sat 10/11 | Boise State vs New Mexico | -14.5W41–25 | 58.5 | W41–25 | O | Y |
| Sat 10/18 | Boise State vs UNLV | -12.5W56–31 | 60.5 | W56–31 | O | Y |
| Fri 10/24 | Boise State at Nevada | -20.5W24–3 | 51.5 | W24–3 | U | Y |
| Sat 11/1 | Boise State vs Fresno State | -17.5L7–30 | 47.5 | L7–30 | U | N |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 11/15 | Boise State at San Diego State | +1.5L7–17 | 41.5 | L7–17 | U | N |
| Sat 11/22 | Boise State vs Colorado State | -17.5W49–21 | 46.5 | W49–21 | O | Y |
| Fri 11/28 | Boise State at Utah State | -1.5W25–24 | 54.5 | W25–24 | U | N |
| Fri 12/5 | Boise State vs UNLV | -6.0W38–21 | 60.0 | W38–21 | U | Y |
| Sat 12/13 | Boise State vs Washington | +9.5L10–38 | 55.5 | L10–38 | U | N |
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
Eastern Washington Edge
Eastern Washington +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2024 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
Boise State Edge
Boise State +56.6
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 76% of games historically
Based on 2024 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓