Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2023 in-season data is not yet available.
Edges are based on 2022 full-season performance.
Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
—
Lean
Game Control
76%
Hawai'i wins
Strong
Vegas Spread
Hawai'i -10.5
O/U 58.5
William Hill (New Jersey)
UAlbany 2023 Schedule
UAlbany's 2023 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 9/2 | UAlbany at Marshall | +22.0L17–21 | 47.5 | L17–21 | U | Y |
| Sat 9/9 | UAlbany at Hawai'i | +10.5L20–31 | 58.5 | L20–31 | U | N |
Hawai'i 2023 Schedule
Hawai'i's 2023 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 8/26 | Hawai'i at Vanderbilt | +17.0L28–35 | 54.5 | L28–35 | O | Y |
| Fri 9/1 | Hawai'i vs Stanford | +2.0L24–37 | 54.0 | L24–37 | O | N |
| Sat 9/9 | Hawai'i vs UAlbany | -10.5W31–20 | 58.5 | W31–20 | U | Y |
| Sat 9/16 | Hawai'i at Oregon | +38.5L10–55 | 67.5 | L10–55 | U | N |
| Sat 9/23 | Hawai'i vs New Mexico State | -4.0W20–17 | 54.5 | W20–17 | U | N |
| Sat 9/30 | Hawai'i at UNLV | +10.5L20–44 | 58.5 | L20–44 | O | N |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 10/14 | Hawai'i vs San Diego State | +6.0L34–41 | 51.5 | L34–41 | O | N |
| Sat 10/21 | Hawai'i at New Mexico | -1.5L21–42 | 60.0 | L21–42 | O | N |
| Sat 10/28 | Hawai'i vs San José State | +10.5L0–35 | 57.0 | L0–35 | U | N |
| Sat 11/4 | Hawai'i at Nevada | +3.5W27–14 | 50.5 | W27–14 | U | Y |
| Sat 11/11 | Hawai'i vs Air Force | +22.5W27–13 | 47.5 | W27–13 | U | Y |
| Sat 11/18 | Hawai'i at Wyoming | +13.5L9–42 | 45.5 | L9–42 | O | N |
| Sat 11/25 | Hawai'i vs Colorado State | +6.0W27–24 | 54.0 | W27–24 | U | Y |
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
UAlbany Edge
UAlbany +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2022 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
Hawai'i Edge
Hawai'i +22.5
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 76% of games historically
Based on 2022 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓