UAlbany at Marshall Week 1 College Football Matchup UAlbany at Marshall Matchup - Week 1
Sat, Sep 2 2023 · Week 1 · 🏟 Joan C. Edwards Stadium Huntington, WV · Turf · 38,019 cap
UAlbany✈ 538 miSame TZ
Away
17 21
Final
Home
Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2023 in-season data is not yet available. Edges are based on 2022 full-season performance. Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
📊 Punt & Rally Projection
UAlbany
26
Marshall
22
P&R Line UAlbany -4
P&R Total O/U 48
Confidence 75 Good
Vegas Marshall -22 · O/U 47.5
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
Lean
Game Control
76%
Marshall wins
Strong
Vegas Spread
Marshall -22
O/U 47.5
William Hill (New Jersey)
UAlbany 2023 Schedule
UAlbany's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2UAlbany at Marshall+22.0L17–2147.5L17–21UY
Sat 9/9UAlbany at Hawai'i+10.5L20–3158.5L20–31UN
Marshall 2023 Schedule
Marshall's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2Marshall vs UAlbany-22.0W21–1747.5W21–17UN
Sat 9/9Marshall at East Carolina-3.0W31–1343.5W31–13OY
— Bye Week —
Sat 9/23Marshall vs Virginia Tech-5.5W24–1741.5W24–17UY
Sat 9/30Marshall vs Old Dominion-14.5W41–3547.0W41–35ON
Sat 10/7Marshall at NC State+6.5L41–4844.0L41–48ON
Sat 10/14Marshall at Georgia State+2.0L24–4153.5L24–41ON
Thu 10/19Marshall vs James Madison+5.0L9–2049.0L9–20UN
Sat 10/28Marshall at Coastal Carolina-3.5L6–3447.0L6–34UN
Sat 11/4Marshall at App State+3.0L9–3157.5L9–31UN
Sat 11/11Marshall vs Georgia Southern+1.5W38–3356.5W38–33OY
Sat 11/18Marshall at South Alabama+10.5L0–2844.5L0–28UN
Sat 11/25Marshall vs Arkansas State-2.0W35–2154.0W35–21OY
Tue 12/19Marshall vs UTSA+7.0L17–3547.0L17–35ON
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences Who builds scoring momentum? UAlbany Edge
Avg sequences created per game
UAlbany
0.00
Marshall #112
0.50
Avg sequences allowed per game (lower is better)
UAlbany
0.00
Marshall #21
0.67
UAlbany +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2022 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance Who controls games start to finish? Marshall Edge
Avg GC score per game (offense)
UAlbany #144
0.0
Marshall #57
58.9
Avg GC score allowed per game (lower is better)
UAlbany #143
98.7
Marshall #46
30.4
Marshall +58.9
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 76% of games historically
Based on 2022 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games.

Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set.

Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set.

Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself