Sat, Sep 2 2023
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Week 1
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🏟 FIU Stadium
Miami, FL
·
Turf
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23,500 cap
Maine✈ 1,475 miSame TZ
Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2023 in-season data is not yet available.
Edges are based on 2022 full-season performance.
Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
—
Lean
Game Control
67.1%
Florida International wins
Solid
Vegas Spread
Florida International -15
O/U 46.0
William Hill (New Jersey)
Maine 2023 Schedule
Maine's 2023 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 9/2 | Maine at Florida International | +15.0L12–14 | 46.0 | L12–14 | U | Y |
Florida International 2023 Schedule
Florida International's 2023 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 8/26 | Florida International at Louisiana Tech | +12.0L17–22 | 57.5 | L17–22 | U | Y |
| Sat 9/2 | Florida International vs Maine | -15.0W14–12 | 46.0 | W14–12 | U | N |
| Sat 9/9 | Florida International vs North Texas | +10.5W46–39 | 51.5 | W46–39 | O | Y |
| Sat 9/16 | Florida International at UConn | +7.0W24–17 | 43.0 | W24–17 | U | Y |
| Sat 9/23 | Florida International vs Liberty | +10.0L6–38 | 54.0 | L6–38 | U | N |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Wed 10/4 | Florida International at New Mexico State | +6.5L17–34 | 49.5 | L17–34 | O | N |
| Wed 10/11 | Florida International vs UTEP | +1.5L14–27 | 44.0 | L14–27 | U | N |
| Wed 10/18 | Florida International at Sam Houston | +6.0W33–27 | 42.0 | W33–27 | O | Y |
| Wed 10/25 | Florida International vs Jacksonville State | +9.0L16–41 | 48.0 | L16–41 | O | N |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 11/11 | Florida International at Middle Tennessee | +10.5L6–40 | 50.5 | L6–40 | U | N |
| Sat 11/18 | Florida International at Arkansas | +27.5L20–44 | 49.5 | L20–44 | O | Y |
| Sat 11/25 | Florida International vs Western Kentucky | +11.5L28–41 | 54.0 | L28–41 | O | N |
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
Maine Edge
Maine +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2022 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
Florida International Edge
Florida International +15.9
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 67.1% of games historically
Based on 2022 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓