Missouri State at Texas A&M - 2026 Matchup Preview

Missouri State Bears at Texas A&M Aggies

Saturday, September 5th 2026 (12:00 AM EDT)
Kyle Field - College Station, TX

Bears (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Casey Woods (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 29 (23 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 0 - 2 (#94)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Texas A&M -35.5 (SP+ TA&M -31)
Projected Score: MOST: 8 - TA&M: 44 (52)
TA&M Win prob: 98% | Cover: 46%
MOST Travel: 488 miles

Aggies (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Mike Elko (8 - 4)
Avg Score : 34 - 21 (31 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.3 - 2.7 (#11)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 6) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)

Matchup
Schedules
MOST Players
TA&M Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Missouri State's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Missouri State at Texas A&M	+35.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/26	Missouri State at SMU	+26

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Missouri State's Schedule

Texas A&M's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Texas A&M vs Missouri State	-35.5
Sat 9/12	Texas A&M vs Arizona State	-20
Sat 9/19	Texas A&M vs Kentucky	-22.5
Sat 9/26	Texas A&M at LSU	-2.5
Sat 10/3	Texas A&M vs Arkansas	-21.5
Sat 10/10	Texas A&M at Missouri	-2.5
Sat 10/17	Texas A&M vs The Citadel	-47.5
Sat 10/24	Texas A&M at Alabama	-2
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7	Texas A&M at South Carolina	-12.5
Sat 11/14	Texas A&M vs Tennessee	-8
Sat 11/21	Texas A&M at Oklahoma	+1
Fri 11/27	Texas A&M vs Texas	-4

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 6, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas A&M's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MOST	#69 (.18)	39% (105)	25.6	37% (124)	2.49 (131)	114	42% (59)	280	3.69 (68)	#114 (.23)	43% (84)	28.8	43% (72)	43% (92)	3.89 (88)	66.5	1.4	1.2
TA&M	#29 (.24)	46% (28)	33.8	47% (35)	3.16 (30)	185	46% (27)	260	4.14 (33)	#55 (.13)	34% (5)	21	36% (9)	33% (5)	3.91 (95)	60.7	1.5	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MOST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TA&M		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MOST Offense	13	25.6	22.5	39.3%	3.69	1.4	20	393	114	280	3.6	42%	56%	37%	42%	24%	.18
TA&M Defense	13	21	15.3	34.1%	3.91	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	46%	52%	36%	33%	21%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MOST Defense	13	28.8	31.3	42.7%	3.89	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	48%	50%	43%	43%	15%	.23
TA&M Offense	13	33.8	31.1	46.1%	4.14	1.5	23	445	185	260	4.9	52%	47%	47%	46%	11%	.24

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Missouri State	13	31:20	20.5	36%	62%	7.6	66.5	1.4	1.2	4.1	1.8	0	29.5
Texas A&M	13	32:30	22.5	41%	71%	7.2	60.7	1.5	0.8	8.5	3.3	2	32.5

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MOST Offense	13	42% (124)	37% (124)	31.6	113.7	3.6	12 (122)	.03 (113)	2.49 (131)	61% (126)	16% (135)	1.07 (29)
TA&M Defense	13	46% (25)	36% (9)	-	-	-	-	.15 (96)	2.67 (26)	75% (97)	16% (3)	1.29 (136)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MOST Defense	13	48% (48)	43% (72)	-	-	-	-	.16 (102)	2.76 (47)	83% (129)	8% (119)	1.03 (102)
TA&M Offense	13	52% (49)	47% (35)	38.1	185	4.9	28 (36)	.16 (47)	3.16 (30)	75% (47)	6% (1)	0.93 (83)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MOST Offense	13	56% (17)	42% (59)	21.3	33.5	279.7	8.4	13.1	30 (75)	11 (88)	.34 (41)	1.8 (8)	36% (128)	30% (77)	.27 (84)	9% (130)	2.2 (16)
TA&M Defense	13	52% (118)	33% (5)	-	-	-	-	-	-	3 (123)	.1 (13)	1.6 (91)	39% (2)	23% (4)	.22 (34)	6% (75)	2.3 (132)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MOST Defense	13	50% (87)	43% (92)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (100)	.33 (107)	1.6 (70)	30% (90)	27% (29)	.33 (88)	7% (20)	2.3 (129)
TA&M Offense	13	47% (84)	46% (27)	19.1	31.4	259.8	8.3	13.6	26 (22)	14 (60)	.38 (26)	1.5 (66)	29% (30)	29% (82)	.28 (75)	5% (39)	2 (67)

Missouri State's Power Ratings
Missouri State's Power Rating: -8.06 #109
Missouri State's Offense Rating: 9.02 #95
Missouri State's Defense Rating: 22.08 #118
2026 Talent Rating: 392.00 #130
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #73
Missouri State's 2026 Expected Record: 0.0 - 2.0
Missouri State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.7 #108
Missouri State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #77
Missouri State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #118

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 485.09
Average Power Five Talent: 910.69
Average FBS Talent: 728.9

Power Ratings Matchup
Missouri State: -8.06 Texas A&M: 26.355

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Missouri State: -10.7 Texas A&M: 20.7

Texas A&M's Power Ratings
Texas A&M's Power Rating: 26.355 #10
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: 23.64 #13
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: 1.28 #8
2026 Talent Rating: 1128.00 #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 64 #5
Texas A&M's 2026 Expected Record: 9.3 - 2.7
Texas A&M's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.7 #9
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.0 #11
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.4 #14

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 996.13
Average Power Five Talent: 910.69
Average FBS Talent: 728.9

Missouri State Scoring
Offense: 25.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.5
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.3

Missouri State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Texas A&M 44
Missouri State 8

Projected Total Points: 52

Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.1
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.3

Texas A&M's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Texas A&M	0	0	0 Overs
Missouri State	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0

(#109) MOST at (#10) TA&M

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MOST	TA&M
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#109	#10
SP+SP+	#108	#9
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#130	#4
Blue ChipsBC%	#73	#5

Missouri State Notes(2/24) HC Casey Woods was SMU OC, solid rising hire
Missouri State Injury Report

Texas A&M Notes(2/17) Vibes: Unclear, battered Aggie syndrome is real
(2/12) Had 13 players make the NFL combine from ‘25
(1/28) Elko had to restaff losing OC, replaced DC
(1/28) QB Reed back after big jump LY, can he rise again?
(1/28) RB Owens back, faded LY. Depth inexp'd/talented
(1/28) WR great w Craver & B-Roman, Horton huge add
(1/28) OL rebuild (1 back) 4 big portal adds. Still a ?
(1/28) DL rebuild w 5 portal adds. Good looking unit
(1/28) LB rebuild w 2 portals. Depth inexp but talented
(1/28) DBs return 3/4, must find CB depth/rotation
Texas A&M Injury Report

Missouri State on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	MOST Off	TA&M Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#105	#5
ExplosiveExp	#1	#135
PPAPPA	#69	#55
PowerPwr	#95	#8
SP+SP+	#77	#14
Pts POPPO	#68	#95
HavocHav	#136	#4

Missouri State Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	MOST Off	TA&M Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#124	#9
Run ExplRExp	#29	#136
PPAExp	#113	#96
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#131	#26
Stuff RateStuff	#135	#39
TackleTak	-	NR

Missouri State Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	MOST Off	TA&M Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#59	#5
Pass ExplPExl	#8	#91
PPAExp	#41	#13
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#135	#3
DB HavocDB	#130	#75

Texas A&M on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	TA&M Off	MOST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#28	#84
ExplosiveExp	#81	#101
PPAPPA	#29	#114
PowerPwr	#13	#118
SP+SP+	#11	#118
Pts POPPO	#33	#88
HavocHav	#5	#83

Texas A&M Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	TA&M Off	MOST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#35	#72
Run ExplRExp	#83	#102
PPAExp	#47	#102
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#30	#47
Stuff RateStuff	#28	#60
TackleTak	-	NR

Texas A&M Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	TA&M Off	MOST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#27	#92
Pass ExplPExl	#66	#70
PPAExp	#26	#107
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#1	#119
DB HavocDB	#39	#20

Program Comparison
TA&M 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'26 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

MOST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'26 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kyle Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

No Matchups Past 4 Years

MOST's OC Mark Cala (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Skyler Locklear (Tr)	117	211	56%	1418	13	11	6.7
Cole Feuerbacher	6	8	75%	28	0	0	3.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Skyler Locklear (Tr)	103	396	8	3.8	63
Ramone Green Jr.	52	278	1	5.3	45
Henry Belin IV (Tr)	5	41	0	8.2	15
Reggie Branch	6	27	0	4.5	10

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jmariyae Robinson	44	632	7	14.4	52
Ramone Green Jr.	29	446	3	15.4	76
Connor Lair	6	62	1	10.3	33
Mekhi Miller (Tr)	9	58	0	6.4	8

View Missouri State's Full Roster

MOST's DC Jack Curtis (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jared Lloyd	76	4	2	2	2
Thomas Anderson	60	2	1	0	5
Dylan Dixson	50	4	1	0	3
Christian Ford	47	0	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Davon Townley Jr.	20	2	2	1	3
Caden Wiest	15	3	2	2	2
Cooper Roy	11	4	2	2	0
Jared Lloyd	76	4	2	2	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Jordan Dunbar	21	1	0	11
Thomas Anderson	60	2	1	5
Dylan Dixson	50	4	1	3

TA&M's OC Holmon Wiggins (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Marcel Reed	234	377	62%	3169	25	12	8.4
Brady Hart	5	10	50%	62	0	0	6.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rueben Owens	119	639	5	5.4	57
Marcel Reed	104	493	6	4.7	46
Jamarion Morrow	43	182	1	4.2	23
Mario Craver	11	81	1	7.4	28

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Mario Craver	58	911	4	15.7	86
Isaiah Horton (Tr)	42	511	8	12.2	37
Ashton Bethel-Roman	24	503	5	21.0	76
Houston Thomas (Tr)	34	347	2	10.2	32

View Texas A&M's Full Roster

TA&M's DC Lyle Hemphill (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ray Coney (Tr)	128	7	2	4	2
Tawfiq Byard (Tr)	78	8	1	1	4
Marcus Ratcliffe	66	3	0	2	3
Dalton Brooks	61	6	3	3	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ryan Henderson (Tr)	21	9	7	4	1
Daymion Sanford	57	10	4	3	2
Anto Saka (Tr)	13	4	3	2	0
Dalton Brooks	61	6	3	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dezz Ricks	26	1	0	0	5
Tawfiq Byard (Tr)	78	8	1	1	4
Marcus Ratcliffe	66	3	0	2	3