Sun, Sep 10 2023
·
Week 2
·
🏟 University Stadium
Albuquerque, NM
·
Turf
·
39,224 cap
Tennessee Tech✈ 1,186 mi-1 hr TZ
Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2023 in-season data is not yet available.
Edges are based on 2022 full-season performance.
Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
Matchup Prediction
New Mexico
has the edge in this matchup
Both Momentum Control (CSS) and Game Control metrics favor
New Mexico entering this game.
Momentum Control
58.4%
New Mexico wins
Lean
Game Control
76%
New Mexico wins
Strong
Vegas Spread
New Mexico -16
O/U 51.5
William Hill (New Jersey)
Tennessee Tech 2023 Schedule
Tennessee Tech's 2023 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 9/9 | Tennessee Tech at New Mexico | +16.0L10–56 | 51.5 | L10–56 | O | N |
New Mexico 2023 Schedule
New Mexico's 2023 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 9/2 | New Mexico at Texas A&M | +37.5L10–52 | 48.5 | L10–52 | O | N |
| Sat 9/9 | New Mexico vs Tennessee Tech | -16.0W56–10 | 51.5 | W56–10 | O | Y |
| Sat 9/16 | New Mexico vs New Mexico State | -2.5L17–27 | 52.0 | L17–27 | U | N |
| Sat 9/23 | New Mexico at Massachusetts | +3.5W34–31 | 48.5 | W34–31 | O | Y |
| Sat 9/30 | New Mexico at Wyoming | +14.5L26–35 | 40.5 | L26–35 | O | Y |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 10/14 | New Mexico vs San José State | +6.5L24–52 | 55.0 | L24–52 | O | N |
| Sat 10/21 | New Mexico vs Hawai'i | +1.5W42–21 | 60.0 | W42–21 | O | Y |
| Sat 10/28 | New Mexico at Nevada | -1.0L24–34 | 50.0 | L24–34 | O | N |
| Sat 11/4 | New Mexico vs UNLV | +10.0L14–56 | 61.0 | L14–56 | O | N |
| Sat 11/11 | New Mexico at Boise State | +27.5L14–42 | 58.5 | L14–42 | U | N |
| Sat 11/18 | New Mexico at Fresno State | +22.5W25–17 | 58.5 | W25–17 | U | Y |
| Fri 11/24 | New Mexico vs Utah State | +4.5L41–44 | 58.5 | L41–44 | O | Y |
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
New Mexico Edge
New Mexico +0.27
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2022 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
New Mexico Edge
New Mexico +26.1
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 76% of games historically
Based on 2022 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓